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Tensions grow ahead of EU-Ukraine summit

Published 14 December 2011 - Updated 16 December 2011
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Days before a crunch EU-Ukraine summit on 19 December, Kyiv is under increased pressure as Brussels urges its leaders to release political prisoners and Russia moves to take control of its gas pipeline network, diplomats told EurActiv.

Štefan Füle, the EU commissioner for Enlargement and Neighbourhood Policy, on Monday (12 December) met for more than three hours in Kyiv with Ukrainian President Victor Yanukovich and Ukrainian Ambassador Konstantin Yelisieiev.

Normally such meetings take less than one hour. Füle, a graduate of the Moscow State University for Foreign Relations, is fluent in Russian.

Few people know the details of what was discussed. One of them is Council President Herman Van Rompuy, who is expected to travel to Kyiv for the summit.

"Now we have food for thought," Yelisieiev said.

In recent days, doubt over whether the summit should be cancelled signalled widening divisions between Kyiv and the European Union over the imprisoning of former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko on charges of abusing her office.

After his meeting with Yanukovich, Füle held a 30-minute visit with Tymoshenko, Yelisieiev said.

Managing expectations

EU diplomats told EurActiv that under the circumstances, the summit was unlikely to have bold results.

Kyiv has hopes that an Association Agreement, negotiated over the last five years, could be initialled at the summit. The agreement includes provisions for a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) which would see Ukraine adopt legislation approximating EU trade rules.

Ukraine also hopes that the agreement would be signed next year. The ratification process then would take a couple of years, but DCFTA would enter into force upon the signing.

Preamble is key

But apparently Ukraine attaches more importance to the preamble of the Association Agreement, rather than to the initialling of the document.

The preamble could either state that Ukraine is destined to become an EU member country, or just "take note" that Ukraine attaches importance to its European identity.

Diplomats indicated that the country most opposed to any overtures to Ukraine is Germany, while many other countries, such as Poland, were lobbying that Ukraine should make decisive steps towards the EU before Russia could try to drag it into the Eurasian Union, its own sphere of influence.

Ukraine, which is conducting difficult negotiations to bring down the price of gas it pays to Russia - as a result of a 2009 deal negotiated when Tymosenko was prime minister - reportedly would not be able to reach agreement before the end of the year.

Moscow has indicated it will cut the price of gas for Ukraine if the country agrees to sell a 50%-share of its pipelines to Russian gas export monopoly Gazprom.

Kremlin strategy

Yelisieiev said Russia wanted Ukraine not to sign the association agreement before the Russian presidential election in March.

Putin is trying to put in place a Eurasian Union, but without Ukraine the whole project would fall apart, the diplomat said.

Positions: 

Viktor Tkachuk, director-general of the Ukrainian Foundation for Democracy 'People First' believes that the results of the summit will be a test for Ukraine to unveil its national interests and development strategy: "It looks like Ukraine again becomes a victim of “suggestions” from Russia at the East and the EU at the West. However, the main reason lies in the Ukrainian political leadership which was “legitimately” elected by the Ukrainian people. The result of the Ukraine-EU summit which is planned for December, 19th, depends on the results of the governance of the Ukrainian authorities inside Ukraine.

Had the programmes of energy-saving, diversification of power supply sources and development of alternative energy been realised in Ukraine within the last 10 years, - today we wouldn't have been that highly dependent on Russia in the energy-related issues. Had the Ukrainian authorities been building a legal democratic state gradually since 1991, improving the Constitution and legislation within the framework of synchronisation with the EU norms, - today there couldn't have aroused such a problem as the Y. Tymoshenko’s case.

The modern Ukrainian elite has the last opportunity to identify itself as European. If not, then the people of Ukraine will go to the EU without it."

EurActiv.com
Füle and Yanukovich in Kyiv
Background: 

The European Union said it was "disappointed" with the sentencing of former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to seven years in prison over allegations that she abused her office in relation to a gas deal signed with Russia in 2009.

The trial was "politically motivated" and did not respect international standards, the EU said, adding that it "would reflect" on its policies towards Ukraine.

Štefan Füle, the EU commissioner for Enlargement and Neighbourhood Policy, recently said that there were "no limits" to the possible depth and scope of Ukraine's integration with the EU, adding that the country was on the cusp of signing an association agreement with a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area with the EU.

Following this step, according to Article 49 of the Lisbon Treaty, Ukraine would be eligible to apply for EU membership.

However, the prospect of Ukraine reaching a new stage in its relations with the EU appears uncertain. In October, after several days of discrete communication between Brussels and Kyiv, EU leaders decided that a visit of the Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich should be postponed until conditions would be more "conducive to making progress" in bilateral relations.

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