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Jeremy Rifkin warns Europe: Don’t repeat Obama’s mistakes

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Published 21 March 2013, updated 18 April 2013

A leading climate analyst and adviser to world governments has warned the EU that its environmental goals will become meaningless unless the bloc learns from US President Barack Obama's mistakes, and makes a supergrid the 'nervous system' of its energy policy. 

Jeremy Rifkin is a highly-influential American writer whose best-selling Third Industrial Revolution arguably provided the blueprint for Germany Energiewende transition to a low-carbon economy, and China’s strategic acceptance of climate policy.

Speaking to a Brussels 'Supergrid 2013' conference via a web interlink on 19 March, he sounded a warning note about obstacles to the ‘clean energy internet’ that he envisages a European supergrid becoming.

“Do not make the mistake that President Obama made,” Rifkin said. “He wanted a green economy – he still does – but it didn’t happen because he spent billions of dollars on standalone pilot projects: advanced projects for a supergrid in one state, a solar factory in another state, a batteries factory in a third state, all unconnected silos.”

Rifkin’s guiding idea of an ultra-efficient clean energy renaissance has five interconnected components: booming renewable energy supplies, mass deployment of electricity storage facilities, a roll-out of clean transport, and the conversion of all buildings into efficient micro-power generation plants.

Crucially, it depends on the development of a smart supergrid that can provide a "mega-platform" for what Rifkin calls "the democratisation of energy," a transformation of energy users into producers through the micro-generation of renewable electricity that can be sold back to the grid.

“These five pillars are meaningless by themselves, including the supergrid,” Rifkin said. “They only become operational as we phase in and connect the pillars.”

The idea of the third industrial revolution is that electricity will ultimately be tapped through windmills on the sides of buildings, solar panels on roofs, geothermal energy beneath foundations, and garbage in the kitchen. It could then be transported to a potential market of one billion people, stretching from Finland to the Maghreb.

“The EU has a golden goose but it is not feeding it,” Rifkin said.

Budget cuts

European plans to build the necessary mesh of grid inter-connections to accommodate renewable energies have been set back by budget cuts announced last month in the EU’s draft 2014-2020 budget.

Almost half of the funding earmarked for the Energy Infrastructure Package to build grid infrastructure, some €4 billion, sank below the waves of austerity – so jeapordising EU plans to link wind farms to electricity grids, according to Energy Commissioner Günther Oettinger.

Liberal MEP Graham Watson blamed pressure from fossil fuel companies.

“We should never underestimate the power of the oil and gas lobbies, especially now that shale gas is being exploited and we should not underestimate the stasis of governments, not just at Brussels-level but in member states,” he told the conference.

A supergrid was essential for growth and security, Watson argued. But “we saw in the last discussion about the EU’s next funding period, large amounts of money staying in the politics of the past and relatively little going into the investments we will need to deal with the future,” he said.

EIB to the rescue?

The energy infrastructure package had initially been supposed to invest €9.1 billion of public seed money to raise €200 billion for investment in grid infrastructure.

To bolster the looming shortfall, the European Investment Bank (EIB) is currently in talks with the Commission and member states about the potential for raising money on international capital markets, using its access to member state funds as surety.

Richard Willis, a bank spokesman, said that loans to energy projects usually covered a third of costs, but could reach as much as one half.   

“We recognise energy schemes as a key priority and where other sources of finance are retreating at the moment, we see the need to step up our engagement for large-scale infrastructure, as well as smaller schemes,” he told EurActiv.  

The EIB took a strategic decision in late 2012 to increase lending to energy projects over the next three years and an internal lending policy review, due to wrap up in the summer, is expected to distill the details of this further.

“We [already] see a need to ensure that the infrastructure is in place to ensure security of supply and we have done a number of big inter-connectors between the UK and Ireland, and the UK and the Netherlands, as well as key links across Europe,” Willis said.

Yet according to Rifkin, the issue has a global significance because of a pressing need to decarbonise by 2030, if tipping points for containing global warming are not to be exceeded.   

“The entire infrastructure of this civilization made out of carbon-based fuels is now clearly on life support,” he said. “We can smell it all over the world, its dying around us.”

“We are on the cusp of a third industrial revolution and Europe is leading on this,” he continued. “But we are not moving as quickly as we should.”

Next steps: 
  • March: Final approval of energy infrastructure package expected by European Parliament and EU Council of Ministers.
  • By autmum: List of projects of common interest to be finalised.
  • 2014: Planned entry into force of 'Connecting Europe Facility' (CEF), under which infrastructure will be financed.
Arthur Neslen

COMMENTS

  • Insomniacs the world over, I have good news, listen to Rifkin droning on and you will soon to be asleep – like I was earlier this week at a German storage conference (thank you Jeremy – you helped me catch up on some sleep). It is well known that Barosso suffers from insomnia and it is not by accident that he to uses Rifkin to cure his sleep problems.

    Karl Popper in his book “The Poverty Of Historicism” and the section “Piecemeal vs Utopian Engeeering” noted, you can address large problems in two ways, either in a piecemeal fashion (keeping an eye on overall objectives) or through holistic or utopian social engineering. Rifkin’s proposals fall firmly into the latter category. As Popper notes, the utopian bunch reject the piecemeal approach as too modest – and then after a short passage of time tend to fall back onto a clumsy version of the piecemeal approach, although without (as Popper notes) the self-critical and cautious approach that characterises the piecemeal approach. Of course Popper (a titan in 20th century philosophy) could be wrong and Rifkin and his utopianism could be right – I leave it to readers to decide.

    Rifkin talks about the “democratisation of energy” which implies local generation but at the same time he talks about “super-grids”. There seems to be something of a conflict here. Democratisation implies more action at a local level (= more generation) in turn this would imply a lesser need for transmission networks which would become more a way of synchronising local networks rather than transmitters of bulk power. As somebody at the German storage conference noted, if we are going to generate lots of local power why do we need the north-south reinforcement?

    Rifkin also talks about “storage”. Well yes it has a role to play, but instead of talking generalities let’s talk specifics and take the UK as an example. If you connect storage in the UK to a PV or wind turbine any energy it stores from the PV or wind turbine (and feeds into the network later) is NOT classed as renewable generation which means the owner/operators do NOT get the FiT or ROC. As you can imagine this is not an incentive to install storage. Ofgem is aware of this regulatory problem, this is what it is doing about it……………………… The European Commission is aware of this regulatory problem this is what it is doing about it…………………… This is one of the reasons I favour a piecemeal approach – much of the time it dispenses with the need for regulatory doorknobs (see the two examples above).

    Back at the piecemeal level , plenty of problems that I am confident we will solve (eventually). I am equally confident that natural gas plants such as Mr Rifkin will continue to ensure that Mr Barosso and other insomniacs continue to get a good nights sleep (PS: thanks Jeremy for allowing me to dooze at the conference - I woke up refreshed after your monologue).

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    21/03/2013
  • Far from representing the democratisation of energy , the drive towards renewables - mostly wind -in EU is coming at the expense of local democracy. EU targets for renewables set with no local participation; National Renewable Energy Action Plans imposed by national governments with no democratic discussion contrary to SEA Directive and UN Aarhus convention; vast amounts of EU funds going to support the EU wind industry via directives, research, roadmaps etc, in contrast to the total lack of funding going to those fighting to preserve EU landscape and wildlife heritage; EIB funding for destructive, unnecessary wind projects and grid development promoted by speculators and utilities against the wishes of the local people; the "streamlining" of permitting procedures via Strategic Infrastructure legislation; .....one could go on. The imposition of vast,expensive wind projects on increasingly reluctant European communities for reasons which can have little to do with halting climate change is a travesty of local democracy and will be seen as such in years to come.

    By :
    James Doyle
    - Posted on :
    21/03/2013
  • Far from representing the democratisation of energy , the drive towards renewables - mostly wind -in EU is coming at the expense of local democracy. EU targets for renewables set with no local participation; National Renewable Energy Action Plans imposed by national governments with no democratic discussion contrary to SEA Directive and UN Aarhus convention; vast amounts of EU funds going to support the EU wind industry via directives, research, roadmaps etc, in contrast to the total lack of funding going to those fighting to preserve EU landscape and wildlife heritage; EIB funding for destructive, unnecessary wind projects and grid development promoted by speculators and utilities against the wishes of the local people; the "streamlining" of permitting procedures via Strategic Infrastructure legislation; .....one could go on. The imposition of vast,expensive wind projects on increasingly reluctant European communities for reasons which can have little to do with halting climate change is a travesty of local democracy and will be seen as such in years to come.

    By :
    James Doyle
    - Posted on :
    21/03/2013
  • Mr Doyle, are you waving or drowning? Dealing in generalities is entertaining – specifics is more interesting.

    Specific 1: RES development in member states tends to be driven by the tax year –it is “high net worth” individuals that invest in these things (IRR 15%) and the name of the game is tax avoidance (the investments have a “favourable” read tax “dodge” status. In the UK, the distribution network operators are having to hire more people to handle RES applications from … how can I put this delicately – I cann’t – tax dodgers.

    Specific 2: usual suspects = EdF, EON, RWE, Vattenfall, SSE, Iberdrola…. Sell energy. They are not interested in selling less energy. Readers are invited to “join up the dots” on this one (energy efficiency = sell less energy etc), other people owning RES = sell less energy and so forth.

    Specific 3: you cann’t sell your surplus energy (from e.g. your PV)to your next door neighbour – well you could if you ran a small cable to their house but the usual suspects would go bananas if you were found out – do think – police knocking on the door – don’t think – the regulator would like to see more competition – speaking of which…

    Specific 4: energy “markets” are designed for the “usual suspects” to stay in business (that is what you would do if you were the u-s). It is designed (I chose this word specifically) to be both difficult and costly for “outsiders”to join – and this has been made so – by the regulators..

    Specific 5: the EC knows all the above. This is what they are doing about it………………………………….you may not realise it but when Simon & Garfunkel wrote the “Sound of Silence” they had the (non) energy regulators and the European Commission (& DG (non)Competition) in mind – I know this – they told me (S&G – not the doorknob energy regs & the EC).

    Specific 6: the regulators and the EC are there to maintain the status quo, to keep the likes of the big six in the style to which they have grown accustomed and to make sure that you, me and the mob in the outer darkness are ignored – there I feel better – do you?

    & yes I can write this because I don’t make my money from any of the above arseholes.

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    21/03/2013
Background: 

The European Summit of 4 February 2011 underlined the need to modernise and expand Europe's energy infrastructure and to interconnect networks across borders.

Heads of state insisted that no EU member country should remain isolated from the European gas and electricity networks after 2015 or see its energy security jeopardised by lack of the appropriate connections.

On 29 June 2011, the Commission proposed the Connecting Europe Facility to promote the completion of priority energy, transport and digital infrastructures with a single fund of €50 billion, out of which €9.1 billion was dedicated to energy. But in early 2013, that sum was cut in budget horse-trading.  

The European Commission estimates investment needs of about €140 billion for electricity infrastructure and at least €70 billion for gas through 2020.

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