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Kyrgyz opposition claims power after violent coup

Published 08 April 2010 - Updated 09 April 2010
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Kyrgyzstan's opposition said today (8 April) it has taken over the government of the impoverished Central Asian state after at least 65 people were killed in violent protests that forced the president to flee the capital.

Opposition leader Roza Otunbayeva demanded the resignation of President Kurmanbek Bakiev, whom she helped bring to power five years ago, and told Reuters she would run an interim government for six months.

"We have a caretaker government now in place, and I am the head of it," Otunbayeva said. "It will remain in place for half a year, during which we will draft the constitution and create conditions for free and fair (presidential) elections."

The violent unrest, which spread to Bishkek on Wednesday, was sparked by growing discontent over corruption and rising prices in a nation where a third of the 5.3 million population live below the poverty line.

Bakiyev fled Bishkek to the southern city of Osh, his traditional power base in a nation split by clan rivalries. In the city centre, hundreds of his supporters scuffled with hundreds of opposition demonstrators, a Reuters reporter said.

The government building that Bakiyev left behind in Bishkek was stormed by protesters who smashed trucks through the perimeter fencing.

A Reuters reporter inside the building saw demonstrators walking over broken glass and smashed computers and sending papers cascading from windows. The seventh floor, where the president keeps his office, was badly charred.

"The whole country is on fire," said Nurlan Aslybekov, an unemployed man who travelled to Bishkek from the town of Talas, where the first anti-government protests broke out on Tuesday.

The United States has a military air base supporting troops in Afghanistan in the Kyrgyz city of Manas and is a major donor to Kyrgyzstan, along with China and Russia, which also has military base in the former Soviet state.

State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said operations at the Manas base - visited by US Central Command chief General David Petraeus last month - appeared unaffected.

"It's an important facility connected to our Afghan operations and it's functioning normally," he said.

Bakiyev came to power in the 2005 'Tulip Revolution' protests, led jointly by Otunbayeva, which ousted Kyrgyzstan's first post-Soviet president, Askar Akayev. She briefly served as acting foreign minister before falling out with Bakiyev.

Spokesmen for the president were not available for comment.

A senior US State Department official said Bakiyev's fate was unclear. "We are in touch with both government officials and the opposition encouraging resolution according to the rule of law," he said, on condition of anonymity.

Gunshot wounds

The opposition said at least 100 people had been killed on Wednesday. A Health Ministry official put the death toll in Bishkek at 65, and said 400 people had been injured.

The violence was the deadliest in former Soviet Central Asia since government forces in Uzbekistan fired on protesters in the city of Andizhan in May 2005. The Uzbek government said 187 people died, including its forces, but rights groups say several hundred mostly unarmed protesters were killed.

Political unrest over poverty, rising prices and corruption has gripped Kyrgyzstan since early March. The average monthly wage is about $130 and remittances from workers in Russia have fallen sharply during the global economic crisis.

"It was a never ending rip-off. Every day they would raise prices for gas, for water, and in the end is it good to shoot at your own people?" said Alioglu Samedov, 62, a retired lawyer.

Analysts said the unrest would also increase uncertainty for foreign investors in Kyrgyzstan's mining sector and raised the possibility of outside military intervention.

"Bakiyev is unlikely to return to power but the prevailing uncertainty poses severe risks to foreign investors, raises the possibility of foreign intervention and will directly affect US interests in Central Asia," Eurasia Group analyst Ana Jelenkovic said.

Shops were still ablaze after a night of looting in central Bishkek. People ran through the streets carrying computers and office equipment, and protesters spat at a portrait of Bakiyev on a large carpet carried out of the government building.

The foreign ministry in China, which shares a border with Kyrgyzstan, said it was "deeply concerned" about the unrest.

"Kyrgyzstan's situation returning to normal as soon as possible is in the interest of the Kyrgyz people, as well as in the interest of regional peace and stability," spokeswoman Jiang Yu said in a statement on the ministry website www.fmprc.gov.cn.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimr Putin earlier called for calm and denied Moscow had played a hand in the clashes.

"Neither Russia, nor your humble servant, nor Russian officials have any links whatsoever to these events," Putin was quoted as saying by RIA news agency.

(EurActiv with Reuters.)

Positions: 

Eurasia Group, analysts, London:

"The situation remains fluid, and the opposition currently has limited coherence or authority, but at the moment it appears unlikely that Bakiyev will be able to return to power or restore stability. The violence and extent of the protests reflect a broad loss of legitimacy at the popular level, while recent moves to concentrate political and economic power in his son's hands had begun to alienate many elites even before the 6 April events. Lastly, the lack of support from Moscow is crippling."

"The power vacuum has several immediate implications: for markets, for regional stability, and for US interests in Central Asia."

"In addition, much of Kyrgyzstan's mining industry is located in the northwestern regions where the unrest began, raising the prospect not only of contract-related risks to foreign investors, but at least in the short term, of operational risks as well."

"At the regional level, there is a possibility of intervention by outside forces. If the current power vacuum and internal divisions persist beyond the very near term, the likelihood of intervention - most likely by Kazakh and, perhaps, Russian forces - will rise significantly."

Chris Weafer, chief strategist, Uralsib Bank, Moscow:

"Kyrgyzstan is likely to feature very prominently in the news in coming weeks and months. But the country has almost no implications for the Russian economy, or stock market, and is neither an important supplier of commodities nor an export route."

"The gas pipeline from Turkmenistan transits via Kazakhstan. Gazprom is involved in gas exploration but in terms of its overall business, that involvement is negligible. Gazprom agreed to buy a 75% plus one share in Kyrgyzatan's gas company in August last year and to invest $400 million on upgrades. The country has reported reserves of six trillion cubic metres of gas."

Stratfor.com, intelligence consultancy:

"The Kyrgyz opposition already is attempting to organise a new government. It has settled on former Foreign Minister Roza Otunbayeva as its head. Otunbayeva is an interesting choice, as she holds quite a bit of influence over the former Tulip Revolution forces from her days in helping [President Kurmanbek] Bakiyev to power. She also was a Soviet diplomat and studied and worked in Moscow, meaning she most likely retains strong ties to Russia."

"It also is critical to watch if this new opposition government has merged with other opposition forces, such as the Communist Party and Ak Shumkar Party, both of which have heavy ties into Russia. Ak Shumkar leader Temir Sariev recently met Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in Russia, suggesting Moscow could be nudging matters along in Kyrgyzstan."

"For his part, Putin has grown chattier as the hours pass during the Kyrgyz crisis. He went from initially merely calling for a cessation of violence to criticising Bakiyev and his government. Putin has yet publicly to endorse the opposition. But his statements are leaning [in] that direction, further suggesting the Kremlin favourably views - and is perhaps fuelling - the crisis in Kyrgyzstan."

Background: 

Kyrgyzstan, which lies at the heart of Central Asia, is central to Western efforts to contain the spread of Islamist militancy from nearby Afghanistan.

The United States rents an air base in Kyrgyzstan, which it uses to support its fight against Taliban insurgents in Afghanistan. Russia also has an air base in the country.

A change of leadership in Bishkek could complicate the base agreements. Last year, Kyrgyzstan demanded the United States close the Manas base, but later agreed to let Washington keep the base for a higher rent.

Both the United States and Russia have expressed concern about what they regard as a rise in Islamic militancy in Central Asia. Kyrgyzstan shares the volatile Fergana Valley with Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, and was the target of cross-border raids by Islamic guerrillas in 1999 and 2000.

Foreign powers are nervous that if violence sweeps through Kyrgyzstan - which borders China, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan - it could have unpredictable consequences for the entire region.

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