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Es sei schwer vorherzusagen, wie lang die gegenwärtige Krise der weltweiten Finanzmärkte andauern werde, schreiben Tito Boeri und Luigi Guiso in einem Artikel vom 28. August 2007 für EuroIntelligence.
The subprime crisis was caused by an abundance of low-cost loans and triggered by the "expectation of defaults on subprime mortgages in the US" and is summarised by the authors thus: "an excess of liquidity has suddenly been transformed into a dearth of liquidity", with dealers finding it hard to sell the assets in their portfolios.
Boeri and Guiso give three reasons for the current crisis:
Describing the third cause as "by far the most important", the authors claim that "without Greenspan's policy", the subprime crisis "would never have occurred".
The EuroIntelligence article outlines the essential ingredients of the crisis:
The authors conclude that the subprime crisis is the price we are paying for Greenspan's "overreaction" to the 2001 recession, and calls on the ECB to avoid repeating this error and resist calls to lower interest rates in the eurozone.
Suggesting that central banks "must be afraid of fear" in such crises and are acting "correctly" by injecting liquidity into the system, they claim that it is of utmost importance not to "overreact" to the subprime crisis by "sowing the seeds of a future crisis today".