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ECB official: ‘Grexit’ possible but not desirable

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Published 20 August 2012, updated 27 August 2012

European Central Bank policymaker Jörg Asmussen said a Greek exit from the eurozone would be manageable although he would prefer it if the crisis-stricken country remained within the single currency bloc.

"Firstly my clear preference is that Greece should remain in the currency union," Asmussen was quoted as saying in an advance copy of an interview published in today’s edition (20 August) of the Frankfurter Rundschau in Germany.

"Secondly, it is in Greece's hands to ensure that. Thirdly, a Greek exit would be manageable."

But Asmussen, a member of the ECB's executive board, also warned that a so-called Grexit would not be as orderly as some imagined: "It would be associated with a loss of growth and higher unemployment and it would be very expensive - in Greece, Europe as a whole and even in Germany."

He also said it would be good if the eurozone's permanent bailout mechanism, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), successor to the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), were up and running as soon as possible.

"The ESM is a better instrument for dealing with the crisis than the EFSF," he was quoted as saying.

Germany's Constitutional Court has said it will deliver its ruling on whether the ESM and the fiscal pact are compatible with the German constitution on 12 September. Germany cannot legally ratify the two treaties without the go-ahead from the court and the ESM cannot come into effect without German backing.

On eurozone bonds, Asmussen said such common debt was only logical in a full fiscal union and added that they were not crisis management tools.

ECB President Mario Draghi indicated earlier this month that the eurozone's central bank may again start buying government bonds to reduce crippling Spanish and Italian borrowing costs but not before September and only if governments activated the eurozone's bailout funds to join the ECB in buying bonds.

Conditions for ECB intervention

Asmussen said that for the ECB to consider intervening to help a troubled eurozone state, a government must request aid from the bloc's bailout funds and fulfil the economic conditions attached to any help.

"In my personal view, it would be good to demand that a request for primary market intervention via the EFSF/ESM must be made before the ECB takes action too," he added.

Noting that Draghi had not said the new bond-buying programme would be limited in terms of time and volume, the paper asked if this meant it could be successful as it would be unlimited.

"You heard him correctly. But wait and see. We are working on further details of the new programme and we will discuss this at our next meeting," Asmussen replied.

Positions: 

Italian Prime Minister Monti, speaking at a conference in Rimini, Italy, on 19 Augsust, reiterated his concerns about tensions between northern and southern countries in the eurozone.

"It would be a major tragedy if the euro, the crown of the European dream of integration and unity ... became a factor of disintegration, of the birth of prejudices, of north against south," he said.

Monti warned earlier this month in an interview with German magazine Der Spiegel that he was concerned about growing anti-euro, anti-German and anti-EU sentiment in the parliament in Rome, noting the threat of a "psychological break up" in the bloc.

Common supervision of European banks, possibly by the European Central Bank, would help restore confidence and protect the financial system, ECB Governing Council member Panicos Demetriades was quoted as saying.

Demetriades, who is also governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, told Cypriot newspaper Kathimerini in an interview on 19 August that the eurozone faced "unprecedented challenges" and such a banking union was expected to foster greater confidence in the bloc.

"Common supervision of banks of the EU, which possibly the ECB will have responsibility over, is expected to offer greater protection of deposits, restore confidence and better protect the financial system from risks," Demetriades was quoted as saying.

Next steps: 

Mid-September: Commission expected to propose giving European Central Bank supervision over the eurozone's major banks.

EurActiv.com with Reuters
Jörg Asmussen. Bertelsmann Foundation photo by Kaveh Sardari
Background: 

European Union leaders agreed at the end of June to set up a single banking supervisor in Europe as a pre-condition to letting the eurozone's rescue funds directly inject cash into lenders, without lending to a government first.

It is part of a wider EU effort to stop the banking and eurozone debt crisis feeding each other.

German business newspaper Handelsblatt reported on 17 August, citing European Commission sources, that the Commission would propose giving the European Central Bank supervision over all of the eurozone's major banks. The proposal is expected by mid-September.

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