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EU summit to search for mythical 'jobs and growth' formula

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Published 27 January 2012, updated 30 January 2012

Since the start of the year, one phrase has tripped off the lips of European leaders more than any other: "jobs and growth". After two years of debt crisis and budget austerity, there is a strong desire to shift the narrative on.

To that end, the EU's first summit of 2012, to be held on Monday, will focus on finding ways to kickstart growth and create jobs across the 27-country union, which is on the brink of recession and has average unemployment of 10%, rising to 45% among the young in countries such as Spain.

The problem is that after years of preaching austerity and telling wayward governments to cut spending and raise revenue, there is scarce capital readily available for investment, either at a national level or across the EU budget.

As a result, there is little expectation that Monday's summit will produce concrete measures to boost either output or employment in the near-term, despite EU leaders first adopting their competitiveness mantra more than a decade ago.

"They don't have much of a strategy apart from the typical laundry list of structural and labour market reforms, which is fine, but that is not going to deliver much in the short-term," said Guntram Wolff, deputy director of Bruegel, a Brussels think-tank whose analysis frequently informs EU policymaking.

"It's become clear that this focus on austerity and fiscal consolidation is not enough, so they need the economic growth and employment element. The signal is the right one, but we need to do better about how we go about achieving it."

While there may not be readily accessible pools of capital to launch infrastructure projects or other labour-intensive schemes that can boost output, the EU does have large amounts of funds squirrelled away in its long-term budget that could be released to help countries such as Greece, Spain and Portugal.

Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said yesterday (27 January) that any leftover money in the EU's structural funds should be used to generate jobs.

There is also a need to create more stability in the banking system so that banks have the confidence to lend to small- and medium-sized companies, the biggest engine for job creation in the EU, delivering up to 85% of new jobs since 2000.

The European Central Bank's flooding of the bank sector with nearly half a trillion euros of cheap three-year money - an offer it will repeat in February - has helped in that regard.

Jobs for young people

The summit is also expected to see leaders commit to making it easier for young people in struggling countries such as Portugal and Greece to travel abroad to seek work in high-performing economies like Germany, Denmark and the Netherlands.

"I want us this time to focus on immediate action to be taken in the specific areas of youth unemployment, the single market and SMEs," Herman Van Rompuy, president of the European Council and the chair of EU summits, wrote in an invitation letter to EU leaders on Thursday.

"In the present economic situation, we must continue our efforts to ensure financial stability and fiscal consolidation: this is necessary in itself, but it is also a condition needed for returning to structural economic growth."

Greece, Portugal, Spain, and to a lesser extent, Ireland, still face a year or two of economic strife as severe austerity measures rip into growth prospects, a Reuters poll showed. Portugal and Greece will both shrink by more than 3% this year it predicted.

For Germany, which looks like it will steer well clear of recession while many of its partners succumb, the focus remains structural reforms rather than hard cash.

"Sustainable growth in European economies is not something that one can buy with public money," a senior German official said. "Sometimes it requires political courage to take the steps necessary to create a foundation for sustainable growth. We need structural reforms."

Danish model?

Denmark, which holds the presidency of the EU until the end of June, has been held up as an example of a country that chose a particular path for investment and largely delivered.

Two decades ago it set out to turn itself into a champion of green technology, investing heavily in alternative energy sources including wind turbines. Danish turbine maker Vestas is now a world-leader in the field.

But one of the pitfalls of the strategy was laid bare this month when Vestas announced it would have to cut more than 2,300 jobs - 10% of its workforce - to restore profitability as it faces stiff competition from China.

In the economic downturn stalking Europe, the higher cost of investing in alternative energy sources is a barrier for cash-strapped governments - even if it may be the future - and as a result industry-leading companies can suffer.

In terms of a pan-EU growth strategy, therefore, analysts say Europe needs to look at an industry that is critical across all countries and will require large amounts of investment to deliver jobs, efficiency and expansion over the long term.

One natural candidate is the energy sector.

"They need to think about a typical investment project that has a strong European component, such as the energy transition story," said Bruegel's Wolff. "It's a long-term story, but on the other hand, the adjustment we're going to see in southern Europe is going to take 5-10 years anyway."

The key will be finding the money to invest. At a national level, that means focusing on what policymakers are calling "smart austerity" - cutting budgets but not in areas where investment is critical. That could mean defence and some social spending being cut so more resources are available.

At an EU level, it means unlocking structural funds, money set aside in the union's long-term budget to help bring poorer countries' infrastructure up to EU standards but which is not always used by recipients. For example, Greece has around €15 billion of unused funds from the 2007-2013 EU budget.

In a letter setting out their aims for the summit, France and Germany raised the possibility of pooling up to 25% of unused money from 2011 in a special growth fund, although they didn't say how much that would add up to.

On his Facebook page, Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann proposed using €10 billion in dormant EU social funds to help put young people to work.

The money would appear to be there. The challenge is unlocking it and putting it to work so results are delivered.

EurActiv.com with Reuters

COMMENTS

  • I have used my personal email contact above rather than my work email, because the views I express are mine and not my company's, and I only submit the below on the basis that your website says that it will be kept private. I have read an analyst report that the Spanish government will cut subsidies to Spanish utilities for renewable energy investments, on the basis that they couldn't afford the tarriff deficit adding 4 bln euros more per year to the existing 24 bln euros. The point is, while they may have little choice but to do this, it would seem to contravene the ideas laid forth here about smart austerity in the EU countries and increasing investment in the energy sector. Unless the EU finds reserves of oil it didn't know it had, the alternative energy sector would seem to be the most suitable place to invest so as not to have to import so much oil and gas, especially for countries that need to reverse a long string of current account deficits against a backdrop of high oil prices. While this measure may be what Spain's finances need in the short run, and the analyst I read rightly viewed the subsidy cut as a positive to the government finances over the long run, it is nevertheless highlighting the role the EU government should play in financing energy investment, and not for just Greece, because countries apparently won't make social cuts before energy investment cuts the way this article asserts because the social cuts are likely to have more political backlash. I had read about Portugal's ambitious alternative energy plans in the last few years with windpower and electric cars, and I now am afraid I will hear soon that they have been forced to cut back those plans as well, i.e. subsidies, especially given there is some internet talk that renewable energy is "too costly" in the current environment.

    By :
    Carolyne Spackman
    - Posted on :
    28/01/2012
  • This will be unprecedent robbery of structural funds from New Member states, sent to Spain and Portugal to repay their bonds held by German and French banks.

    By :
    Violetta
    - Posted on :
    29/01/2012
  • EU leaders plan to spend the equivalent of £22bn on helping a “lost generation” of young people find work. The figures are staggering, in Spain and Italy 51% and 22% in the UK with low salaries and those who find work struggling with low salaries and little job security. The EU is not just treading water but looking at a social and economic time bomb. What is wrong with the EU is the big question? Ultimately the answer lies in the fact that the ‘innovation chain’ in the EU is broken and not until politicians and European industrialists realise this, there is no road back, not even by pumping in a further £22 billion equivalent in the process. What the EU needs more than anything else is the creation of new technological industries that nations like China cannot compete. Even they in this attainable scenario have to buy EU technological goods as there would be no alternative. Therefore the EU should be spending at least 20% of this £22 billion (some £4 billion) in setting up the EU’s (including the UK) creative infrastructure where all the 750 million people of Europe can become engaged. Any other strategy will unfortunately lead to decline and we have to concentrate our efforts on fundamental innovation, creativeness and inventiveness of all the minds of the European community. Until our political and business leaders realise this we are simple on a hiding to nowhere and where our young unfortunately will see lost generation after lost generation if we do not change our ways and thinking and our fixed economic mindsets that are basically of yesterday’s thinking. The other question that has to be asked is, why cannot we use our common sense for once and lay our future foundations FIRST? For good foundations are a prerequisite for future economic dynamism and our leaders should know this. Presently our foundations are not dynamic as the huge youth employment from one generation to another testifies clearly.

    Dr David Hill
    World Innovation Foundation

    By :
    Dr David Hill , World Innovation Foundation
    - Posted on :
    29/01/2012
  • EU leaders plan to spend the equivalent of £22bn on helping a “lost generation” of young people find work. The figures are staggering, in Spain and Italy 51% and 22% in the UK with low salaries and those who find work struggling with low salaries and little job security. The EU is not just treading water but looking at a social and economic time bomb. What is wrong with the EU is the big question? Ultimately the answer lies in the fact that the ‘innovation chain’ in the EU is broken and not until politicians and European industrialists realise this, there is no road back, not even by pumping in a further £22 billion equivalent in the process. What the EU needs more than anything else is the creation of new technological industries that nations like China cannot compete. Even they in this attainable scenario have to buy EU technological goods as there would be no alternative. Therefore the EU should be spending at least 20% of this £22 billion (some £4 billion) in setting up the EU’s (including the UK) creative infrastructure where all the 750 million people of Europe can become engaged. Any other strategy will unfortunately lead to decline and we have to concentrate our efforts on fundamental innovation, creativeness and inventiveness of all the minds of the European community. Until our political and business leaders realise this we are simple on a hiding to nowhere and where our young unfortunately will see lost generation after lost generation if we do not change our ways and thinking and our fixed economic mindsets that are basically of yesterday’s thinking. The other question that has to be asked is, why cannot we use our common sense for once and lay our future foundations FIRST? For good foundations are a prerequisite for future economic dynamism and our leaders should know this. Presently our foundations are not dynamic as the huge youth employment from one generation to another testifies clearly.

    Dr David Hill
    World Innovation Foundation, UK

    By :
    Dr David Hill
    - Posted on :
    29/01/2012
Background: 

The EU's new strategy for sustainable growth and jobs, called 'Europe 2020', comes in the midst of the worst economic crisis in decades.

The new strategy replaces the Lisbon Agenda, adopted in 2000, which largely failed to turn the EU into "the world's most dynamic knowledge-based economy by 2010" (see EurActiv LinksDossier).

The new agenda puts innovation and green growth at the heart of its blueprint for competitiveness and proposes tighter monitoring of national reform programmes, one of the greatest weaknesses of the Lisbon Strategy (For more, see EurActiv's LinksDossier).

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