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Europe grapples with 2020 employment target

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Published 22 September 2010

As the European Union slowly begins to emerge from the economic crisis, member-state governments now face the tough task of reviving their job markets and getting people back into work in the coming years, against a backdrop of an EU employment target of 75% for the year 2020. EurActiv's media network reports.

The global economic crisis has seriously affected the EU labour market, leaving over 23 million people across the Union unemployed and with little hope of finding a new job in the coming months.

In the last year and a half alone, 4.3 million jobs were lost – constituting 1.9% of the total EU workforce. Unemployment is expected to reach 10% and stay at that level until at least 2011.

In his first 'State of the Union' speech, European Commission President José Manuel Barroso unveiled plans to help fill the four million vacant jobs across the EU-27, including a 'European Vacancy Monitor' (EurActiv 08/09/10).

In June, European leaders adopted the 'Europe 2020' strategy – the EU's successor to the Lisbon Strategy - which has the aim of establishing a smart, sustainable economy over the next ten years. Raising the employment level is one of the strategy's five quantitative headline goals, whereby individual national targets will be agreed in the autumn.

The employment target is to increase the job rate among 20-64 year olds to 75% by 2020, which signifies a 7% increase over the next ten years, as the current EU-wide figure is 69%. Though the international standard for measuring employment rates is the 15-64 age range, 15-19 year olds in almost all EU member states are obliged to attend secondary school.

Central Europe: Governments prepare wide-ranging reforms

In the four 'Visegrad' EU countries – the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Poland – governments are readying national employment policy measures to kick-start economic growth and increase the job rate among their citizens, notably the young, the old and the long-term unemployed.

The Czech job market was hit hard by the crisis and the government will have to implement key reforms if the country is to achieve its 2020 target, which the previous government set at 75%, matching the EU-wide goal. In 2009, the employment rate among 20-64 year olds was 70.9%, down from a high of 72.4% the year before.

The country has set itself a number of partial national targets – focussing on raising employment among women and older workers and reducing unemployment among 15-24 year olds and lower-skilled workers. The new government is unlikely to change the targets and hopes to boost the flexibility of the job market, cut red tape and simplify conditions for SMEs (EurActiv 09/09/10).

In Slovakia, where the job rate stood at 66.4% in 2009, the new government has two key aims: pulling jobless citizens out of the 'social trap' – where the economic motivation to work is low – and fighting the serious problem of long-term unemployment.

For many Slovaks, the generous social subsistence system means it makes little financial difference whether they work or not. Over half of its unemployed people have been jobless for more than a year. To tackle the problem, the government plans to introduce a 'labour intermarket' – based on a combination of social benefits and part-time work – and provide tax incentives to companies to hire long-term jobless citizens (EurActiv 03/09/10).

As for Hungary, the government has pledged to create one million jobs over the next ten years – an ambitious plan that would help bring the country's employment rate up to 70% by the year 2020, the figure reportedly proposed by the European Commission.

The current rate among 20-64 year olds in Hungary is just 60.4%, meaning that real efforts will be required to meet this target. According to an expert from the country's statistical office, Hungary could get to 70% if one million jobs are successfully created and filled, as many of the 1.9 million 'inactive' workers would re-enter the labour market (EurActiv 06/09/10).

Poland has had one of the lowest employment rates in the EU in recent years – less than 60% – and it is particularly low among women and the over-50s due to early retirement and pre-retirement benefits. The job rate has been helped by mass emigration and the declining population, however.

In 2008, Prime Minister Donald Tusk reformed the pension system, a controversial move that deprived around 750,000 Poles of the possibility of early retirement and should boost the employment rate among those over 50. The Polish Labour Ministry is also focusing on an ''active'' policy that aims to bring unemployed citizens back into the labour market.

Bulgaria ambitious, Romania struggling

Despite Bulgaria's high jobless rate and considerable pessimism among its citizens, the Bulgarian government has sets its sights high. It not only believes it can match the EU-wide 75% benchmark but has set itself a slightly higher national target of 76%: an ''ambitious but not impossible'' goal, according to Deputy Minister of Labour and Social Policy Krasimir Popov.

To achieve this target, the employment rate will have to increase by 0.75 percentage points each year until 2020. The government is confident that this can happen once the crisis subsides and is planning measures to combat long-term unemployment, improve the flexibility of the market and increase the skills and knowledge of the workforce.

Yet many Bulgarian citizens do not share the government's optimism. According to a Eurobarometer survey carried out in May, 95% of Bulgarians view the economic and employment situation as ''bad'' and 30% are expecting more problems on the labour market (EurActiv 31/08/10).

In neighbouring Romania, the unemployment rate has been on a downward spiral over the last decade and stood at just 58.6% at the end of 2009 – compared to 64.2% in 1998. Over the same period, the average rate across the EU rose from 61.2% to 64.6%.

The Romanian job market has lost over two million people in the past few years due to emigration. Large diaspora communities have formed in Spain and Italy, while EU jobs in Brussels also attract young Romanians. In the spring, Labour Minister Mihai Seitan stated that while the EU's target is 75%, Romania is nearer 50%. Women, young people and the over-45s are particularly struggling to find jobs.

However, one area of work that is not counted in the country's employment figure is subsistence farming, points out Cristian Ghinea from the Romanian Centre for European Policies. 30% of Romanians work in agriculture and this includes those who focus mainly on growing enough food to feed their families, she noted (EurActiv 08/09/10).

Positions: 

In France, employment is a major concern for both citizens and the government, particularly since the crisis. Accessing the labour market and job security are the main challenges, with unemployment high among under-25s and those over 50. Though the job rate increased in early 2010, reaching 63.8%, less than half of 15-64 year olds had a permanent contract.

According to Claude Emmanuel Triomphe, director of employment website Metis, the 'Europe 2020' strategy is not seen as a major objective in France. Trade unions have also criticised it for lacking genuine solutions and focusing on quantitative aims but not qualitative ones (EurActiv 02/09/10).

The French government is implementing a range of measures to combat employment problems, such as support for apprenticeships and rules and incentives for companies to hire older employees. It has also reformed the pension system by increasing the retirement age from 60 to 62, a move that has been met with demonstrations across the country.

Despite the economic crisis, Germany's job market is in good health, with an unchanged unemployment rate of 7.6%. ''The economic recovery is sustainable and the labour market has virtually returned to its pre-crisis level,'' stated Labour Minister Ursula von der Leyen confidently.

Major employment reforms carried out since 2000 have made the labour market much more flexible, with a considerable increase in temporary employment. Wage restraint in the private sector has also helped – though trade unions are now demanding higher pay for employees.

However, Germany will face two significant challenges in the coming years – an ageing population and high immigrant unemployment. Experts predict that country will need 200,000 immigrants each year to slow the demographic decline and the government is instigating measures to try and integrate them better so as to boost their employment chances (EurActiv 15/09/10).

Next steps: 
  • Autumn 2010: Member states to submit stability and convergence programmes, as well as national reform programmes.
Background: 

Raising the employment rate to 75% is one of the five priorities of a draft ten-year economic plan unveiled by the European Commission in March, called 'Europe 2020' (EurActiv 03/03/10).

The strategy defines five headline targets at EU level, which member states will be asked to translate into national goals reflecting their differing starting points:

  • Raising the employment rate of the population aged 20-64 from the current 69% to 75%.
  • Raising the investment in R&D to 3% of the EU's GDP.
  • Meeting the EU's '20/20/20' objectives on greenhouse gas emission reduction and renewable energies.
  • Reducing the share of early school leavers from the current 15% to under 10% and making sure that at least 40% of youngsters have a degree or diploma.
  • Reducing the number of Europeans living below the poverty line by 25%, lifting 20 million out of poverty from the current 80 million.

In a series of articles, the EurActiv network will present the state of play in individual EU countries on each of the targets. This series looks at how member states react to the employment target.

The EurActiv network has found that Eastern countries are doubtful about the poverty target and face an uphill battle to attain the climate goals (EurActiv 06/05/10; EurActiv 16/07/10). The education picture is mixed, while most member states will adopt R&D targets below the EU-wide goal of 3% of GDP (EurActiv 23/08/10; EurActiv 04/06/10).

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