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EU summit: Hobbled Italy becomes Europe's sick man

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Published 24 October 2011, updated 25 October 2011

French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel yesterday (23 October) summoned Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi to make economic reforms capable of reassuring nervous markets.

Speaking at a joint press conference after the meeting of the 27 EU heads of state and government, Sarkozy and Merkel were pressed to comment on the separate meeting they held with Italian Prime Minsister Silvio Berlusconi on the sidelines of the summit.

Italy's mix of chronically low growth, a public debt mountain of €1.84 trillion, or 120% of GDP, and a struggling government coalition, has caused mounting alarm in financial markets. The country, which is politically unstable, would need at least €600 billion in the case of a bailout (see background), too much for the eurozone's €440 billion bailout fund.

The government last month pushed through a €60 billion austerity package – bringing forward its original balanced budget target by one year – in return for ECB support for its battered government bonds market.

But doubts are now growing over the country's ability to implement these austerity measures.

Sarkozy made clear that Spain, previously considered to be in a similar situation to Italy, had made great progress. "Thanks to the efforts of [Prime Minister] Zapatero, and thanks to the sense of responsibility of the Spanish opposition of Mr Mariano Rajoy, Spain is no longer on the first line," he said.

But his body language made it clear that he was unconvinced by the Italian situation.

Asked if the Italian Prime Minister had given new assurances that economic reforms would be carried out, and if he was reassured after talking to him, he raised his hands and remained silent, raising laughter amongst assembled journalists.

"We were together in this meeting," he said, pausing before adding: "As we say, we trust the sense of responsibility of the Italian political, financial and economic authorities."

For her part, Merkel said that together with Sarkozy, they had "outlined in great clarity" how important Italy was for the EU.

"This is a meeting among friends. Trust and confidence needs a clear-cut perspective. Italy is a very strong country economically speaking, but it is also a highly indebted country, and this has to be reduced credibly and sustainably over the next few years to come," Merkel said.

'Problem of democracy'

Without specifically naming Greece – the main offender – or Italy, Sarkozy spoke at length about those countries admitted to the eurozone without being ready, a problem he insisted was inherited from past leaders.

He argued that there was a 'problem of democracy', since the leaders of France and Germany had 'no mandate' to run those countries, but felt obliged and determined to ask them to make efforts and sacrifices.

Berlusconi's centre-right coalition has been deeply divided over policy and personal issues and further distracted by an array of scandals surrounding the prime minister.

Economists and business leaders say Italy would be better served by a government of technocrats who could craft measures aimed at lowering the country's public debt and addressing the weakest growth rate in the euro zone.

Opposition leaders have called repeatedly for the government to resign over its handling of the economy and there is widespread speculation that Berlusconi could be forced out of office before his term expires in 2013.  However, repeated votes of confidence in the Italian Parliament allowed the Premier to avoid resignation.

Positions: 

Asked by EurActiv if he thought that the problem of Italy was more of a political than of an economic nature, Guy Verhofstadt, leader of the liberal ALDE group in the European parliament, replied laughingly "This is an understatement".

Invited to comment the situation of Italy against the background of the EU and eurozone summits, Richard Corbett, member of the cabinet of Council President Herman Van Rompuy, told EurActiv that Italy was "obviously among the countries vulnerable to pressure from financial markets". Before meeting Sarkozy and Merkel, Berlusconi also held a meeting with Van Rompuy and Commission President José Manuel Barroso.

Next steps: 
  • 26 Oct: Heads of state and governments of the 27 EU countries hold a meeting, followed by a eurozone summit.
Georgi Gotev Edited by Daniela Vincenti

COMMENTS

  • From 1997 onwards, the EU's Stability and Growth Pact provided a temporal sequencing in disciplining domestic fiscal policies. Such a 1997 Pact develops the excessive deficit procedure by speeding up the stages in the decision-making sequence: from initiation by the European Commission, through issuing and early warning by the Council, specified deadlines for corrective measures, to sanctions.
    However, the Council retains effective control over this temporal sequencing, as it demonstrated by rejecting the European Commission's recommendation on France and Germany in November 2003.
    After 1999, the main problems of non-compliance focused on relations of large states with the European Commission, notably France and Germany.
    Now, we have an old wine in a new bottle by a rhetoric so-called six pack EU economic governance.
    IT IS MUCH MORE ENFORCEABLE TO IMPOSE AN AUTOMATIC FREEZING FROM EU FUNDS, INSTEAD OF WARNINGS OR MINI-SANCTIONS OF 0.2% PLUS 0.2%!!!!
    Each of 27 EU Member States receives all types of EU transfers from Brussels, such as agriculture, research, structural and cohesion funds, etc., those EU funds might qualify for freezing in case of non-compliance of the 1997 Pact or 2011 six pack.

    By :
    Anonymous
    - Posted on :
    25/10/2011
  • is a revolution really avoidable in europe??

    By :
    Anonymous
    - Posted on :
    26/10/2011
  • Fourteen out of 27 countries in the European Union had public debt exceeding 60% of their gross domestic product at the end of 2010, according to official statistics.
    The report by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, showed that the ratio of government debt to GDP across all 27 member states increased from 74.4% in 2009 to 80.0% in 2010.
    For the 17 euro zone countries, the debt is even higher, increasing from 79.3% in 2009 to 85.1% last year.
    Topping the European debt league is Greece with 142.8% government debt to GDP ratio, followed by Italy (119.0%), Belgium (96.8%) Ireland (96.2%), Portugal (93.0%), Germany (83.2%), France (81.7%) Hungary (80.2%) and the United Kingdom (80.0%).

    By :
    Anonymous
    - Posted on :
    27/10/2011
Background: 

Since the eurozone's debt crisis erupted last year, the region's governments have aimed to limit it to Greece, Ireland and Portugal, which have so far signed up to bailouts totaling almost €400 billion.

Spain and Italy had managed to keep their access to market funding under control through fiscal reforms.

But the situation has worsened during the summer. Due to the sizes of the Spanish and Italian economies, pressure on the eurozone would increase dramatically if either country eventually needed financial assistance.

Private analysts have estimated that a three-year bailout of Spain, based on its projected gross issuance of medium- and long-term debt in 2011, might cost some €300 billion - excluding any additional money for cleaning up Spain's banks. A three-year rescue of Italy could cost twice that.

Moody's lowered its rating on Italy's bonds by three notches, to A2 from Aa2, on 4 October, saying it saw a "material increase" in funding risks for euro zone countries with high levels of debt and warning that further downgrades were possible.

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