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Despite the impact of recent global financial turmoil on European banks, the structure of the banking industry in Europe that has been built up over the last decade will secure its future, argues Jan Schildbach in an April research paper for Deutsche Bank Research.
Consolidation has led to bigger banks with higher market shares, enabling them to take advantage of economies of scale, says Schildbach. The rapid internationalisation of European banks has enabled poorly performing domestic banks to seek new sources of growth within Europe and the USA as well as other emerging markets, he adds.
The convergence of bank and capital market-based fiscal practices has led to progress in the management of credit risk, claims Schildbach. The break-up of the value chain (deconstruction) coupled with rising specialisation allows banks to benefit from economies of scale and gives them more flexibility in accommodating modifications to demand and competition, he adds.
The integration of European financial markets will benefit consumers and act as an incentive for banks to review their range of services and focus on their advantages, suggests the author.
Thus, despite a "moderate reversal" of European financial markets due to the credit crunch, Europe's banks have "achieved substantial improvements regarding their profitability and efficiency levels" over the last 20 years, says Schildbach, citing the following main reasons for this:
Meanwhile, Schildbach identifies new trends which he expects will continue in coming years:
He concludes that the financial turmoil of recent months "will reduce revenues from securitisation for a number of years" but predicts that banks' sphere of responsibility will move from asset intermediation to risk intermediation.