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Kroes unlikely to be Dutch prime minister, say observers

Published 31 May 2010 - Updated 01 June 2010
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The Brussels rumour mill reports that Commissioner Neelie Kroes is close to quitting the EU to become the new Dutch prime minister after a general election on 9 June. But political observers in The Hague say that even if Kroes wanted the job, her appointment would be "a small and technical possibility".

Neelie Kroes has been using her staggeringly high popularity in Dutch opinion polls to help push her liberal VVD party to electoral victory, even though her own election as the country's prime minister remains unlikely, according to observers in the Dutch capital.

The Dutch Labour/Christian Democrat coalition government collapsed in February after the Labour Party refused to back a proposal to extend the deployment of troops in Afghanistan.

The liberal VVD party has made a remarkable comeback and leads recent polls with a majority of 34 seats. Second in line is the popular socialist party, PvdA, with 32 seats, leaving the previous coalition leader, the Christian Democrat CDA, with a mere 26 seats.  

In addition, rumours abound that a stint as leader of her country would be an easy way out of her current role as the EU's commissioner for the 'Digital Agenda', a portfolio that critics argue Kroes does not have the expertise for.

Last week, the Dutch commissioner made it crystal clear that she did not intend to return to politics in The Hague, in spite of opinion polls showing that she was the country's favourite candidate.  

Kroes herself had triggered curiosity in Brussels two weeks ago by not ruling out the possibility of becoming the next prime minister.

Asked whether she wanted the job or not, Kroes used a Dutch proverb, 'you should not skin the bear before you shoot it', which appeared to leave her options open.

Then on Sunday 23 May, the VVD's current leader, Mark Rutte, announced on national Dutch television that Kroes was a force to be reckoned with in the upcoming elections, though cynics argue that he was just namedropping as a ploy for more votes.

Rutte's strategy, according to reports in the Dutch press, would be to lead the VVD if they clinched a majority in a new coalition, but to delegate the leadership to Kroes if they could only muster a minority.

Poll watchers in The Hague insist that current forecasts would just about secure the VVD a majority stake in a new government, making Kroes' appointment "a small and technical possibility".

Imposing multimillion fines against IT giant Microsoft during her stint as EU competition commissioner saw Kroes' star in her native country soar, especially among young women.

This year she was awarded the Aletta Jacobs Prize by Groningen University for "her role as an advocate of women's emancipation and as an example for other women".

Next steps: 
  • 9 June: Dutch general elections.
Background: 

Neelie Kroes began her political career as a member of the Dutch parliament for the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD). Later she was Dutch state secretary and minister of transport, public works and water management. 

Kroes stepped into her European political career as competition commissioner in 2004. During her first round of hearings for the competition portfolio in 2004, she came under fire over allegations that she had accepted bribes (EurActiv 05/10/04). 

The Dutch government collapsed in February after the Labour/Christian Democrat coalition government fell out over how long troops should remain in Afghanistan.

Dutch leaders had promised voters to bring most of the country’s troops home this year.  

The US asked the Dutch Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende to find a compromise to extend the Dutch presence, even on a scaled-back basis, leading the Labour Party to quit government after a 16-hour cabinet meeting.

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