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Rumäniens Parlament kippt Kabinett vor Präsidentschaftswahlen

Veröffentlicht 14. Oktober 2009 - Aktualisiert 29. Januar 2010
Druckoptimierte VersionEinem Freund senden

Rumänische Gesetzgeber kippten die zentristische Minderheitsregierung von Ministerpräsident Emil Bloc in einem Misstrauensvotum am Dienstag (13. Oktober). Dies bedroht die Einsetzung eines Abkommens mit dem IWF vor den Präsidentschaftswahlen im nächsten Monat.

The centrists will stay in power until parliament approves a new government. But forming an administration will be tough before the 22 November election, which has polarised political groups and split the previous coalition earlier this month. 

Political instability could pose problems in meeting terms of the 20 billion euro aid package Romania won this year from the International Monetary Fund to stave off financial crisis, or delays in preparing the 2010 state budget, economists say. 

The next move belongs to President Traian Basescu, an ally of the outgoing cabinet of Prime Minister Emil Boc and a frontrunner in the election, who has to nominate a new premier. 

Basescu promised to solve the deadlock quickly, but said this would depend on cooperation from all political groups. "I believe political parties have made a grave mistake by engaging in this severe fight, which does not take into consideration the country's interest," he told reporters after the vote. 

Romania's Social Democrats (PSD) walked out of the government on 1 October in protest at the sacking of their interior minister, leaving the centrists to rule alone. 

Campaign politics 

The collapse underlines the risk to prospects for economic recovery and reform in Eastern Europe. In Poland, markets have been hit by recent allegations of privatisation irregularities, while an IMF accord with Latvia has faced political hurdles. 

Without a strong government, Romania may struggle to cut spending enough to meet budget deficit targets, or could fail to implement a contentious pension reform which the IMF says is vital for its long-term fiscal stability. 

"The interim cabinet [...] may fail to adopt important legislation to fulfil requirements by the IMF," Elisabeth Andreew of Nordea in Copenhagen wrote in a note. "Confusion and uncertainty may remain until at least the end of the year." 

The Romanian leu went through a psychological level of 4.30 per euro in reaction to the government collapse, hitting its lowest point in almost seven months on Tuesday, and the price of insuring the country's debt rose on concerns about the IMF aid. 

A relatively poor Balkan state of 22 million people, Romania has gone through a sharp economic reversal in the last year, because of the global financial crisis and poor economic policies. 

It shifted from being the European Union's fastest-growing economy and an attractive destination for foreign investors to a problem zone in dire need of aid. 

The opposition blamed the recession, job losses and falling wages on Boc's government in the hope of damaging Basescu's image. But the recession has so far had a limited impact on his popularity. 

A recent survey showed the former sea captain is supported by 37% of the electorate. Next position in line in the election, which will likely go to a second round on 6 December, is leftist opposition leader Mircea Geoana with 24%. 

Even if Basescu nominates a new candidate quickly, opposition groups may want to delay installing a stable government before the presidential election. 

Quick consultations between the president and political parties after the vote showed the opposition was reluctant to back anyone other than the technocrat prime minister charged with holding the government until after the election. 

The Liberal Party, the second-biggest opposition grouping, wants to nominate the respected mayor of the Transylvanian town of Sibiu Klaus Johannis for the job. The PSD, the main opposition group, said it could back him. 

"We agree to a technocrat government, what's important is the government should be supported by a parliament majority [...] so it can respect its commitments to international institutions," said PSD spokesman Bogdan Niculescu Duvaz. 

(EurActiv with Reuters.) 

Stellungnahmen: 

As reported by EurActiv Romania: 

Outgoing Romanian Prime Minister Emil Boc  said: "We have lost a battle, not the war. The government fell because the parlamentarians didn't want their pensions and privileges to be eliminated." 

Opposition leaders have put forward the name of independent mayor of Sibiu, Klaus Johannis, to run a government of technocrats. "We have proposed the president an independent prime minister, and that is Klaus Johannis," said Crin Antonescu, president of the National Liberal Party  and presidential hopeful. On the other hand, the Liberal Democrats, voted out of power, announced their support for party leader Emil Boc (prime minister until yesterday) to head a new cabinet. 

Mayor of Sibiu Klaus Johannis, seen as the probable interim prime minister, had announced on Tuesday before the vote in the Parliament that he would be willing to discuss the possibility of taking up the PM chair. 

Romanian President Traian Basescu said on Tuesday afternoon that Emil Boc was a responsible PM and that he had the courage to assume reforms long overdue in Romania: salaries law, justice codes, education law and pensions law. 

"I would also mention the legislation in preparation by the Boc government in the priority zone: the two procedure codes - major objectives for the Justice Report [of the European Commission] to be released in January [...] As to the political situation, it was triggered after calculations having in sight the presidential elections. I think they were mistaken calculations, not taking into account Romania's interest," said Basescu. 

EPP leader Joseph Daul echoed the Liberal Democrats and President Basescu, members of his political family. "A courageous government like the Boc government should have been kept. That is the only way to continue essential reforms for the modernisation of Romania and the protection of the population. I can only regret the fact that that this government, that proved its courage, couldn't stay in office. Responsible behaviour is, in fact, the only way to maintain the crucial reforms in order to modernise Romania," Daul stated. 

"The fall of the government has negative effects over the business environment, especially as this political crisis comes at the same time as the financial and social one. The political instability is also a problem for the business environment," said Cezar Coraci, president of employers' confederation UGIR-1903

"If the situation becomes a political blockage and the government won't be able to fulfill its economical and fiscal consolidation program, and the situation of public finances gets worse, the country's ratings would be under new pressure to go down," said Frank Gill, an analyst at Standard&Poors, quoted by NewsIn. 

Hintergrund : 

All nine ministers from the centre-left Social Democratic Party (PSD) resigned on 1 October from Romania's 'grand coalition' government in protest over the sacking of the interior minister (EurActiv 02/10/09). 

The move underscored souring relations between the PSD and the ruling centre-right Democratic Liberal party (PDL), who are gearing up for a bitter fight ahead of 22 November's presidential poll. 

The last presidential elections in Romania were held on 28 November 2004, and took place alongside legislative elections. Centre-right candidate Traian Basescu, a former mayor of Bucharest and a ship captain by profession, emerged as the winner. 

Incumbent Traian Basescu is widely expected to run for re-election, although he has not formally announced his intention to do so yet. Until now, in its recent post-communist history no Romanian government had ever been ousted by no-confidence vote. 

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