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EU to leave decision on CO2 cuts until next year

Published 14 October 2010 - Updated 20 October 2010
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Environment ministers are meeting today (14 October) in Luxembourg to set out the EU's strategy for the UN climate conference in Cancún at the end of the year. No decision is expected on whether to raise the bloc's CO2 emission target.

The ministers will revisit the thorny issue of increasing the EU's target of cutting its greenhouse gas emissions by 20% below 1990 levels by 2020 to 30%. So far, there has been no consensus on the issue, and a breakthrough is not expected at tomorrow's meeting either.

Draft conclusions from the meeting state that the EU will wait for the European Commission to draw up a 2050 low-carbon roadmap before any unilateral move to 30%, according to diplomatic sources.

The roadmap, scheduled for early next year, will set out a trajectory for emissions cuts with intermediate targets for 2030 and 2040, which could help put the 2020 target into perspective, they said.

The procedural take on the matter by environment ministers at this stage reflects a deep divide between two blocks of member states. While a group of Western European countries including the UK, France, Germany and Denmark argues that raising the EU goal is in its own interests, many Eastern and Central European member states and Italy, among others, say doing so must be conditional on similar commitments from other nations within the international negotiations for a new climate treaty.

Last year, EU emissions were already 17.3% below 1990 levels, dragged down by the recession, according to recent figures from the European Environment Agency (EEA).

EU Climate Action Commissioner Connie Hedegaard is known to think that as things stand, the 20% target no longer gives businesses a sufficient incentive to invest in low-carbon innovation. She has promised that the Commission will work to analyse how higher climate ambitions would affect individual member states.

EU employers' organisation BusinessEurope wrote to the Belgian chair of the Environment Council, Joke Schauvliege, ahead of the meeting, warning that a move to 30% would be counter-productive in the absence of an international climate agreement.

EU strategy for climate talks

The ministers will also seek to adopt an EU position for the Cancún climate conference, which takes place between 29 November and 11 December.

The political hot potato is whether to continue with the Kyoto Protocol after its expiry in 2012. The EU was accused by developing countries of killing Kyoto at the Copenhagen negotiations last year. In Copenhagen, the EU insisted it would only accept a new framework that covered all major economies, but the Kyoto Protocol does not set any obligations on developing countries, nor does it include the world's second biggest polluter, the US.

The EU has since gone through a re-profiling exercise and now says a second commitment period is possible, provided that another parallel legal agreement is created to cover all major economies.

The environment ministers are likely to reiterate that stance today, an EU diplomat said.

Next steps: 
  • 29 Nov.-10 Dec. 2010: UN climate conference in Cancún, Mexico (COP16). Objective is to advance negotiations on basis of Copenhagen Accord. No binding agreement is expected.
  • 28 Nov.-9 Dec. 2011: UN climate conference in South Africa (COP17). Possible date for approving new international climate treaty.
Background: 

The EU has agreed a unilateral target to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 20% from 1990 levels by 2020. Furthermore, it has pledged to increase its target to 30% if other countries make comparable commitments.

In May 2010, the European Commission presented a communication arguing that increasing the EU's 2020 climate goal to 30% would be both affordable and technically feasible. It estimated that as a result of the economic downturn, the cost of meeting the current 20% target has dropped to €48bn per year until 2020, down from an initial estimate of €70 billion when the package was agreed.

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