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Dutch election remains wide open as voters head to the polls

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Published 12 September 2012

Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte of the liberal VVD and the Labour (PvdA) leader Diederik Samsom were neck-and-neck heading into today's general election, the latest polls showed.

Polls put the VVD and PvdA at around 35 seats in the 150-seat parliament, indicating a coalition involving both parties may be inevitable.

Rutte and Samsom have both said that it will be difficult for them to work together after the election, but other parties have indicated that the two leaders have already made a pact.

"We have not made an agreement and there are lots of other options in which we would not have to be in a cabinet with each other," Samsom said during a TV-debate with Rutte Monday night.

Rutte likewise called the suggestions of a deal "complete rubbish".

Samsom and Rutte have found common ground on issues from the euro to international affairs, but they are also divided over immigration, welfare and the housing market.

In the runup to the election day, TV-debates have focused on the economy, EU relations, the euro and health care.

In the televised debates, Rutte stated that "enough is enough" when it comes to Greece and a third bailout. Samsom, on the other hand, emphasised that Greece might need more time and money to make the reforms work.

The live election debates on Dutch TV have pulled in more than one million viewers each time, ranking them among the most watched programmes lately.

Dutch voters in doubt

A day before the election, 27% of Dutch voters said they were still undecided, making a surprise result a possibility.

One such undecided voter, 25-year-old sales representative Rosalie Koerts, said the election was "about getting the nation out of this economic mess we have created". At the moment, four to five parties could still potentially get her vote and she is using an online tool to compare their views.

Another Dutch voter, Paul Mulder, who works at Keesing, said that despite the extensive focus on the political campaigns, he was not satisfied with the way Dutch media had covered the election. He was particularly unhappy with the TV-debates.

"The shows all look for one-liners, fierce and short debates, and break points, leaving very little time for depth and details," Mulder told EurActiv.

He said he would vote for a party that would have solutions regarding Dutch and European economic growth, EU integration, financial shortages and how to tackle national issues, such as the housing market, education, environment and health care.

Since the Second World War, it can take more than three months to form a Dutch government. This doesn't mean, however, that the country is unable to move forward, one analyst said.

"Foreign press always thinks that the Netherlands needs a government to take steps on an EU level," Hans Vollaard, assistant professor at the Institute of Political Science at Leiden University, told EurActiv.

"Of course a new government can do that more easily, but particularly the last two years have shown that coalition parties can conclude deals particularly on EU issues so there is a kind of flexibility on EU issues in the Dutch parliament," Vollaard said.

Positions: 

Dutch student and voter Gladys Coenen said:

"For me as a student it is important that they don't cut down on the education. In the Netherlands we get a monthly finance to pay our tuition. But they want to make it a loan system. This means that most students can't afford their tuition, so only the elite can go to school. But I read that most parties want to turn the basic scholarship, that is included in our current student finance, into a loan.

"And students with parents that have a low income can still get the additional scholarship that is also included into our student finance. Basically it is still affordable, but I'm afraid that this is just the beginning. They will cut back on education more and more after the election so that we finally can't afford it," she added.

The eurosceptic British think tank Open Europe, close to the Conservative Party, said in a statement:

"The most likely outcome remains a centrist, pragmatic coalition, which clearly is the preferred option in Brussels and Berlin. The Dutch elections are therefore unlikely to radically change the immediate political dynamics of the eurozone crisis. The country is likely to continue to oppose more bailout cash for Greece or any topping up of the eurozone’s bailout funds and remain a steadfast supporter of austerity in the struggling eurozone economies."

"In the medium to long term, however, the Netherlands could well be on the path to becoming a more assertive – and far more complicated – EU partner. With future decisions on potential eurozone debt pooling to come and the prospect of enhanced EU powers over national budgets (including the Netherlands’), Dutch public opinion and the more or less EU-critical parties such as the Socialists and PVV are likely to shift the country in a more sceptical direction," the think tank added.

Next steps: 
  • 12 September: Dutch general elections.
Henriette Jacobsen

COMMENTS

  • The most important fact in this article is wrong: Rutte nor Samson has said, as the article claims, that their parties will not form a coalition government. They have both said they do not exclude it. But they also said that it would be very, very difficult to agree on the issues with the other party.
    Both have said, as the aricle also states, that there is no prior deal. That is true.

    By :
    Ron Batten
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2012
Labour leader Diederik Samsom and Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte
Background: 

Prime Minister Mark Rutte's centre-right coalition government collapsed in April over proposed budget cuts.

The controversy centred around the proposed 1.6% of GDP deficit reduction mandated by EU rules, which would likely entail substantial cuts to health and pension spending.

In recession since July 2011, the Netherlands has since become one of  the eurozone’s worst performers, expected to shrink 0.9% this year, while triple-A peers Germany, Finland and Luxembourg are seen growing moderately. 

The snap election is being held on 12 September.

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