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Brussels unveils 2020 economic roadmap for Europe

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Published 03 March 2010, updated 15 March 2010

José Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission, has unveiled a long-awaited 10-year plan for greener growth and jobs in Europe, proposing a limited set of targets on education, R&D and poverty reduction and "policy warnings" for EU countries that fail to meet them.

If implemented, the strategy should bring "at least 2% growth" to Europe, Barroso said, presenting his proposals in Brussels on Wednesday (3 March).

However, he said it would be "too risky" to speculate on a precise figure as the current economic crisis had made the situation difficult to predict.

A fragile recovery from the economic crisis and fiscal problems in Greece and other EU states have sparked tensions in the euro currency area and added to doubts about whether the EU can match the economic strength of the United States and China.

The Portuguese stressed the "sense of urgency" provided by the crisis, which he said had moved sceptical EU countries to soften their opposition to greater European "economic governance".

"Now things have changed," Barroso claimed. "We are more interdependent than ever. We need economic coordination now more than ever," he argued, saying "divergences between member states have a direct impact on everyone else".

The programme, which will be discussed by EU leaders at a summit on March 25-26 before its planned approval in June, aims to prevent the bloc of 500 million people slipping behind economic and political rivals on the world stage.

Five headline targets

The strategy defines five headline targets at EU level, which member states will be asked to translate into national goals reflecting their differing starting points:

  • Raising the employment rate of the population aged 20-64 from the current 69% to 75%.
  • Raising the investment in R&D to 3% of the EU's GDP.
  • Meeting the EU's '20/20/20' objectives on greenhouse gas emission reduction and renewable energies.
  • Reducing the share of early school leavers from the current 15% to under 10% and making sure that at least 40% of youngsters have a degree or diploma.
  • Reducing the number of Europeans living below the poverty line by 25%, lifting 20 million out of poverty from the current 80 million.

Some of these objectives, like the 3% R&D target, already featured in the EU's previous strategy, the Lisbon Agenda. Others like the 20% greenhouse gas emission reduction target and renewable energy objectives have already been agreed and put down into hard legislation. 

"There are some things in our strategy that you will have heard before," Barroso said. "We make no apology for that. They would not be here if they had been done properly in the last ten years."

A series of seven flagship initiatives were identified where joint action will be initiated: on innovation, youth, the digital agenda, resource efficiency, industrial policy, skills and jobs and the fight against poverty.

Link with stability and growth pact

To address the delivery gap in the member states – one of the main shortcomings of the Lisbon Agenda - the Commission proposes evaluating national policy programmes alongside fiscal stabilisation plans adopted under the Stability and Growth Pact, which limits public deficits in eurozone countries to 3% of GDP.

This, it argues, would "bring the means and the aims together" and give greater political weight to specific "country reports" on the thematic policy plans.

However, this proposal could face resistance from EU member states. Earlier this week, German Chancellor Angela Merkel wrote to Barroso saying that linking the strategy's targets to compliance with the Stability and Growth Pact would make fiscal surveillance "unnecessarily political" (EurActiv 02/03/10).

But Barroso dismissed those concerns. "There is no overlap," Barroso stressed in response to questions about the strategy's links with the euro zone's rulebook. The two processes would remain "separate" in order to "maintain the integrity of the Stability and Growth Pact," the proposal says.

"Last time, we had one hand tied behind our backs," Barroso said. "This time we must grab the problem with both hands."

Policy warnings

To assess member states' progress in achieving their agreed national targets, the Commission will submit an annual report to EU leaders for discussion at their spring annual summit.

"The European Council [which brings together heads of states and government] should steer the strategy," argues the Commission, because it is best placed to "manage the interdependence between member states and the EU".

As part of this process, Barroso said the Commission will suggest ways forward for meeting the national objectives.

"The Commission will address country-specific recommendations to member states. We will also issue policy warnings in case of inadequate response. And our reporting of Europe 2020 will be done simultaneously with our evaluation of the Stability and Growth Pact," he said.

The policy recommendations already exist under the Stability and Growth Pact and carry legal weight. "Policy warnings," on the other hand, are a new instrument provided by the Lisbon Treaty (Article 121.4 of the revised EU treaties).

However, it remains to be seen how effective these policy warnings will be in influencing national policies in practice. Under the revised EU treaties, they would need the approval of member states before they are issued, making them dependent on EU leaders' willingness to name and shame each other.

'This is no Gosplan'

A high-ranking EU official, who asked not to be named, told EurActiv that the proposed new governance mechanism in the 'Europe 2020' strategy had raised eyebrows in some corners.

However, he said there was no reason to be surprised, as it was foreseen by the Lisbon Treaty, even though "not everyone had read every detail" of it. EU leaders should "take full ownership" of the Europe 2020 strategy, the official insisted.

"This is no Gosplan," he said, comparing the EU strategy to Soviet-era five-year Kremlin-made plans, which the republics had no other choice but to implement and report back to Moscow on progress made.

"This is a matter of political will," the official stressed. "And as Gorbachev once said, the lack of political will is sanctioned by history".

Positions: 

The Socialist and Democrats (S&D) group in the European Parliament criticised the European Commission's proposed strategy for "lacking ambition".

"The Commission's proposals are not green enough and not strong enough on jobs and social policy and overall too lukewarm," said Stephen Hughes MEP, S&D vice-president for economic and social affairs.

"Despite a welcome commitment to tackling poverty, the Commission has never been whole-hearted about throwing its energy into a strong social policy. It is clear that we have an important task in the coming years to make Europe put people, not markets, first," Hughes added.

In response, the S&D outlined its own priorities for the European economy, putting the emphasis on a "green new deal" that they said should create 10 million jobs in the economy by 2020.

The Alliance of Liberals and Democrats group in the European Parliament (ALDE) welcomed the Commission's proposals, saying the proposed objectives are both "ambitious and realistic".

However, it said the strategy needed "more teeth" in order to make sure it is implemented at national level. "The emphasis of Europe 2020 is certainly striking the right chord," said ALDE group leader Guy Verhofstadt MEP. But he said he was "convinced" that the Commission "must be even more in the driver's seat" and offer sticks as well as carrots.

"The 2020 document offers some carrots but few sticks other than a possible warning from the Commission, which is unlikely to send a shudder down the spines of national finance ministries." "I maintain that the European Commission, not the European Council, is best placed to set the targets, oversee performance and name and shame underperformers because member states will always lack the political will for self criticism."

Referring to the Greek debt crisis, ALDE spokesperson Lena Ek said: "Cheating with statistics is unacceptable and countries that cheat should be punished. It is necessary to establish clear binding targets and make sure that oversight is the Commission's responsibility."

The Swedish MEP proposed creating "a European Monetary Fund" that can help stabilise markets in case of crisis.

The Green group in the European Parliament criticised the Commission proposal as "a myopic attempt" at defining a vision for 2020.

"The Commission's rigid attachment to GDP growth as the driving target for economic development is a recipe for repeated failure," said Green MEPs Claude Turmes and Philippe Lamberts.

"GDP growth does not automatically provide improved social equality, better environmental protection or a happier life for citizens. New indicators are needed. We particularly call for a target for better distribution of income in the Europe 2020 programme," they said.

The Greens also criticised the strategy for being weak on national implementation measures. "The Commission is repeating the mistakes of the Lisbon Strategy by presenting a programme without demanding obligations. We need binding targets for critical issues such as resource and energy efficiency, as well as for social objectives."

"We regret that Barroso caved in to pressure from Member States and backtracked on the crucial question of conditionality for European funding. European funds must only be allocated where environmental and social conditions are fulfilled. The EU's structural funds are doing more to contribute to climate change than to fight it. This must change," they concluded. 

BusinessEurope, the EU’s main employer lobby group, said the Europe 2020 proposal provided "a useful basis" for making Europe "a greater a player in the world". However, it said "the sense of urgency and focus should be reinforced" and announced that it would propose changes soon "in order to turn the Commission communication into a real roadmap for action".

"In the extraordinary circumstances Europe faces today, a growth strategy is the answer if we want to achieve a sound European Union, with strong companies and jobs for many people," commented Philippe de Buck, director-general of BusinessEurope.

The European Policy Centre, a Brussels think-tank, questioned whether the EU had the tools to deliver on its ambitious objectives. "Looking at the targets, it looks like the tools to deliver are mostly at member-state level so it remains to be seen how far member states will match action to aspiration this time around."

The EPC also questioned the wisdom of keeping the Stability and Growth Pact separate from the Europe 2020 policy objectives. "One crucial issue missing from the high level targets is the sustainability of public finances, with the Stability and Growth Pact kept deliberately separate from Europe 2020. This means that Europe 2020 is not a comprehensive economic reform strategy and also makes it dependent on success in another policy field."

Indeed, it says the 'Europe 2020' policy objectives will largely depend on the public finance situation in the member states. The proposed governance mechanism "is still predominantly soft," says the EPC, relying on benchmarking, monitoring and recommendations.

"Yes, governments can be admonished if they do not take the right actions but is there really a will by member states to do this consistently, applied to all member states equally?" it said.

WWF, the global conservation organisation, said the Commission's Europe 2020 plans showed "little ambition". "We welcome some of the bolder elements such as resource efficiency, but there isn't sufficient guidance for such a long-term strategy," said the WWF in a statement.

"The real regret is that the strategy fails to give any clear direction on some of the biggest policy overhauls coming up in the next few years, including agriculture (Common Agricultural Policy reform), fisheries (Common Fisheries Policy reform) and rural development, which are barely mentioned in the document."

The European Environmental Bureau (EEB), a network of green NGOs, welcomed the central place in the proposal for promoting a more resource efficient, greener and more competitive economy, including in the research and industry "flagship initiatives".

However, it regretted that there was "nothing new" on climate change and deplored the "very weak reference to the role of biodiversity protection as a basis for a healthy economy".

"Respecting ecological limits by enabling economic activity without depleting natural resources or burdening our planet’s ecosystems, are key to the sustainable creation of jobs and a sustainable economy," the WWF said.

"Instead of exploiting nature, we should be making space for it."

"The Europe 2020 document is a half-hearted response to the social problems that people in the EU are facing today," said Conny Reuter, president of the Social Platform. "As with the previous Lisbon strategy (under which inequalities and the number of working poor increased before the economic crisis set in) the mantra here remains to achieve growth – albeit 'smart, sustainable and inclusive' growth," he added.

"Where is the commitment to strengthen universal protection systems, and create quality jobs?" he asked. "These are essential components to ensure that any growth would benefit all the people of the EU."

"The fact that the strategy includes a target to reduce poverty is a breakthrough for social Europe. But without a proper commitment to invest in public and social services, it remains to be seen how exactly it could be reached," he concluded.

Andrea Benassi, Secretary Generalof UEAPME, a small business lobby, welcomed the new strategy, but noted its targets would be difficult to achieve unless the costs linked to public administrations are reduced and their efficiency is increased.

"The EU 2020 strategy is head and shoulders above all previous attempts to give Europe a long-term strategy for sustainable growth. It is a coherent, comprehensive and impressive piece of work, which goes well beyond a mere target-setting exercise to elaborate not only on where Europe must go, but also on how to get there. Never before was the Commission so clear on where bottlenecks are, on how to remove them and on who must do what. This is a radi-cal change of perspective that could really make a difference if all stakeholders take full ownership of the process," said Bernassi.

Next steps: 
  • 25-26 March 2010: EU summit to discuss the strategy's overall approach and the Commission's proposed headline objectives.
  • 17-18 June 2010: EU summit to adopt further details of the strategy, including country-specific targets.
  • Autumn 2010: Member states to submit stability and convergence programmes, as well as national reform programmes.
Background: 

The EU's new strategy for sustainable growth and jobs, called 'Europe 2020', comes in the midst of the worst economic crisis in decades.

The new strategy replaces the Lisbon Agenda, adopted in 2000, which largely failed to turn the EU into "the world's most dynamic knowledge-based economy by 2010".

The new agenda puts innovation and green growth at the heart of its blueprint for competitiveness and proposes tighter monitoring of national reform programmes, one of the greatest weaknesses of the Lisbon Strategy.

During a summit on 11 February, EU leaders broadly endorsed a paper by European Council President Herman Van Rompuy, which called for more rigorous implementation and monitoring procedures for the new strategy (EurActiv 11/02/10).

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