The upcoming enlargement has fuelled fears about Central and
Eastern European mafias spreading organised crime across the
enlarged EU. While these concerns might be justified, especially
when it comes to human trafficking and music piracy, many experts
argue that fears of an explosion of organised crime sparked off by
enlargement are exaggerated.
"People have this vision of criminals sitting in their Mercedes
waiting for the borders to open on May 1 in order to drive west," a
police official said to the Financial Times. "The truth is that
crime rarely waits for borders to open and that the real division
of Europe's criminal market between western and eastern criminals
took place shortly after the fall of the Iron Curtain."
However, there is a serious danger of organised time flourishing
in the new countries themselves, as enlargement brings prosperity
through foreign investment and EU funding. Particularly, experts
warn that drug consumption might be on the rise, transforming the
new Member States from mere transit regions into lucrative
end-user-markets. A recent report by the European Monitoring Centre
for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA) showed that drug consumption
in these countries is indeed already increasing, but it also
pointed out that enlargement offered countries a unique opportunity
to benefit from closer collaboration (see
).
A similar switch from transit to final destination country could
occur in the are of human trafficking, in particular concerning
prostitutes coming from places such as Romania, Ukraine and
Moldova. Instead of being sent on to the Western states, increasing
wealth in the new Member States might lead to victims reaching
their final destination as soon as Hungary or Poland. Although the
EU has anticipated this problem by the funding programme for
candidate countries ahead of enlargement and close police
co-operation, the security of the new 4,000 km long Eastern border
is expected to cause major problems.