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EU cuts back-room deal on Greek debt write-down

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Published 27 October 2011

EU leaders and bank officials struck a last-minute agreement early today (27 October) to write off 50% of Greek debt from their books, in a back-room deal that will see weaker banks receive aid from the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF).

The deal, which has been months in the making, came unexpectedly at 4 a.m. after marathon talks between the Institute of International Finance (IIF) and EU officials tucked away in a separate room from the leaders' summit in Brussels.

Heads of state eagerly awaited word from the EU official Vittorio Grilli who was talking to the representative from the IIF Charles Dallara. At 5 a.m., negotiations appeared to have broken down between the two sides and expectations on a deal were very low.

At the last minute, banks seemingly caved in to German demands for a 50% cut on their holdings of Greek sovereign debt to allow leaders to move forward on a second bailout for the beleaguered country. Leading European banks ING and BNP Paribas had said previously they would accept no more than a 40% cut.

“Just days ago a deal was less than expected,” German Chancellor Angela Merkel announced at 4 a.m. press briefing.

“We only have one offer to make and that was accepted,” Merkel said.

The 50% cut is intended to help Greece arrive at a 120% debt to GDP ratio by 2020, according to a summit statement following the eurozone leaders’ agreement.

"We invite Greece, private investors and all parties concerned to develop a voluntary bond exchange with a nominal discount of 50% on notional Greek debt held by private investors," the statement said.

But banks did not capitulate too easily. The paper also confirms that they will be receiving a €30-billion sweetener in exchange for the deal which will partly come from the EFSF and partly from money made by the Greek government on attempts to privatise state assets.

In addition, leaders agreed to an extra €100 billion in funding to help Greece surmount its debts. “The official sector stands ready to provide additional programme financing of up to €100 billion until 2014, including the required recapitalisation of Greek banks,” the statement says.

Greek banks are estimated to have the biggest capital holes on their balance sheets. Figures from Morgan Stanley estimate that Greek banks would require more than €80 billion in handouts, while Spain, Italy, France and Germany require up to €30 billion between them.

Positions: 

The French President Nicolas Sarkozy, said early Thursday that the kind of drama similar to that which followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 had been averted and that markets would be reassured when they reopen.

Sony Kapoor, the founder of the Re-Define think tank said: “[We] had argued very strongly for an outright haircut. However, it may have come too late to really restore Greek debt sustainability.”

“Both the size and the shape of the Private Sector Involvement deal is much better than what was agreed in July, provided there is a deal,” Kapoor said.

Claire Davenport
Background: 

Over the summer, it became apparent that a second deal for Greece would be useless without write-downs of its heavy debt burdens to the private sector.

European banks have already been losing money on their holdings of distressed Greek sovereign debt and were reluctant to agree to any further cuts.

At a summit in July, the Institute for International Finance represented by the German banker Josef Ackermann told leaders banks could agree to a 21% write-down on their Greek debt holdings.

But as bond yields and borrowing costs continued to rise for Greece, leaders like Angela Merkel began seeking a bigger deal on write-downs totaling no less than 50%.

Euro zone leaders agreed on July 21 to provide €109 billion euros to Greece in new official financing, together with the IMF until mid-2014. 

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