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Leaders seek common ground for post-Gaddafi Libya

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Published 29 March 2011, updated 22 December 2011

More than 40 governments and international organisations are meeting today (29 March) in London to try to lay the groundwork for a Libya without leader Muammar Gaddafi.

As coalition forces pound Gaddafi's tanks and artillery, the London conference will discuss stepping up humanitarian aid to war-torn areas and call for a political process to enable Libyans to choose their own future, British officials say.

UK Prime Minister David Cameron and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who led the drive for a muscular intervention in the Libyan conflict, called on Monday for Gaddafi to go and for his followers to abandon him before it was "too late".

"We call on all Libyans who believe that Gaddafi is leading Libya into a disaster to take the initiative now to organise a transition process," they said in a joint statement.

The London meeting is expected to set up a high-level steering group, including Arab states, to provide political guidance for the international response to the Libya crisis and coordinate long-term support to Libyans.

Agreement on NATO taking full control of military operations over Libya was delayed by Turkish concerns about civilian casualties.

Turkey's Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu told reporters who accompanied him to London that protecting civilians was the first priority, and the lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan should be learned.

Turkey, a large Muslim member of NATO, has said it wants to be part of the political steering group. Turkey was not invited to the Paris conference on 19 March (see 'Background').

Davutoğlu said NATO could pressure Gaddafi into halting attacks on civilians and implementing a ceasefire, after which the Libyan people should be put in a position where they could decide how to reconstruct the political system in their country.

"In Iraq and in Afghanistan we had experience of a military operation without a political objective," he said.

High-profile cast

Britain wants the meeting to strengthen the international commitment to enforcing two UN resolutions on Libya in the face of criticism from Russia that coalition military strikes have gone beyond what was authorised by the United Nations.

The conference, starting at 1300 GMT and due to end with a news conference at 1630 GMT, may also discuss further sanctions to isolate Gaddafi, a diplomat said.

More than 40 foreign ministers, including US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and ministers from European, NATO and a number of Arab countries will take part.

UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and leaders of the African Union, Organisation of the Islamic Conference and NATO will also attend, as will Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani and a representative of the Arab League.

Russia, not part of the coalition, will not be attending, a British official said.

Emboldened by Western-led air strikes against Gaddafi's forces, rebels advanced west towards Gaddafi's birthplace on Monday. Italy on Monday proposed a political deal to end the crisis, including a quick ceasefire, exile for Gaddafi and dialogue between rebels and tribal leaders.

Foreign Minister Franco Frattini said he had discussed the proposals with Germany, France and Sweden and expected to talk them through with Turkey before the London meeting.

Frattini's spokesman said Italy hoped the London meeting could express "a united vision" for a post-Gaddafi Libya, including an internationally monitored ceasefire and "an inclusive dialogue between the rebel council, tribal leaders and other players in Libyan society, except Gaddafi".

Britain has invited Mahmoud Jebril, a member of the rebel Libyan National Council, to London although he is not formally invited to the conference, a diplomatic source said.

(EurActiv with Reuters.)

Positions: 

A joint letter on Libya by French President Nicolas Sarkozy and UK Prime Minister David Cameron, published ahead of the London conference, states:

"We emphasise that we do not envisage any military occupation of Libya, which would be contrary to the terms of the Resolution [UNSCR 1973]. We reaffirm our strong commitment to the sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and national unity of Libya.

"Military action is not an objective as such. A lasting solution can only be a political one that belongs to the Libyan people. That is why the political process that will begin tomorrow in London is so important. The London conference will bring the international community together to support Libya's transition from violent dictatorship and to help create the conditions where the people of Libya can choose their own future.

"In the words of the Arab League resolution, the current regime has completely lost its legitimacy. Gaddafi must therefore go immediately. We call on all his followers to leave him before it is too late. We call on all Libyans who believe that Gaddafi is leading Libya into a disaster to take the initiative now to organise a transition process.

"In our view, this could include the Interim National Transitional Council, the pioneering role of which we recognise, the civil society leaders as well as all those prepared to join the process of transition to democracy. We encourage them to begin a national political dialogue, leading to a representative process of transition, constitutional reform and preparation for free and fair elections."

Simon Tisdall writes in the Guardian that one possible scenario backed by Turkey – that Gaddafi agrees to a genuine ceasefire and negotiations but remains in power (for now at least) – is a potential nightmare for Cameron, Sarkozy and Obama.

Italy, the former colonial power in Libya, is pushing a variant of this theme with possible backing from Germany, Tisdall writes further. It proposes a political deal including a quick ceasefire, dialogue between rebels and tribal leaders, and voluntary exile for Gaddafi. This depends on Gaddafi doing the decent thing, an optimistic idea.

"Conference participants may touch on some of these issues but they will not resolve them. The key question remains: when can western countries disengage? Now and for the foreseeable future, there is no answer," Tisdall concludes.

Background: 

At the 11 March EU summit, Paris and London took the lead in pushing decisive action against the regime of Muammar Gaddafi.

On 17 March, the UN Security Council voted to impose a no-fly zone over Libya and to provide help for Libyan rebels fighting to overthrow Gaddafi. Reportedly, French diplomacy helped achieve this compromise. Russia and China, permanent members of the Security Council, abstained instead of using their veto power. Among the 15 members of the Security Council Germany, India and Brazil also abstained.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy hosted a 'Summit for the support of the Libyan People' on 19 March in Paris. Immediately after the summit, military operations against Gaddafi's forces were launched.

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