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How EU subsidies inflate biofuel prices

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Published 08 May 2013, updated 10 May 2013

Public subsidies constitute a powerful market intervention that indirectly inflate biofuel prices, argues Chris Charles. Industry criticisms of the International Institute of Sustainable Development’s research on the subject fall wide of the mark, he writes.

Chris Charles is a project manager with the International Institute for Sustainable Development’s Global Subsidies Initiative.

The costs and benefits of biofuels have been hotly debated in the European Union, where the EU and member states both have ambitious renewable fuel targets – to be met largely through biofuels. Some have charged that supporting biofuels is not a cost-effective way to replace oil-based liquid fuels, reduce greenhouse-gas emissions, or support rural and innovative development. Others argue that the economic and environmental benefits make biofuels a ‘win-win’ source of energy. So where does the truth lie?

It was with that question in mind that the International Institute for Sustainable Development’s Global Subsidies Initiative recently published ‘Biofuels – At What Cost, A review of costs and benefits of EU biofuels policy. The study found that the EU spent €9.3 billion to €10.7 billion subsidising biofuels in 2011. The study questions whether the current use of biofuel support measures is the most efficient means of addressing climate change and promoting economic growth.   

A number of issues have been raised about the study by Eric Sievers and Rob Vierhout, both of whom represent the EU ethanol industry, in a commentary published last week by EurActiv (Biofuels: Who’s subsidising whom?). Their commentary questioned IISD’s subsidy estimates, and suggested that the method used to determine them was flawed. I would like to address some of the more serious critiques by Sievers and Vierhout with respect to our research.

IISD contributes to sustainable development by advancing policy recommendations on a range of key issues, such as international trade and investment, economic policy, climate change and energy. The IISD is independent of all governments, suppliers and consumer groups.  Its focus is on providing high quality, independent, freely available policy research to improve transparency and debate. The Institute established the Global Subsidies Initiative (GSI) in 2005 to analyse subsidies and how they support or undermine efforts to achieve sustainable development. The GSI has a comprehensive program on energy subsidies that includes fossil-fuels (oil, coal and gas production and consumption), and parallel programmes on biofuels and renewable electricity.

Its research is guided by the use of the best available information, using data from public accounts and state-of-the-art literature. Factual information is supported by references, with assumptions supporting calculations clearly stated, so stakeholders are able to critique, disagree, or provide alternative analysis. Independent peer-review of research is an important quality control measure. The report in question was peer-reviewed by respected non-governmental organisations, inter-governmental and governmental organisations, such as the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (United Kingdom), the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), Imperial College London, and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) .

The GSI follows a three-stage approach to subsidy analysis: define, measure, and evaluate.  Different approaches to one or more of these stages, and how they are combined, lead to different interpretations of the scale and impact of support measures. Sievers and Vierhout question our approach to measuring the size of the subsidy to the EU biofuel industry. The subsidy definition applied by the IISD in developing the 2011 subsidy estimate of €9.3 billion to €10.7 billion follows the WTO’s Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (ASCM) negotiated by 158 member countries. Following the WTO definition, our analysis includes market price support and market transfers, which include government’s policies that mandate transfers between consumers and producers. It also includes excise tax exemptions, where biofuels are exempted from taxes applied to petrol and diesel, and the use of biofuel mandates requiring the use of biofuels in road transport markets.

Mandates require that a certain percentage of road transport fuels must come from biofuels, with the share often rising over time. These are a powerful market intervention that provides the biofuel industry with an important financial benefit in the form of market security, which in turn raises biofuel prices. Some in the biofuel sector view mandates as a technical policy resulting from the application of the Renewable Energy Directive (RED).

While we are confident in our methodology – and have consistently applied it other studies – we have also encouraged discussion on the range of approaches that are available. For example, the International Energy Agency (IEA), which applies a method that multiplies the volumes of biofuels consumed by the difference of their cost to the reference price of comparable petroleum-based product, estimates support to the EU biofuel industry in 2011 at $11 billion (or €8.4 billion). Different subsidy estimates will result in differing carbon abatement costs for reducing emissions and different calculations of the per litre subsidy for biofuels. And not all biofuels are the same – the costs and benefits of biofuels differ, including by feedstock and production process.

The IISD seeks to encourage a full debate on whether subsidies represent the best use of public funds against public policy objectives, based on both its own research and the work of others.   Research put forth by the biofuel industry should also be transparent, referenced, and ideally reviewed by independent organisations. This includes issues such as job numbers, where it is often not clear if figures developed by the biofuel industry include direct, indirect or induced jobs, or gross or net jobs. Tax payments also provide an example where data provided by the industry would benefit from greater transparency and information sharing.

The question should not be ‘who‘s subsidising whom?’ but how best to invest public funds for an environmentally, socially and economically prosperous future.

COMMENTS

  • There is, although you suggest otherwise, no dispute between industry and you (or the Commission) on jobs numbers.

    The crux of the dispute is biofuels excise subsidies, which is the main subject of our criticism of your work and also your rebuttal here. A rational look at facts shows that your inclusion of excise tax exemptions is unreasonable.

    Today, because of the RED, Member States require minimum amounts of biofuels blending. Hypothetical Member State X requires 5% ethanol blending. Theoretically, fuel companies could blend more than 5%, but that does not happen in Europe on any meaningful scale; it does not happen even when ethanol is much cheaper than petrol. The phenomenon of "discretionary blending" does not happen in Europe and so should be (until such time as it really happens) excluded from economic analyses.

    Thus, in X, 5% ethanol will be blended, period. If there is no excise tax exemption, 5% will be blended. If there is an excise tax exemption, 5% will be blended. Either way, biofuels producers do not pay excise taxes and either way the market price of biofuels is the same. All of the "subsidy" from excise tax exemptions goes to fuel suppliers (i.e. oil companies) or has other negative externalities, and no matter the size of this subsidy, the behavior of the oil companies is exactly the same.

    Given this reality, IISD's approach is unsupportable. Excise tax exemptions have no impact on the market (e.g. Rotterdam quoted price) price of biofuels in the EU, and the exemptions are collected by oil companies. These exemptions have nothing to do with "EU" biofuel policy.

    Our company agrees with you that the subsidies are wasteful. They are one more example of subsidies being provided to the fossil fuel industry. This time, in quite Orwellian fashion, in the name of alternatives to fossil fuels.

    When you remove biofuels excise tax exemptions from IISD's summation of biofuels subsidies, ethanol becomes a much more economically efficient way to decarbonise the EU transport industry than IISD's chosen best technology. That fact is made that much more powerful when one realizes that IISD's chosen best technology (fuel efficient cars) implicitly requires high octane fuels- something that requires ethanol anyway and so makes IISD's conclusions self-defeating due to IISD's lack of knowledge about technological realities.

    Our industry (and, likely, biodiesel also, whose true benefits are so often ignored) is happy to collaborate in research, including with IISD, even if only to point out basic technological facts about which IISD may be unaware. We had been making that offer to you long before this current debate, and will continue to make it.

    You close with an appeal that we should all be working for an environmentally, socially and economically prosperous future. Defending the oil company status quo at the expense of a green industry is, however, something that we do not think contributes to European environmental, social or economic prosperity.

    By :
    Eric Sievers
    - Posted on :
    10/05/2013
  • In spite of the claims of green-funded studies, more energy is required to produce ethanol than the ethanol releases as fuel. If ANYONE could realize more energy from the ethanol than is required to produce it they would soon have an endless supply of cheap, essentially free energy. Every university and factory would be energy self-sufficient and would be selling ethanol at very low prices.

    In fact, ethanol and all biofuel production is subsidized, and laws are required to force people to use it-because it is more expensive than gasoline or diesel. Since we use more energy (which of course comes from conventional energy sources) to produce the ethanol, we must be increasing CO2 and other emissions.

    There is no need to argue with these simple facts. If you can produce ethanol with less energy than you get from the ethanol you produce, you're on your way to becoming a billionaire and a green hero! What's standing in your way?

    By :
    Geoff Sander
    - Posted on :
    10/05/2013
  • Mr G sander: you are wrong.
    We can make the Renewable Fuels Ethanol and Butanol for less than €urocents 25 per litre from discarded biomass extracted from various sources of materials and they can survive with a minimum of subsidy just to develop the programmes. That subsidy need only be the costs of the raw materials - which for example in waste (municipal solid waste) terms need only be €30-00 per tonne until the financing pay-back to banks has been remonstrated in the first 5 to 7 years.
    Of course if you make these fuels from food crops then your argument stands.
    We are already seeing developments in the EU (Holland the Mediterranean Islands, the UK and now Italy Greece and the wider MENA/MEDA areas where this is happening. What we have found is that it is the excise duties that do not distinguish the betterment. We can thus sell Butanol directly to customers at €urocents 100 per litre with the recognition of appropriate fuel duties being applied.

    By :
    Karel
    - Posted on :
    20/05/2013

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