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Europe on tenterhooks over French vote

Published 23 April 2007 - Updated 18 June 2007
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Europe's leaders are jittery over the second round of elections in France, as Sarkozy and Royal offer very different EU approaches. 

  • Economy: 

Sarkozy, viewed as capable of pushing through the necessary reforms to revitalise the French economy, could well be the conservative-led European Commission's favourite candidate against Ségolène Royal, who supports raising the minimum monthly wage and has defended France's 35-hour workweek. However, Sarkozy's recent protectionist statements, in which he vowed to defend French companies against foreign takeovers and blamed the strength of the euro for France's economic woes, have caused dismay in the Commission and the European Central Bank. 

  • Constitution: 

Sarkozy is widely regarded in Brussels as the candidate with the most chance of coming to a quick agreement with current EU President, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, on a 'mini-treaty'  to replace the stalled EU Constitution, rejected by French voters in 2005. Indeed Royal, who has called for the negotiation of a new treaty that would be subject to a fresh referendum, could dash the German Chancellor's plans to come up with a substantive road map for solving the EU's Constitutional crisis during her six months at the EU's helm. 

  • Turkey: 

On this issue, it is Royal – more open to immigration and to Europe's enlargement towards Turkey – that appears closer to the Commission's official line. Sarkozy, on the other hand, objects to further EU enlargement, saying that it will dilute Europe's identity and turn the EU into an unworkable institution. He instead supports an EU-led "Mediterranean Union" that would include Turkey and other Muslim countries. 

Positions: 

"I am satisfied to see that the radical parties, in particular Le Pen, have very cleary lost ground in this election," declared German Foreign Affairs Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, whose country currently holds the EU Presidency. 

EPP-ED President Joseph Daul told EurActiv he welcomed the results: "By awarding more than 30% of their votes to Nicolas Sarkozy, the French have sent a clear signal that France must redirect its policies towards a revalorisation of work, towards giving everyone a fair chance, and taking the lead on European affairs." He called for the French to remain mobilised until the 6 May to realise these objectives and "to allow France to rejoin the path of reforms along with its partners in the European Union". 

Poul Nyrup Rasmussen, president of the Party of European Socialists, welcomed the results as a "victory for Ségolène Royal and for the Parti Socialiste,” adding: “The French people have made the right choice by putting the left into the second round. The French people opted for a straight choice between left and right – a straight choice between social democracy and liberal-conservatism, between a social Europe and a solely free-market Europe…The French people have a chance to allow France to regain its place in Europe and the world. Ségolène Royal is the candidate of change for France and Europe. Her victory is a boost for those of us who want to build a new, more social Europe. All voters who reject conservatism must turn out for Segolene on May 6th."

"We are living a defining moment for Europe as the French President's priorities and ways of conducting business will have repercussions for the whole continent," said Liberal MEP Annemie Neyts

Graham Watson, leader of the Parliament's Liberal and Democrat group welcomed the good result of the centre party candidate: "Although François Bayrou has not made it into the second round run-off, his positive and pro-European campaign has changed the shape of French politics." 

Daniel Cohn-Bendit, co-president of the Greens-EFA Group, tolld the German paper Sueddeutsche that he thinks Royal still has "every chance to win the election", adding: "Every vote for Bayrou was a vote against Sarkozy." He thinks that Sarkozy is the type of French politician "who thinks that Europe needs to take up a subordinate role to France. He represents absolute unpredictability. This man could have the best or the worst intentions, no one can predict it. Sarkozy is an opportunist of power." 

Commission President José Manuel Barroso, a Conservative himself, had already publicly endorsed Sarkozy as "a convinced and convincing European" when the then interior minister visited Brussels in 2006. 

Next steps: 
  • 6 May 2007: Second round.
  • 10 and 17 June 2007: Parliament elections.  
Background: 

The first round of elections on 22 April 2007 saw Nicolas Sarkozy and Ségolène Royal emerge as the last two candidates in the running to replace Jacques Chirac as French President. 

EU leaders – relieved that the French far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen did not make it into the next round, as he did in 2002 – will be following the debate very closely in the run-up to final vote on 6 May. 

The final outcome will have direct consequences for Europe’s future. 

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