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Post an EU jobAfter four days of intense negotiations, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has released a report laying down options to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases held responsible for global warming. The Commission has hailed the report as a confirmation of the EU's leadership on climate change.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). The role of the IPCC is to "assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation".
The IPCC has published three Assessment Reports since 1990. These reports are considered as among the most authoritative sources of the latest climate-change related findings, and are used to encourage international consensus and to guide global policy actions on climate change.
The European Union considers itself a champion in the battle against climate change, with the emissions trading scheme as its flagship initiative. The EU has a series of climate-change policies in place since 2000 (see EurActiv LinksDossier).
The most important findings to emerge from the 4th Assessment Report published on 4 May are found in the Working Group III report entitled 'Mitigation of Climate Change'.
A number of climate-change response options are presented in the report, along with an assessment of the economic and social impact of mitigation efforts. The reports of the other two Working Groups deal with the scientific basis used to assess climate change, and with the likely impact of climate change on human populations and ecosystems.
The role of technologies in mitigating climate change is mentioned several times in connection with various sectors, including buildings, waste and agriculture. "Deployment of a portfolio of technologies that are currently available and those that are expected to be commercialised in coming decades," so the report, would lead to the most favourable results. Initial investments in technologies may produce significant costs, but these decrease over time through efficiency gains.
There is "substantial economic potential" that can result from GHG mitigation efforts. Costs resulting from mitigation can be offset if, for example, "revenues from carbon taxes or auctioned permits under an emission trading system are used to promote low-carbon technologies or reform of existing taxes".
The report states that mitigation will have a negative effect on countries' GDP if it is not accompanied by appropriate investments in infrastructure and technologies, in addition to reforms in tax and market structures.
If done correctly, the report claims that keeping the rise in global temperatures to beneath 2 degree centigrade would cost a mere 0.12% of global annual GDP.
On a somewhat less encouraging note, the report states that despite a number of options for reducing emissions in the transport sector, "their effect may be counteracted by growth in the sector". Growth in the air transport and vehicle sectors, in other words, may outpace advances in vehicle and airplane fuel efficiency, and the potential of biofuels is still largely dependant production methods.
The report goes on to say that mitigation in the transport sector must be linked with other measures since a reduction of vehicle emissions "is often a co-benefit of addressing traffic congestion, air quality and energy security".
Upgrades in energy and other infrastructure are generally seen as a significant GHG mitigating factor, yet the effects of certain upgrades may require decades to take effect. In this light, the report notes that it "is often more cost-effective to invest in end-use energy efficiency improvement than in increasing energy supply to satisfy demand for energy services".
The use of renewable energies is of course encouraged in the report, but alongside other energy sources including nuclear power.
The report presents a mixed picture on the benefits of policy instruments, stating that there are advantages and disadvantages to all systems. Standards and regulations, for example, may provide certainty on allowed emissions levels, but they "may not induce innovations and more advanced technologies".
Adjustments in individual lifestyles is also mentioned in the report as a significant GHG mitigating factor.
Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas praised the IPCC's conclusions for fully supporting "the EU’s view that developed countries must reduce emissions to 30% below 1990 levels by 2020," a reflection of the EU's independent commitment made in January 2007.
Catherine Pearce, climate campaigner for Friends of the Earth (FOE), believes the IPCC report presents "further clear evidence that should compel governments to immediate action". FOE also argues that, beyond technological innovations, a "range of mitigation efforts are required, including changes in lifestyle and unsustainable consumption patterns in the rich, developed countries".
The report was also praised by Europe's nuclear energy industry. FORATOM, the trade association that represents the industry. FORATOM welcomed the inclusion of nuclear energy as part of the energy mix recommended for mitigating GHG emissions.
A more critical view of the report was taken by the Greens in the European Parliament, who charged that the report is "unfortunately very conservative in its findings," and that it does not take into account the "necessary lifestyle changes" required to tackle climate change.
Strong criticism also came from several environmental groups, including Biofuelwatch and the Global Forest Coalition, for the report's "recommendation for large-scale expansion of biofuels from monocultures, including from GM crops, even though monoculture expansion is a driving force behind the destruction of rainforests and other carbon sinks and reservoirs, thus accelerating climate change. "