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Details sketchy on Eurogroup bailout of Cyprus

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Published 05 March 2013

Eurozone finance ministers pledged yesterday (4 March) to agree a bailout for Cyprus by the end of March, but details of how the rescue will be financed are yet to be sorted out.

 

Cyprus requested a bailout in June 2012 but it was not possible to reach an agreement with the last, communist-led government. A new, conservative government took office last month and negotiations have intensified.

The troika of European Union, International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank would send a mission of experts to Cyprus today for a technical analysis of the country's financing needs and to get a better understanding of the new Cypriot government, ECB board member Jörg Asmussen said.

President Nicos Anastasiades promised on 28 January to work for a swift deal to prop up the island's banks, which need capital of €8-10 billion. The total bailout, including financing for general government operations and to finance existing debt, could be up to €17 billion, equal to Cyprus's annual economic output.

Two eurozone officials said ministers meeting in Brussels did not agree on how best to finance the bailout, but were committed to a deal by the end of March.

"The Eurogroup called on the international institutions and Cyprus to accelerate their work on the building blocks of a programme, and agreed to target political endorsement of the programme around the second half of March," the ministers said in a statement.

Removing one of the stumbling blocs for an agreement, the new Cypriot authorities had agreed to an independent review of how Cypriot banks are implementing anti-money-laundering laws, the eurozone statement said.

That is likely to appease Germany, which has raised concerns about money-laundering on the island.

The ministers examined a variety of options to finance the bailout and ensure that it is "sustainable" - that Cyprus can repay what it borrows.

Privatisation, restructuring

One way to help that goal is privatisation of state assets, starting with the island's telecoms company, which could raise up to €1.5 billion. Cyprus also needs to restructure the bloated banking sector, which has assets eight times larger than the island's €17 billion economy.

German officials, backed by the Netherlands and Finland, have pushed for depositors in Cypriot banks, many of whom are Russian and British business people, to help pay for the cost of the rescue, a process known as a "bail-in".

But Cyprus fears any "bail-in" will spark the rapid withdrawal of funds from the island and undermine its entire business model, making the economic situation even worse.

Cyprus's newly appointed finance minister, Michael Sarris, called the bail-in idea a bad proposal.

"Really and categorically - and this doesn't only apply in the case of Cyprus but for the world over and the eurozone - there really couldn't be a more stupid idea," Sarris, a widely respected economist, told reporters last week.

EurActiv.com with Reuters
Background: 

Cyprus is a small island economy, but it is important to find a way to make a bailout sustainable so that any money provided is repaid, because of hostile public opinion in countries such as Germany, Finland and the Netherlands.

A €17-billion rescue would increase Cyprus's debts to around 145% of GDP, a level considered unsustainable. Greece's bailout calls for it to cut its debt-to-GDP ratio to 120% by 2020, but that would be too high for Cyprus.

The IMF and other officials believe Cyprus should have to cut its debt-to-GDP ratio to just below 100%, but Cyprus is likely to push back against that, saying 120 is manageable.

The final decision on Cyprus is likely to come at an extraordinary meeting of the ministers later in March.

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