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Cyprus rating downgraded, no comment from Commission

Published 27 July 2011 - Updated 28 July 2011
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Moody's rating agency downgraded Cyprus two notches yesterday (26 July), saying concerns about its fiscal position were amplified by the consequences of a massive blast that destroyed the island's largest power station on 11 July. The European Commission said it would not comment on the downgrading.

Moody's said the outlook for the island was negative and rated it Baa1 (see 'Background'), skewed to the downside. In Moody's view, Cyprus had failed to implement its own austerity programme.

Asked to comment, a Commission spokesperson said today that she had not seen the rating agency's announcement, but explained that "the normal rule" was for the EU executive not to comment on announcements by rating agencies.

However, the recent downgrading by Moody's of Portugal was slammed by Commission President José Manuel Barroso and other top EU officials. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble likened Portugal's downgrading to "terrorism" and called for limits to be imposed on the rating agencies' "oligopoly".

Asked why the Commission was less critical this time, the spokesperson launched into a lengthy explanation, in essence saying that the EU executive did not comment on credit ratings by agencies, unless specifically decided otherwise.

Cyprus's government and opposition parties agreed to an initial austerity package on Friday which includes spending cuts and privatising the island's stock exchange, officials quoted by Reuters said.

"The government and political parties today agreed on an initial economic package. The dialogue will continue for the adoption of additional measures," government spokesman Stefanos Stefanou told reporters.

He declined to go into specifics, but party officials present at a meeting between President Demetris Christofias and party leaders said it would include civil service spending cuts and privatising the bourse. The amount Cyprus would generate from the measures was not disclosed.

Blast hurts economy

The package comes in the aftermath of a deadly blast which ripped through Cyprus's main power station on 11 July, wiping out 53% of electricity production.

It was unclear whether the envisaged austerity measures took account of the economic impact of the blast, estimated by economists to be at least one billion euros. Finance ministry sources say initial estimates suggest Cyprus will register zero growth this year, from a previous assessment of 1.5%.

Earlier in the week, Central Bank governor Athanasios Orphanides warned that Cyprus could be forced to seek a bailout unless tougher economic austerity measures were taken immediately.

The package unveiled on 1 July by the government suggested dismantling three semi-governmental corporations, reducing civil service staff numbers by 1,000 each year and making changes to pension contributions by civil servants.

Cyprus is already under market pressure due to its links to debt-laden Greece, and yields on bonds issued to international investors have surged in recent months.

COMMENTS

  • another vicious act by the so called rating agencies ! the should be sued for tortious interference, claiming billions of damages for falsely accusing countries !
    By :
    Anonymous
    - Posted on :
    27/07/2011
  • I'm getting really sick of reading about these rating agencies. The more they act these days, the less credible I find what they're saying, to be honest. And it's because they are now downgrading these European countries at a drop of a hat, or perhaps because the hat didn't drop. There really needs to be some sort of rating agency of the rating agencies! Downgrade Moody's credibility for a change. These people think they rule the world. And what are they doing about US debt???
    By :
    annoyed
    - Posted on :
    28/07/2011
Background: 

Credit rating agencies estimate the worthiness of companies, but also countries.

A credit rating tells a lender or investor the probability of the subject being able to pay back a loan. A poor credit rating indicates a high risk of default and leads to high interest rates, or even refusal of loans by creditors.

Standard & Poor's, Moody's or Fitch rating agencies use letter designations such as A, B, C.

The Standard & Poor's rating scale is as follows, from excellent to poor: AAA, AA+, AA, AA-, A+, A, A-, BBB+, BBB, BBB-, BB+, BB, BB-, B+, B, B-, CCC+, CCC, CCC-, CC, C, D. Anything lower than a BBB- rating is considered a speculative or junk bond.

The Moody's rating system uses a similar concept but the naming is a little different. It is as follows, from excellent to poor: Aaa, Aa1, Aa2, Aa3, A1, A2, A3, Baa1, Baa2, Baa3, Ba1, Ba2, Ba3, B1, B2, B3, Caa1, Caa2, Caa3, Ca, C.

Recently Moody's cut Portugal's sovereign rating four notches from Baa1 to Ba2, relegating it to the level of junk bonds, and the same rating agency downgraded Greece from Ca to Caa1.

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