Wind energy currently meets 5.3% of the EU’s electricity consumption. EWEA’s report – called “Pure Power” – claims that figure could more than treble by 2020 arriving at 18.4% of EU electricity demand.
The figure is an optimal one, and EWEA also admit that the rise could only be to 15.4%, which conforms to the broad consensus of projections from other sources.
For example the projection derived from adding all the National Renewable Energy Action Plans (NREAPs) suggests wind energy could reach 14% of EU demand by 2020.
Similarly the Commission’s own projections – compiled using the PRIMES energy model by the E3M Lab at the National Technical University of Athens in 2009 – claims wind energy would meet 14.2% of total consumption by 2020.
Radical claims for 2030/2050
Where EWEA’s projections part from the norm are in the group’s radical claims for the potential share of the electricity market wind could take by 2030 (28.5%) and 2050 (50%).
One reason why EWEA claims that such large share of the market can be taken by wind is that these figures are for the electricity market exclusive of central heating and transport – two very large net users of energy.
Such targets would take the EU from 19% renewable electricity today, to an expected 34% in 2020, and to 100% renewable electricity by 2050, according to EWEA.
But the group insists that these figures will only be attainable if policymakers put the right conditions in place.
EWEA Commission must act to impose targets
Justin Wilkes, EWEA’s head of policy, said EU renewables legislation is needed required for the period after 2020. he told EurActiv that the targets imposed to that date by the Commission had had a beneficial effect, but added that more targets were needed for the period of time following that.
“The Commission is finalizing its 2050 Energy Roadmap later this year, and that would be the perfect iopportunity for them to givwe a clear target for renewables beyond 2020,” said Wilkes.
He added: “In addition to post-2020 legislation, investment is urgently needed in electricity infrastructure in order to transport large amounts of wind energy from where it is produced to where it is consumed and to create a single electricity market in the EU.”