The Czech parliament voted yesterday (20 August) to dissolve itself, triggering an early election that could hand the Communist Party a share of power for the first time since a bloodless revolution ended the party's totalitarian rule two decades ago.
Opinion polls show that the centre-left Social Democrats will be the biggest party, but they will need support from other groups to govern. Party leader Bohuslav Sobotka said he would talk to the Communists about forming a partnership.
Many people in the country of 10 million people associate the Communists to 41 years of repression. But by being out of power for so long, the party has escaped the taint of sleaze that has tarnished the governments that took over from it.
Tuesday's vote to dissolve parliament came about after the previous government folded under charges from prosecutors that an aide to the prime minister, who was also his lover, had his wife put under surveillance.
The dissolution was supported by 140 members of the 200-seat lower house of parliament. The president, Miloš Zeman, must now schedule an election, likely to be at the end of October.
Zeman's chief of staff Vratislav Myná? said late on Tuesday that the president would meet party leaders on Friday to discuss the date of the election.
In an interview with Reuters before the dissolution vote, Sobotka said he hoped his party would form a minority government backed by other groups.
"It is definitely possible to expect negotiations with KSCM [the Communist Party]," Sobotka said. "The Communists are in a number of town halls and in regional leaderships, and I do not see it causing problems."
But he said his party would not accommodate the Communists' programme or bring them into a governing coalition.
That was a nod to the toxic reputation the Communists still have for many Czechs, and to worries about back-tracking on market reforms in the Czech Republic, one of the more stable emerging markets that has attracted heavy foreign investment.
Sobotka added that if his party formed a government, its economic policy would be more leftist than the previous centre-right coalition government, with plans to raise taxes for the biggest corporations and for high earners.
Before Václav Havel, who was nominated several times for the Nobel Peace Prize, led the 1989 Velvet Revolution to force it out, the Communist party held on to power through its feared secret police and with backing from Red Army tanks which put down the 1968 Prague Spring uprising.
Ji?í Stránský, a dissident writer imprisoned under Communist rule and a friend of the late Havel's, said he believed today's Communists were dangerous populists.
"I am saddened that after nearly 24 years the country has ended this way, when we started out so amazingly," he said.
An opinion poll conducted this month by Czech pollster SANEP gave Sobotka's Social Democrats a 27% share of the vote, followed by the Communists on 16.7%, and the conservative TOP09 party with 13.1%.
Sobotka could try to win support for a government from other leftist parties, but they are likely to be so small that it will be tough to establish stable rule. That makes a partnership with the Communists the more likely scenario.
The party has apologised for Communist-era repression, and its domestic policies are not very far from those of the Social Democrats. They both want corporations to pay more tax, and to ramp up government investment.
But Communist lawmakers still call one another "comrade" and the party's deputy chairman has a portrait of Karl Marx in his office. In foreign policy, the Communists are more hardline. They want to withdraw from the NATO military alliance.
The Czech Republic has been in a state of political turmoil since 13 June when police, some wearing balaclavas, raided government offices.
Prime Minister Petr Ne?as resigned after prosecutors charged the head of his office, Jana Nagyova, with ordering intelligence agents to put Ne?as's wife under surveillance. Ne?as , who is divorcing his wife, later said Nagyova was his lover.
A caretaker government that took over from Ne?as failed to win parliament's support, leading to Tuesday's vote on dissolving parliament – the only way to break the stalemate.
Markets have been largely unfazed by the political turmoil because fiscal rigour under previous governments has given Prague the lowest borrowing costs among central European peers and a debt load which is half the European Union average.
But the gridlock has delayed the drafting of the 2014 budget and caused anxiety that, without firm political leadership, the economy will stumble just as it is starting to emerge from nearly two years of recession.
Miloš Zeman, a centre-left former prime minister, won the Czech Republic's first direct presidential election on 26 January 2013, marking a departure from the departing eurosceptic President Václav Klaus.
Zeman easily defeated his conservative opponent, Karel Schwarzenberg, the foreign minister.
Zeman, an economic forecaster who was a Communist party member before the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968, has steered the Czechs closer to Europe's mainstream. The anti-EU Klaus succeeded the late playwright Václav Havel, a dissident who became the country's first post-communist president.