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La tragédie grecque ne réjouit pas les Turcs

Publié 04 mai 2010
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Ankara est consciente que la profonde crise financière grecque va rendre l'UE réticente à tout nouvel élargissement. Les Turcs se montrent donc peu enclins à jubiler face aux problèmes rencontrés par leur voisin européen, qui est traditionnellement considéré comme son ennemi historique. Un reportage d'EurActiv Turquie.

Western diplomats were quick to anticipate that Turkey would take satisfaction from seeing Greece so economically vulnerable and politically unstable after its debt crisis.

Rather surprisingly, Greece's difficulties have inspired sympathy among Turkish opinion makers, who have expressed concern for the future of the EU.

According to most Turkish commentators, the Greek crisis should be seen as an EU issue. Indeed, Mahfi Eğilmez, a columnist in the Milliyet daily, told EurActiv Turkey in an interview that the euro zone had enlarged too rapidly.

Unlike the EU, Turkey did not harbour illusions about Greece's economic performance when it joined the euro zone or the false statistical reports that Athens submitted to the European Commission.

Rather than blindness, the EU has tended to overlook the huge economic imbalances inside the euro zone, according to Turkish commentators. Economists in Turkey fear that unbalanced growth in the EU will result in new crises in the near future.

Analyst Osman Ulagay told EurActiv Turkey that in his view, the Union had enlarged too hastily. "The unbalanced and inequal growth in the EU will inevitably result in new crises," he said.

"If the EU had been as demanding to its members on making them obey the rules as it is towards Turkey, then there wouldn't have been a 27-member EU and nobody would be facing this sort of crisis," Ulagay claimed.

Some Turkish commentators believe Europe would have been better equipped to deal with the Greek crisis if it had learned from Turkey's experience.

Istanbul-born economist Nouriel Roubini says the current turmoil in Greece would not have occurred if EU members had looked to Turkey and copied its reform effort after the 2001 crisis, the daily Hurriyet wrote.

Indeed, in the 1990s Turkey experienced an acute recession, in the context of a lack of leadership and widespread corruption. Reforms initiated by the finance minister at the time, Kemal Derviş, rapidly changed Turkey's economic landscape.

Réactions : 

Unlike Greece, Turkey has not experienced any banking instability, macro-economic imbalances or public finance deficits, said Bahadir Kaleagasi, international coordinator at TÜSİAD, the organisation representing Turkish business.

Speaking to EurActiv Germany, Kaleagasi said this was due to the radical structural reforms of 2001, which rendered the Turkish financial system more transparent, efficient and resilient vis-à-vis external shocks.

"Now that Turkey expects 6% economic growth in 2010 and even higher rates for 2011 and beyond, the turmoil in Greece is of course not good news," Kaleagasi argued. Turkey would be happy to see European solidarity in backing Greece and a Greek recovery soon, he added.

The way the EU has handled the Greek crisis and its possible spillover to some other EU members is a cause for concern in Turkey, the Turkish business representative said.

"As a country in the process of membership, any serious problem on the EU side, whether on institutional reform, the coherence of foreign policy or the functioning of the euro zone, has a negative impact on the credibility and attractiveness of the EU.

Eurosceptic segments of Turkish public opinion enjoy a relative boost that we as Turkish business expect to be temporary," Kaleagasi said.

Contexte : 

Relations between Greece and Turkey have traditionally been difficult. Although both countries are members of NATO, Greece has for decades complained about incursions by Turkish military aircraft into its airspace. 

A fresh such wave has reportedly been taking place since June 2009, with some Turkish air force jets flying low over Greek territory and even endangering flight paths, according to Athens. 

Relations between Greece and Turkey have long been strained over the Cyprus issue. Cyprus has been divided since 1974, when the Turkish military invaded the northern part of the island in response to a coup, inspired by the military junta in Athens, to unite the island with Greece.

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