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Pressure mounts as Eurogroup gathers

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Published 29 November 2011

Eurozone finance ministers are to agree today (29 November) the details of bolstering their bailout fund to help prevent contagion in bond markets, under pressure from the United States and ratings agencies to staunch a two-year-old debt crisis. 

Documents obtained by Reuters on Sunday showed the detailed guidelines for the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) were ready for approval of the Eurogroup (see background), opening the way for new operations and multiplying the fund's effective size.

The documents spell out rules for EFSF intervention on the primary and secondary bond markets, for extending precautionary credit lines to governments, leveraging its firepower and its investment and funding strategies.

"I would expect we will be in a position to approve the guidelines at a political level," a eurozone official involved in the preparations for the ministers' meeting said.

The EFSF guidelines will clear the way for the €440 billion facility to attract cash from private and public investors to its co-investment funds in coming weeks.

ECB role

The European Central Bank (ECB), which is now buying bonds of Spain and Italy on the market to prevent their borrowing costs running out of control, has been urging euro zone ministers to finalise the technical work on the EFSF quickly.

Officials have told Reuters that the leveraging mechanisms could become operational in January, but that may be too late.

With Germany rigidly opposed to the idea of the ECB providing liquidity to the EFSF or acting as a lender of last resort, the eurozone needs a way of calming markets, where yields on Spanish, Italian and French government benchmark bonds have all been pushed to euro lifetime highs.

The OECD rich nations' economic think-tank said on Monday the ECB should cut interest rates and abandon its reluctance to step up purchases of government bonds in order to restore confidence in the euro area.

The ECB shows no sign of doing so yet. It bought €8.5 billion of eurozone government debt in the latest week, at a time of acute turmoil, in line with its previous activity but well short of what economists say is necessary to turn market sentiment around.

Obama's message to EU

Sources have said the Obama administration has also urged Europe to allow the ECB to act as lender of last resort as the US Federal Reserve does.

At a EU-US summit in Washington on Monday, US President Barack Obama pressed Herman Van Rompuy, the European Council president, and José Manuel Barroso, the European Commission president, to act quickly and decisively to resolve their sovereign debt crisis, which the White House said was weighing on the American economy.

White House spokesman Jay Carney said Obama's message, delivered to top EU officials behind closed doors in Washington, was that: "Europe needs to take decisive action, conclusive action to handle this problem, and that it has the capacity to do so."

Hopes European leaders were readying plans that could ease strains on the eurozone boosted markets globally on Monday, although investor enthusiasm was more cautious on Tuesday in Asia where shares and the euro were steady.

Franco-German plan for 'Stability Union'

Germany and France stepped up a drive on Monday for coercive powers to reject eurozone members' budgets that breach EU rules, alarming some smaller nations who fear the plans by-pass mechanisms for ensuring equal treatment.

Berlin and Paris aim to outline proposals for a fiscal union before an EU summit on 9 December increasingly seen by investors as possibly the last chance to avert a breakdown of the single currency area.

"We are working intensively for the creation of a Stability Union," the German Finance Ministry said in a statement. "That is what we want to secure through treaty changes, in which we propose that the budgets of member states must observe debt limits."

Contagion spreads to France

Rumours about the threat to France's credit rating, which have circulated for several months, illustrate how the crisis has moved inexorably from indebted peripheral nations such as Greece and Portugal to the heart of Europe.

Economic and Financial daily La Tribune reported on its website that S&P's was preparing to change its outlook on France's sovereign rating from "stable" to "negative".

"It could happen within a week, perhaps 10 days," La Tribune quoted a source as saying.

The news coincided with the warning on subordinated debt from Moody's, which said the greatest number of ratings to be reviewed were in Spain, Italy, Austria and France, and knocked the euro a third of a cent before the currency recovered.

"Moody's believes that systemic support for subordinated debt in Europe is becoming ever more unpredictable, due to a combination of anticipated changes in policy and financial constraints," the agency said in a report.

Rival Standard & Poor's could downgrade the outlook on France's top-level AAA credit status with the next 10 days, signalling a possible ratings cuts, a newspaper reported.

Italy's yields hit record heights

Mario Monti, Italy's prime minister and finance minister, will attend Tuesday's meeting to explain the reforms Italy plans to undertake to regain the confidence of markets.

Saddled with debt equal to 120% of GDP and soaring borrowing costs, Italy has been battling to avoid financial disaster, which analysts say would endanger the whole eurozone.

In a sign of intense market stress, short-term Italian yields last week climbed above those of longer-dated issues. Both are higher than the 7% level widely seen as unsustainable for the country's public finances.

The funding pressure is set to be underlined on Tuesday, when investors are expected to demand more than 7% at auction to buy three- and 10-year Italian debt.

Underlining the threat to tottering European economies, ratings agency Moody's warned on Tuesday it could downgrade the subordinated debt of 87 banks across 15 countries on concerns that governments would be too cash-strapped to bail them out. 

Positions: 

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble acknowledged on Sunday that it may not be possible to get all 27 EU member states to back treaty amendments, saying agreement should be reached among the 17 eurozone members.

"That can be done very quickly," he told ARD television.

The leaders of two smaller eurozone countries, Finland and Luxembourg, voiced unease about the Franco-German plans because they appeared to bypass the European Commission, which is seen as a guarantor of equal treatment for all member states.

"I am not too sure if it will get wider support. The disadvantage of this proposal is that it would bypass the EU, the Commission would have a very small role," Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen told reporters.

Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, who chairs eurozone finance ministers, also warned against looking for instruments outside the EU treaty.

In France, Agriculture Minister Bruno Le Maire said eurozone countries would have to give up some budget sovereignty to save the euro from hostile "speculators".

"We won't be able to save the euro if we don't accept that national budgets will have to be a bit more controlled than in the past," Le Maire told Europe 1 radio.

Asked whether the Commission would be granted intrusive powers over national budgets in the eurozone, Le Maire said: "Why not? The French people have to realise what is at stake - the preservation of our common currency and our sovereignty.

"What matters is that we ensure that budget discipline is respected within the eurozone. Otherwise the euro itself is threatened."

He acknowledged that France and Germany were still at odds over greater ECB intervention to rescue the euro but said: "We will have to find a compromise."

Speaking at the EU-US summit in Washington, Council President Herman Van Rompuy said that on 9 December he would present to the heads of state and government a roadmap on how to strengthen the economic union of the euro area commensurate with the monetary union.

"We are aiming for binding rules to ensure strong fiscal and economic discipline in all countries to go hand in hand with fiscal and economic integration in the euro area as a whole.

"Improving fiscal sustainability is essential but is not enough. Promoting growth and employment is a challenge we share with the US. The EU is following a two-track approach on growth: We want to strengthen fiscal sustainability, while at the same time stimulating economic growth and employment by launching reforms, raising competitiveness and deepening the Union’s single market, the largest in the world," Van Rompuy stated.

Speaking at the EU-US summit in Washington, Commission President José Manuel Barroso said the two sides had reaffirmed their determination to work closely together for the stability of the global economy.

"I reassured President Obama and I want to reassure the Americans: Europe is going through rough times, but we are taking strong measures and are determined to move on and move forward. […]

"The way forward in Europe is through more integration. This crisis has caused an acceleration of history and we must be ready today to take the measures that were envisaged only for tomorrow. I told President Obama that Europe is ready to do that," Barroso stated.

EurActiv.com with Reuters
Background: 

Today's meeting of the Eurogroup, which brings together finance ministers from the 17 eurozone members, was set to fix details of leveraging the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) so it can help Italy or Spain should either need aid.

Depending on interest in the schemes, they could even boost the EFSF's impact to €1 trillion. But the EFSF has recently played down that number, saying it was difficult in current market conditions of high aversion to eurozone debt exposure.

They are also likely to approve the next allotment of emergency loans for Greece and Ireland. 

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