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Central banks move to jump-start economies

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Published 06 July 2012, updated 27 August 2012

The eurozone, China and Britain loosened monetary policy in the space of less than an hour yesterday (5 July), signalling a growing level of alarm about the world economy, although suggestions of coordinated action were played down.

Of the three, the surprise move was from Beijing which lowered its lending rate by 31 basis points to 6% following an interest rate cut just a month ago that also came out of the blue.

The European Central Bank cut rates to a record low 0.75% following a dire run of economic data. But it steered clear of bolder moves such as reviving its government bond-buying programme or flooding banks with more long-term liquidity.

The Bank of England, whose rates are already at a record low 0.5%, said it would restart its printing presses and buy 50 billion pounds of assets with newly created money to help the economy out of recession.

"It is a surprise that they are moving so quickly. It shows that policymakers' concerns about the global economy have only grown," Mark Williams, an economist at Capital Economics in London, said of the People's Bank of China's action.

A raft of Chinese data is due next week, including second-quarter gross domestic product that officials may know to be poor, he said. But they may also be trying to foster suggestions of acting in concert.

"Policymakers may have felt that cutting rates on the day that the ECB [did] the same would deliver a bigger impact, encouraging talk of a coordinated response to the slowdown in the global economy," Williams said. "Again, though, this might simply underline the seriousness of the downside risks."

Not a coordinated move

In Frankfurt, ECB President Mario Draghi denied any globally coordinated central bank action of the sort seen after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

"On coordination, no, there wasn't any ... that went beyond the normal exchange of views on the state of the business cycle, on the state of the economy, and on the state of global demand," he told a news conference.

Asked if conditions were now as bad as they were in late 2008 when the world's financial system was teetering, Draghi replied: "Definitely not."

The action puts even more focus on what the U.S. Federal Reserve will do when it holds its next meeting on July 31 and August 1. The Bank of Japan meets next week.

Last month, the Fed held off on another round of bond-buying but its chief, Ben Bernanke, said there was "considerable scope to do more."

In recent weeks, economic evidence from Asia, Europe and the United States has pointed to a world economy running out of steam.

Meanwhile the Danish central bank, nationalbanken, cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday following the ECB, putting one of its secondary rates below zero for the first time in history.

Nationalbanken cut its lending rate to 0.20% from 0.45% and lowered its certificates of deposit (CD) rate to negative 0.20% from 0.05% to match the ECB’s move.

With negative rates, banks would have to pay if they want to deposit money at the Danish central bank.

EurActiv.com with Reuters
ECB President Mario Draghi
Background: 

The International Monetary Fund has urged the United States to quickly remove the uncertainty over the path of fiscal policy, which is set to tighten abruptly at the start of next year without congressional action.

Measures announced at the 28-29 June European summit bought some calm to the eurozone debt crisis with the promise of action to lower government borrowing costs, but economists say they did not tackle the root problems.

The ECB continues to put the onus on eurozone governments to solve their debt crisis and did not even discuss at a 5 July meeting "non-standard" measures such as buying Spanish and Italian bonds to lower borrowing costs which are not sustainable indefinitely.

Elsewhere, Denmark's central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, shadowing the ECB's action, in a historic move that put one of its secondary rates into negative territory for the first time.

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