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29 November 2009
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Bosnia tilts toward ethnic partition 

Published: Monday 2 February 2009   

The three nationalist parties in Bosnia and Herzegovina have signed an agreement, which according to the local press, could signal the country’s partition.

Background:

Local elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina held last October confirmed deep ethnic divisions within the Balkan country, which is seen as a natural candidate for EU accession (EurActiv 06/10/08). 

Serb, Muslim and Croat nationalists obtained high scores in the race for mayorships in the country's 149 municipalities following a campaign marked by nationalist rhetoric and lack of interest in the real problems faced by citizens. The poll was also marked by vote selling. 

Recently EU leaders issued a strong-worded message to Bosnia and Herzegovina, warning that continued political in-fighting between Serb, Muslim and Croat nationalists is driving the country away from its citizens' aspirations to move closer to the Union (EurActiv 23/10/08). 

At a meeting of EU defence ministers in Deauville on 2 October, the decision was taken to phase out the 2,000-strong EU peacekeeping mission in Bosnia and Herzegovina, although no deadline was set. Since the 1995 Dayton peace agreement up to know, the country's management is propped by the Western community, through the office of the high representative of the international community. 

More on this topic:

Other related news:

The Bosniak, Serb and Croat leaders of the country have signed a common declaration on the institutional reorganisation of the country on 26 January in Banja Luka, the French daily Le Monde reported last week. 

Under the headline 'Project for a new Bosnian partition', the new agreement could bring about the institution of four 'regions' in Bosnia – Bosnian, Serbian, Croat and a Sarajevo federal district. It was signed by Sulejman Tihić, Milorad Dodik and Dragan Čović, who lead the Bosniak, Serb and Croat parts of the country. 

The 1995 Dayton agreements had instituted two main entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Repubika Srpska. 

While the supporters of the country's unity dream of abandoning the present "entities", nationalists are trying to consolidate ethnic divisions along former front lines. Most Muslim Bosnians wish a reunification of the country, while most Serbs want to consolidate the Republika Srpska. Croats, who represent only 10% of the population, prefer to keep a special "entity". 

Should the agreement receive parliamentary support, then the division would be sealed. The three parties – SNSD for the Serbs, SDA for the Muslim Bosnians and HDZ BiH for the Croats - do not have a majority and need the support of other political players. 

The Banja Luka agreement was signed only days after the departure of Miroslav Lajčák, the high representative of the international community in Bosnia and Herzegovina, who became Slovakia's foreign minister. 

It is still unclear if the position of high representative of the international community in the Balkan country will be maintained. Le Monde writes that once again, the international community appears to have no coherent strategy for Bosnia and Herzegovina. 

Commission 'studies' the agreement 

However, the European Commission appears to be optimistic. Krisztina Nagy, spokeswoman for enlargement commissioner Olli Rehn, said on Friday that the EU executive had just been informed about the joint statement signed by the three leaders. 

"We are still studying it. We welcome this agreement. Domestic dialogue based on compromise is the only way forward for Bosnia and Herzegovina," Nagy said, adding: "It is important now to translate the joint statement into legislative proposals and to get them adopted. We will be following this issue very closely. We understand that more concrete proposals will be made in the coming weeks." 

Positions:

The head of the Croatian National Council in Bosnia, Bishop Peter Matanovic, spoke against the agreement of the three nationalist leaders and stated that the division of Bosnia into four federal units would lead to a new war, the Croatian daily Javno wrote on 1 February. 

"It seems to me that this agreement entails an intention to strengthen entities and weaken the country. In the agreement of the three, they stressed the nation too much, although I think economy should come first, then human rights and only then national and historical messes which are important, but not that much. So, we believe that this leads into a new conflict and a new war and we would like to avoid that," Matanovic is quoted as saying. 

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