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It is "surprising that no explicitly economic subject appears among France's priorities" for its EU Presidency, writes Ecole Normale Supérieure and Harvard University graduate Jean-François Jamet for the Fondation Robert Schuman, questioning whether this could be a sign of the country's lack of confidence in influencing Europe's economic strategy.
The author underlines France's apparent decreasing influence over the EU's economic orientation and decision-making compared with the past. To assess France's current economic influence in the EU, Jamet analyses three aspects:
Up till now, France has managed to preserve its influence on international institutions like the IMF, the World Bank and the G7, states Jamet. But he says emerging countries are asking for international institutions' decision-making powers to be balanced to better reflect their status. "French influence will inevitably be weakened by this," Jamet adds.
He gives several reasons for this, including the country's poor economic performance, mismanagement of public finances and a governmental speech giving the impression France was "questioning the ECB's independence". To strengthen France's economic influence in the short to medium term, Jamet suggests "it is essential the government avoids giving EU institutions lessons in economic policy".
The best way to "recapture its authority on the international scene would be to improve its economic performances and its public finances in the medium term," he adds.
The French EU Presidency, due to start on 1 July 2008, will give the country the opportunity to introduce initiatives for the financial and industrial sectors, concludes the paper.