Most Romanians associate the last two decades with a continuous process of impoverishment and deteriorating living standards, according to Romania's Life Quality Research Institute, quoted by the Financiarul daily.
Starting from an official poverty rate of 7% in the beginning of the 1990s, the number of people in this category had tripled by 2008, when the economic crisis began.
But this evolution was uneven, the research reveals. In 2007, there were approximately 2.1 million poor people recorded in official statistics. One year later, their numbers had decreased by one million, mainly due to emigration. Improving living standards were also a factor, but a much less relevant one, the institute says.
The research identifies several causes of such poverty: unemployment, unfavourable exchange rates for foreign currency and money transfers by Romanians abroad, as well as poor interest rates in the banking sector.
Unemployment is on the rise, with the International Monetary Fund predicting a 10% rate by the end of this year. In comparison, unemployment stood at 6.1% in 2007, 4.1% in 2008 and 4.4% in 2009.
Similarly, the exchange rate of the national currency, the leu (lei in plural), changed from three lei to the euro in 2008 to four lei to the euro in 2009. This led to rising interest rates and a higher number of borrowers defaulting on their debt.
The volume of currency transfers to the country by Romanians working abroad is also not to be underestimated. These amount to 5-6% of the country's GDP, but fell considerably as a result of massive restructuring in the European construction and agriculture industries following the crisis.
In 2007, one of the minority groups most affected by poverty was considered to be the Roma, among whom the absolute poverty rate was almost five times higher than the national average.
Nowadays, 75% of Romanians suffer from poverty and live in rural areas. However, poverty has soared in urban areas, mainly as a result of rising unemployment. The most vulnerable groups are children, teenagers and the elderly.
In the absence of government policy to create jobs, the average time that people spend unemployed has stretched to over two years.
At political level, the absence of measures to tackle poverty is striking. Large-scale social assistance programmes cannot be implemented, because funds are missing and constraints on public spending have been imposed by the IMF.
Public investment programmes in sectors such as infrastructure, which could in theory bring life to the labour market, have failed and the absorption level of EU funds remains below expectations.
In this context, the effect of any changes that the government is able to make to reduce poverty in the next ten years will be limited at best, observers say.
"Poverty reduction has never been part of Romanian strategies in the last twenty years," says Professor Catalin Zamfir, director of the Institute for Quality of Life Studies. "There are no clear, focused programmes with such an objective. As a consequence, we are witnessing a serious deterioration on the labour market and great difficulty for people to integrate into society."
As for the future, Professor Zamfir says the neo-liberal strategies professed by the country's elite would never have the objective of bridging the social gap. As a consequence, the country's hopes of achieving the EU's poverty reduction goals are "unrealistic," he said.