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EU ponders ‘losing Ukraine to Russia’

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Published 15 May 2012, updated 16 May 2012

EU ministers held an animated discussion in Brussels yesterday (14 May), evaluating the risks of “losing Ukraine to Russia” if too much pressure is put on the country over the treatment of imprisoned former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko.

Meeting over lunch to discuss Ukraine, the Union’s foreign ministers failed to adopt common positions, but agreed that more should be done to work with civil society in Ukraine to defuse a loss of confidence in the country’s European perspective.

Diplomatic sources said ministers spoke openly about the risk that a tough line on Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich would push the country closer to Russia, eager to put flesh to its plans for a “Eurasian Union” comprising former Soviet states. Russia has also invited Ukraine to join its Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan.

Meanwhile, the EU has finalised an association agreement and a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) with Ukraine. But the signature of these documents is pending depending on the fate of Tymoshenko and the conditions under which parliamentary elections due in October will be held.

One minister reportedly quoted Russian President Vladimir Putin, who had called Ukraine a “non-accomplished state” - nesosstoyavsheesya gossudarstva. According to some analysts, a Eurasian Union without Ukraine would not fly.

Divided Union

EU ministers have been divided over the strategy to deal with Ukraine. Poland and the Baltic states favour of a more open approach, with Germany on the other extreme, insisting on a tough line on the grounds of “selective justice” against Tymoshenko, an icon of the 2004 Orange Revolution who was imprisoned last year on charges of abuse of office.

A diplomat said that several ministers pleaded that the EU-Ukraine relations should not be “hostage of one person, be it Tymoshenko or Yanukovich”.

The Euro 2012 football championship, which Ukraine co-hosts with Poland from 6 June to 1 July, was also high on the agenda, with some countries calling for a EU boycott at political level.

However, with several countries announcing that they would send political representatives at the matches in Ukraine, EU High Representative Catherine Ashton admitted that the Union was “not at a stage to make a decision”.

The strongest reaction against such a boycott came from Polish President Bronisław Komorowski, who said on 3 May that a Western boycott would send the former Soviet republic back into the arms of Russia.

European Commission President José Manuel Barroso and Council President Herman Van Rompuy said they had no plans to go to Ukraine for the football championship.

But Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt told journalists yesterday (14 May) that he failed to see “attendance or non-attendance at football games” as “an instrument of EU policy."

Yanukovich: Don't humiliate Ukraine

Speaking in Donetsk on the same day, Yanukovich said his authorities were lending an attentive ear to foreign politicians in the Tymoshenko case, but were against the country being “humiliated”.

The EU ministers reportedly agreed that more should be done to communicate with Ukrainian citizens that the Union was in favour of developing closer relations and was not shutting its door to the neighbouring country.

Ukrainian Prime Minister Mykola Azarov is expected in Brussels today. According to EurActiv sources, his visit was confirmed by his EU hosts only at the last minute.

Positions: 

Viktor Tkachuk, director-general of the Ukrainian Foundation for Democracy 'People First', said "According to a March poll, the majority of Ukrainian citizens (52 %) support Ukraine's integration into the EU. The only thing which unites simple citizens with representatives of the authorities today is a desire to live by European standards and freely move across the countries of Europe.

"We would be happy to believe that appeals to boycott the Euro 2012 aren't directed against Ukraine as an application for EU membership. But it is necessary to clearly realise that any external boycott reduces the number of supporters of the European future of Ukraine," he added.

EurActiv.com

COMMENTS

  • Why in the world would you worry about ukraine falling back into the arms of the Bear ? Aren't they free to choose where to go ? It is a corrupted government ran by thugs and bandits ,,,and you worry of their fate ?

    No doubt that there are a lot of honest and hard working Ukranians that want true Democracy, you can lead the horse to the water but you canno't make him drink. Hope that you got the point......

    By :
    Fonzie
    - Posted on :
    15/05/2012
  • For Europe to comment on and make further closer relations contingent on repeal of an old Soviet law is legitimate.

    To blatantly interfere in Ukraines handling of the Tymoshenko INDIVIDUAL case while it is ongoing is ILLIGITIMATE.

    In particular "Europe's" overlooking the fact that the Case in question was instigated by the FORMER (pro NATO) President Yushchenko suggests "Europe" is as guilty of BIAS as anyone involved in Ukraine governance.

    Ergo, it is high time Europe adopted the same level of non-interference as has Valadimir Putin who commented correctly that the gas agreement he signed with Tymoshenko, while bad economically for Ukraine was indeed "legal" in both juristitions.

    Stick to the facts, urge Ukraine to repeal the outdated law under which she was convicted, and in the process allow ANY/ALL those previously subjected to it to have their convictions overturned.

    In the meantime at first blush it appears that Tymoshenko has other charges to answer to. IN particular where is the $405million that Russia claims is owed for gas delivered to HER company? In this matter she would be held accountable. Not necessarily criminally, that is to be {dis}proved but answerable to the mystery? Again, Europes propagandists need to talk more softly and with MUCH LESS bias toward a President who INHERITED what is a delicate situation.

    By :
    david tarbuck
    - Posted on :
    15/05/2012
  • This will be considered "heresy" by many EU ministers, but why not invite the Russian Federation to join the EU? The discussed "Chunnel" to Alaska would create an enterprise zone spanning the Northern Hemisphere, would be good for Russia, the current EU, and the goal of Globalization, PLUS it would give new WTO Member, Russia and it's Leader for the foreseeable future, Vladimir Putin, all the incentive he needs to "lean on" Ukraine AND Belarus to ditch repressive Regimes and "join the Prosperity Party".

    Odd? No doubt-but it just might pull everyone's chestnuts out of the fire, not to mention ending a Global Recession.

    By :
    R Andrew Ohge
    - Posted on :
    15/05/2012
  • For those like Mr. Tarbuck who suggest interference by Europe, is completely ignorant of the true interference in Ukraine by Russia. Russia, and its' imperial attitude, would like nothing less than to make Ukraine a satelitte, a minion, a subordinate, or dependent of the new empire.

    Who do you really think 'developed' this issue with Tymoshenko if not Russia? Why is Ukraine paying the highest price for natural gas? That's because Russia did not allow for any pricing negotiations. If there was any good will in their negotiations, Russia would allow for a renegotiation of gas pricing even now under Yanukovych. But no, this would only weaken Russian influence over Ukraine and it would certainly weaken the logic behind Tymoshenko's incarceration---which is exactly where Yanukovych wants her as elections approach in October.

    You can call it interference or not. But Ukraine needs help; especially from the west---Europe (particularly Germany) and the US.

    By :
    mykry
    - Posted on :
    15/05/2012
  • I am presently in Ukraine and wish to repeat, Europe has gone beyond calling for repeal of old Soviet justice. In specifically calling for the release of one individual with or without the repeal of the old (BAD) legislation they are into "BLATANT INTERFERENCE in Ukrainian INTERNAL matters.

    As for the role of Russia vs "Europe," overall with respect to bullying Ukraine, one appears as bad as the other, but in this instance Russia is correctly seen as the moderate vs the European bully.

    AS Russia pointed out, legal authorities in both countries agree that the gas sale agreements which in light of changed circumstanes may be bad for Ukraine, are nevertheless "LEGAL" and binding unless/until mutually agreed changes. Of course the wiley Mr Putin is taking full advantage of the situation to press for agreements of benfit to Russia but not to Ukraine.

    While I am not a total supporter of President Yanykovich, (he needs to more rigorously go after ALL the corrupt fat cats in Ukraine while repealing old bad legislation) I prefer that any criticism of anyone include fair references as to WHO is actually responsible for whatever is the action in the spotlight.

    In the case of Yulia Tymoshenko "exceedind authority", that honour goes to the PREVIOUS President, who though he achieved the office of President largely through her efforts, became jealous of her personal popularity as Prime Minister, which came also from those efforts.

    Ergo, Yushchenko, (darling of NATO, USA, and "Europe"), after months of bickering and economic stagnation set out to get her through use of an old Soviet hangover convenient to purging and show trials, irrespective of any justice.

    Thus President Yanokovich, though he may personally dispise her, INHERITED, an ONGOING legal proceeding.

    Ironically, The "West" while decrying "political interference" is asking him to do just that; interfere in the ongoing proceedings by "releasing" her through presidential action.

    That clarion call for the release of one person (privledged) is what constitutes "BLATANT INTERFERENCE in Ukranian INTERNAL matters!

    Europe would be more helpful if they diplomatically pointed out that the continued existence of this type of old Soviet legislation, is a serious obstacle to closer ties with other more advanced democracies, and refrained from trumpeting the cause of one person.

    In the meantime Ms Tymoshenko is being asked to account for a $405Million invoice for gas delivered to her company. To this point she has not been proven to be in any wrong doing but if she has, this would be cause for civil and/or criminal proceedings ANYWHERE in Europe as well as Ukraine. In this case she ought to put forward a better defence than just screaming "rubbish" and refusing to adhere to court protocols.

    Has "Europe" anything to say on THIS matter??

    By :
    david tarbuck
    - Posted on :
    16/05/2012
  • The best way of keeping a European perspective open for Ukrainians, regardless of their government, would be to introduce visa-free travel to the EU for ordinary Ukrainians. The EU would profit too, as a tourism and shopping destination, there would be a major boost to any civil society, academic and business projects between the countries. Those benefits certainly outweigh any immigration risks (by the way, those Ukrainians who wanted to immigrate are mostly already here).
    Visa abolition can be done regardless of the Ukrainian government. Those officials who are involved in human rights violations can and should be included on "black lists" and banned from entering the EU.

    By :
    MP
    - Posted on :
    16/05/2012
  • Христос Воскрес ! Воистину Bоскрес !

    Blatant defiance by Kyiv's Pexs bad boy and he is getting away with it. The bully of little girls today will keep bullying behind your back becoming a nagging pain there.

    By :
    Mykhayl
    - Posted on :
    16/05/2012
  • Whatever the fights of influence between EU countries and Russia over Ukraine, or over their respective relations and spheres of influence, the point is that it is not a state of law, and that Russia has no interest in Ukraine becoming one. Ukraine's people will never be free, and Ukraine will never be independant, unless it becomes a state, and building a state of law is the first condition for building a state.
    Russia's bundle of thugs and former secret agents ruling by fear and corruption may be its own vision of a "state", but history teaches us that this is no guarantee of a strong and lasting state.

    By :
    Charles
    - Posted on :
    17/05/2012
  • I agree that Ukraine has some work to do regarding establishing a strong and fair Nation-state.

    I do not believe that trumpeting the cause of one individual and asking for more not less political interference, albeit in reverse, in the justice system is helpful.

    "Demanding" the "unconditional release" of ONE Yulia Tymoshenko from incarceration, albeit the old Soviet law she was convicted of violating, is patently unjust, does not address the whole situation.

    Europe and North America ought to cease the clarion calls that are just a hypocritical BLATANT interference in Ukraine's internal affairs, and instead quietly point out that a judiciary, independent of the political process is a time proven requirement for closer association with the West.

    Although no system is perfect and ideas of justice anywhere, are subjective as Julian Assange, and USA Black citizens can attest, this separation as pioneered in USA by John Marshall more than 200 years ago has withstood the test of time. Europe and USA are correct to trumpet the cause of this judicial independence, but in such ways as are (a) respectful of a Nation finding its way after many years of totalitarianism, and (b) suggest total solutions such as repeal of old legislation, rather than individual favouritism.

    Naturally such a repeal would result in the overturning of recent convictions such as this one. President Yanykovich would then be seen as a man of vision, at least in this incident who righted a wrong commited by his predecessor, that great friend of NATO and the "West".

    If the "WEST" then puts its criticism on a more constructive all inclusive path, perhaps this Lady of the Street might learn a bit of Parliamentary and Court of Law protocol and get down to mounting a defence to the REAL offences she is alleged to have committed.

    To have mis-appropriated $405million, if proven would be a CRIMINAL OFFENCE anywhere in the self righteous "West" as well as anywhere else I can think of. Of course she is presently innocent until PROVEN guilty.

    To loudly proclaim "rubbish" at any mention of this matter is NOT an adequate defense, particularly when refusing to honour court protocols, irrespective of ones own personal opinion of that particular court, or the Presiding Judge.

    So Charles you are on track to desire a "State of
    Law" in Ukraine and elsewhere.

    By :
    david tarbuck
    - Posted on :
    18/05/2012
  • during yuchenko administration he tried his best to join eu but he was frustrated by the union and also the internet prob. they have i beleive some member state in eu are hypocrte russia is using them against ukraine whereby they get cheaper oiland gas price but that is not fair i see no reason why ukraine cant join eu she is bonafide european state

    By :
    fred
    - Posted on :
    24/05/2012
  • With regards to closer ties to (Western) Europe, Ukraine needs to advance slowly to give Europe AND Ukraine time and space for EACH to solve some of their OWN respective current problems.

    Europe needs to first define "Europe"! Is it the "UNION"? or the "Schengen" or the Єuro? or ...?? THese all need to converge and the "European Union" needs to get down to setting serious time tables for this to occur.

    Next on the agenda must be a workable division of powers whereby the "Union" is not beholden to unanimous consent of each state for what ought to be day to day business. If it is to work and not fly apart in the foreseeable future it MUST become a (con)federation where certain powers (such as commerce and monetary are the perogative of the CENTRAL EUROPEAN government, a government directly elected by the vpeople, not the "states".

    Except for admission of new members, "unanimous" consent must go; fotr amendments to the constitution that MUST come about, perhaps 2/3s of the states representing a majority of the population would be fair.

    Ukraine for its part needs to work on corruption which is presently completely out of control.
    Second is strong constitutional government with REAL judicial independence, an independence that will NOT be brought about by answering the calls for favouritism for individuals even those persons who have been incarcerated by old Soviet hangovers.

    Ukraine must not look outside its own borders and powers for others to solve these problems albeit the examples of others are worth studying; others mistakes can contribute to the learning curve but at the end of the day, SELF help is where it begins and ends!

    By :
    david tarbuck
    - Posted on :
    24/05/2012
Bildt: Is attendance at football games an instrument of EU policy?
Background: 

The European Union said it was "disappointed" with the sentencing of former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to seven years in prison over allegations that she abused her office in relation to a gas deal signed with Russia in 2009.

The trial was "politically motivated" and did not respect international standards, the EU has said, adding that it "would reflect" on its policies towards Ukraine.

The December 2011 EU-Ukraine Summit failed to initial the country's Association Agreement with the Union, largely due to the imprisonment of Tymoshenko.

On 30 March, the document was initialled, but full signature depends on changing the system of "selective justice" and the parliamentary elections in Ukraine due on 28 October 2012.

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