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Brussels readies for 'Super Tuesday' climate vote

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Published 06 October 2008, updated 14 December 2012

MEPs will tomorrow (7 October) vote on key legislation designed to slash the EU's CO2 emissions by 20% by 2020. But the vote comes amidst a worsening economic crisis, with several member states indicating that they want to put the brakes on any rapid adoption of the measures. 

Three reports will be subject to votes by the Parliament's Environment (ENVI) Committee. The first and most controversial for heavy industry relates to the revision of the EU greenhouse gas emissions trading scheme (by Avril Doyle, an Irish EPP-ED group MEP). The second, prepared by Finnish Green MEP Satu Hassi, will determine how much each EU country should take on of the bloc's "burden" to slash greenhouse gas emissions by 20% by 2020. 

The third and final report, prepared by UK Liberal MEP Chris Davies, establishes a legal framework for the geological storage of CO2 captured by coal-fired power plants during electricity generation.

Growth first, climate later?

Following the collapse or bail-out of several key banks in the US and in the EU, the 'usual' controversies surrounding the climate proposals have been eclipsed by concerns about grave economic recession, which overshadow Tuesday's vote and are casting doubt on whether Brussels will be able to push through its ambitious CO2 reduction programme (EurActiv 26/09/08).

The climate and energy package is in "deep trouble", The Economist reported on 4 October. German Chancellor Angela Merkel, a "green champion" in March 2007, "now sounds like a lobbyist for German business," the weekly commented.

Merkel has indeed indicated that she may not support an "ill-advised climate policy," and Germany's foreign minister last week admitted that the economic crisis "changes priorities," the Financial Times reported. "One cannot rule out that interest in protecting the climate will change because of such a crisis," the minister said.

Stern warnings

Advocates of ambitious policies to reduce climate change say this logic is faulty, drawing on findings and recommendations submitted in October 2006 to former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair by Sir Nicholas Stern.

The 'Stern report' argued that keeping global warming under control through massive investment today would cost the global economy far less than coping with the damage it will cause (EurActiv 31/10/06).

But many of Europe's industries say paying too much for emitting CO2 means they cannot stay competitive internationally and will be forced to move production and pollution outside the EU's borders, leading to a 'leakage' of carbon that would be environmentally counter-productive. To prevent such a scenario, they say, certain industrial sectors like aluminium and cement producers should be given up to 100% free emissions allowances.

The issue is the cause of an internal rift in the EP's largest political group, the Christian Democratic European People's Party (EPP-ED) party. Doyle, an EPP-ED member, is fighting to gain support in advance of the vote in the face of opposition from some MEPs, who say a stricter EU ETS would undermine European industries, according to ENDS Europe reports.    

The coal equation

Competitiveness concerns are also at the heart of MEP Davies's report on carbon capture and storage (CCS). While the Davies report in itself has not been the focus of extreme controversy, the issue of how to pay for CCS has. 

Davies has worked closely with Doyle in recent months to link CCS financing to the ETS proposal. The two rapporteurs have drafted an amendment that, if accepted by other MEPs and by the Council, would see the transfer of massive sums from a special ETS reserve fund to select CCS demonstration projects.

CCS is considered a vital tool in the fight against climate change, including by a number of environmental NGOs (with the exception of Greenpeace). It remains unclear how the expensive technology could be funded and made competitive, though a recent report by the business consulting firm McKinsey indicates that CCS could become commercially viable by 2030 (see EurActiv 24/09/08). 

The votes are preliminary and need confirmation by the full plenary of the Parliament. But they will give an indication as to where the package as a whole is headed, and lay the basis for negotiations with the Council.

Positions: 

The Commission has given mixed signals on the issue, pointing to what is widely believed to be a significant divergence in views between EU Industry Commissioner Günter Verheugen and EU Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas.

Dimas has said that while the financial crisis "is here one day and it is gone another day," the "climate crisis will be there always and we must face it". Verheugen, on the other hand, has already given assurancesthat 100% free CO2 permit allocation "should be possible" for select industries and governments, and the industry commissioner's cabinet has already leaked to the press a Commission 'non-paper' that gives an indication of which sectors could be likely to receive an exemption from the EU ETS (EurActiv 22/09/08).

Cefic, the European Chemical Industry Council, has sent a letter to MEPs in the ENVI Committee, asking them "to give the green light for a system of performance objectives (benchmarks) that will reward with free allowances the companies that invest to reach this target". 

Cefic, which is against the use of full auctioning, argues that such an award scheme based on benchmarks will lead a "much more cost-efficient, reliable [ETS] without the risk of speculation". 

Christian Democrat MEPs Karl-Heinz Florenz (Germany) and Eija-Rita Korhola (Finland) support the use of such benchmarks and have tables a series of amendments to this effect. 

UK Green MEP Caroline Lucas, meanwhile, argues that the use of free allocations will "completely undermine what is supposed to be the EU's flagship instrument for addressing climate change".

Climate Strategies, a European network of climate policy experts, argue that giving some industries free allocations in the EU ETS will be detrimental to the wider economy. "Free allowance allocation creates distortions for the carbon price signal and reduces the efforts of some sectors to reduce emissions which in turn increases the costs for the remaining economy," the network said in a 6 October statement.

The view is backed by Sanjeev Kumar, ETS Coordinator at the WWF in Brussels. "The Environment Committee must not cater to the needs of the polluting few at the expense of the many citizens who wants to improve the long term health of the European economy as well as environment," he said.  

The Corporate Leaders Group on Climate Change, a grouping of major companies including Philips, Shell, Tesco, Vodafone, Allianz, Holcim, Kingfisher and Skanska, are giving their support to a successful vote in the committee.

"We recognise that issues of European competitiveness and concerns about a global economic downturn will influence the debate, but we are confident that the adoption of a strong and effective climate package will ultimately be good for European business," the group said in a 6 October open letter to MEPs.

Next steps: 
  • 7 Oct.: Parliament's Environment Committee to vote on the reports by MEPs Doyle, Hassi and Davies;
  • Dec. 2008: UN climate conference, Poznan, Poland;
  • March 2009: End of current Parliament's legislature;
  • End 2008: French Presidency's original deadline for adopption of climate and energy package;
  • Dec. 2009: UN-led climate talks wrap up in Copenhagen.
Background: 

On 23 January 2008, the Commission presented a series of proposals designed to transform into law the political commitments made by EU member states in March 2007 to reduce the EU's emissions of CO2 and related greenhouse gases (GHGs) by 20% by 2020, while boosting the bloc's share of renewable energy use to 20% over the same period.

A proposal to revise and strengthen the EU's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), the 'flagship' EU policy to tackle climate change, as well as a proposal that outlines how member states should divide the 'effort' of sharing CO2 reductions in sectors not affected by the ETS between themselves, is the mainstay of the so-called climate and energy package. The Commission and EU leaders had hoped to finalise the proposal before the end of 2008 or, at the latest, by March 2009 in order to strengthen the EU's negotiating mandate in UN-led talks on a global climate change deal to replace the Kyoto Protocol in 2013. 

But as the deadline for adopting the measures approaches, many of Europe's heavy industries and several of the EU's newer member states, which are heavily dependent on coal for electricity generation, have launched a campaign to delay the plans and/or to include special exemptions from emissions rules for select industries that fear dramatic increases in operating costs resulting from the EU ETS. The onset of the global economic slowdown, caused by the meltdown of financial markets in the US, has made previously wary industry and member states even more apprehensive about the (real and perceived) costs of tackling climate change.

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