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Belgium cabinet talks still stuck in dead end

Published 20 August 2010
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A series of consultations of political leaders with Belgian King Albert II to be held today (20 August) are expected to herald a standstill in negotiations to form a new government. Hopes are evaporating that the country, which currently holds the EU's rotating presidency, will have a functional executive just after the summer recess.

A communiqué from the Royal Palace reveals that the 'préformateur' - the politician appointed by the king to explore the feasibility of forming a government, in this case the leader of the French-speaking socialists Elio di Rupo - will restart his mission tomorrow (21 August).

His task will be to deepen consultations on two matters: "autonomy and making the federal entities responsible for their new attributions and allowing each entity to prosper, as well as the long-term financing of the federal state for the competences and obligations it would continue to assume".

This rather complicated language translates into a transfer of budgetary competencies from the federal state to Belgium's linguistic entities, which is still being negotiated and amounts to 15.8 billion euros.

Reportedly, so-called 'responsabilisation', or making the entities responsible for their new attributions, is understood differently by each of Belgium's three 'communities'.

Sanctions and bonuses

The Flemish parties see this as attributing financing pro rata according to taxes paid by physical persons, which poorer Wallonia sees as unacceptable. A complex system of bonuses and sanctions is being discussed, which is seen by some as more fair but is still rejected as a trap by some Walloon politicians.

Jean-Benoît Pilet, political scientist at the Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), noted that there had been no link previously between the amount of funding attributed to the federal entities and the results of their utilisation.

He cited as an example funds for overcoming unemployment, which up to now had been allocated without taking into account how this had impacted on fighting unemployment.

In addition, determining the future of BHV, the bi-lingual electoral district of Brussels-Hal-Vilvoorde, appears to be a sine qua non condition for forming a new cabinet. The 100,000 or so French speakers who live on the city's margins enjoy special privileges, like being able to cast their ballot in BHV.

But the Dutch-speaking parties oppose this privilege and have called for the district to be split into separate entities between Brussels proper and the Flemish municipalities.

Concessions on BHV are expected from the French-speaking side, but it is unclear what their scope will be.

Positions: 

Jean-Michel de Waele, professor of political science at the Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), told EurActiv that there was a positive momentum in the negotiations, as the French-speaking parties had come to realise that they must make concessions.

"The French-speaking parties have realised that if they want to keep Belgium together, they have to accept requests by the Flemish parties and Flanders, which holds the majority in this country. I see there a clear realisation on behalf of French-speaking parties, and if this had happened one year, a year and a half ago, we would be in a much better situation today," he said.

As for the position of N-VA, the party of Bart De Wever, the Flemish nationalist who won Belgium's recent national elections, de Waele said that it remained unclear whether he could make the compromise acceptable to hardliners among his ranks.

"It is a huge reform of the country, a lot more money and a lot more power to the federal entities, but it is not the plan of N-VA, who want to go much further," he said.

Asked if he thought Belgium could have a government by 1 September, as some Belgian politicians had pledged, he said a more realistic goal would be for mid-September of early October.

"The option that everything breaks down is there as well. But I think players around the table know that there is no plan B," De Waele concluded.

Elio di Rupo to continue consultations
Background: 

The New Flemish Alliance (N-VA), a nationalist party, secured a sweeping victory in the Dutch-speaking part of Belgium in national elections held on 13 June, paving the way for more powers to be delegated to the regions in the country that hosts the EU institutions.

Flemish nationalist gains were matched by a large victory for the socialists in French-speaking Wallonia, with both parties now expected to spearhead government coalition talks.

The early elections were triggered after Flemish liberal party Open-VLD decided to leave the government over a dispute between French- and Dutch-speaking parties regarding electoral boundaries surrounding the capital, Brussels (EurActiv 27/04/10).

Belgian King Albert II told Prime Minister Yves Leterme to stay on in a caretaker capacity until a new government was formed. On 8 July, the king appointed the leader of the French-speaking socialist party, Elio Di Rupo, to lead talks on forming a new government (EurActiv 09/07/10).

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