Die Kommission bereitet derzeit die zweite Phase des EU-Emissionsrechtehandels vor, der darauf abzielt den Ausstoß von Treibhausgasen zu reduzieren. Dabei ist wahrscheinlich, dass sie die CO2-Allokationspläne Frankreichs und Polens zurückweisen wird.
EU countries that plan to massively overshoot their verified emissions of carbon dioxide will see their national allocation plans (NAPs) for the next period rejected, the Commission warned this week.
Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas told ministers in the environment Council on 23 October that the NAPs he has received so far are above verified emissions for 2005 and, therefore, off track for meeting Kyoto targets.
"Taken together, the first 17 NAPs notified to us propose an emissions cap that is about 15% above the actual emissions level in those member states last year," he said.
"If member states put more allowances into the market than are needed to cover real emissions, the scheme would become pointless. I cannot let that happen."
Dimas added that the decision will come after "several more weeks" which he said were needed to analyse the plans. The process is expected to push a final decision towards end November.
"We have two basic criteria", said Dimas's spokesperson Barbara Helfferich: "2005 emissions and member states' Kyotot targets". According to Helfferich it is "very clear" from the data submitted which countries have been "disproportionately" overshooting their 2005 emissions.
Atle Christiansen, EU emissions trading director at Point Carbon, a research and analysis firm, told EurActiv that he expected the Polish and French NAPs to be rejected.
He said that the reason was because these countries were left with a "substantial surplus" of CO2 allocations from the previous period (2005-2007) and that, in spite of this, they were still planning to issue a larger number of allowances for the next period (2008-2012). As it stood, the draft Italian plan also ran a high risk of rejection, Christiansen said.
In contrast, he added that the UK plan would stand a good chance of being accepted, along with the German and Swedish ones, although to a lesser extent.
"We expect about half of the [27] plans to be sent back," Christiansen said.