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11/12/2016

Ukraine ceasefire holds, but tensions persist at Debaltseve

Europe's East

Ukraine ceasefire holds, but tensions persist at Debaltseve

Poroshenko: Airborne, in military fatigues. [President of Ukraine]

Ukraine’s rebels disavowed a new truce on Sunday (15 February) hours after it took effect, saying it did not apply to the town of Debaltseve, where most fighting has taken place in recent weeks.

Guns fell abruptly silent at midnight across much of eastern Ukraine in line with the ceasefire agreement, reached after a week of diplomacy led by France and Germany.

But pro-Russian rebels announced they would not observe the truce at Debaltseve, where Ukrainian forces were encircled. Kyiv said rebel attacks on the town steadily increased starting mid-afternoon on Sunday.

“Of course we can open fire (on Debaltseve). It is our territory,” senior rebel commander Eduard Basurin told Reuters. “The territory is internal: ours. And internal is internal. But along the line of confrontation there is no shooting.”

A statement by Ukraine’s military on Sunday night said the “enemy” was carrying out attacks with various types of weapons, including Grad rocket systems, and had a plan to try to seize Debaltseve from the west.

In a four-way telephone conversation with the leaders of Germany, France and Russia’s Vladimir Putin, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said the position of the four at peace talks last week in Belarus had been for a ceasefire on all the front lines including at Debaltseve.

Poroshenko stressed that a withdrawal of military equipment and heavy weapons required a “full and unconditional” ceasefire under the Minsk agreement, his press service said.

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), responsible for monitoring the ceasefire, said rebels had denied its observers access to Debaltseve.

Both sides blamed what firing there was on the enemy. But Debaltseve has been the focus of fighting for weeks, and it will be hard to speak of a truce if Ukrainian troops remain trapped there under fire, or the rebels press on with their advance.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=9_jxGtgULrk

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Thursday’s peace deal including the truce must be implemented “unconditionally”. But he made no mention of whether Moscow believed the truce applied to Debaltseve.

Town almost cut off

Ukrainian forces have been holding out for weeks in the town, which sits astride a railway junction in a pocket between the two main rebel strongholds.

Rebels say they have completely encircled the town, but Ukraine says its forces have kept open a road to resupply it in the face of a Russian-backed onslaught.

Washington says regular Russian forces armed with tanks and missile launchers advanced on the town from all sides in the days before the truce.

Reuters journalists operating on the rebel side have seen armoured columns of troops without insignia arriving in the area in recent days.

In the main rebel centre, Donetsk, Reuters journalists said artillery had been exploding every few seconds in the hours before the ceasefire, but halted abruptly at midnight.

A Ukrainian military spokesman said the ceasefire was being “generally observed”. Its forces had been shelled 10 times since the truce took effect in localised incidents, and no soldiers had been killed.

Poroshenko, wearing the uniform of the armed forces’ Supreme Commander, announced the order to stop firing in a midnight televised address, but said there was still alarm over Debaltseve.

‘Last chance’

“I very much hope that the last chance to begin the long and difficult peaceful process for a political settlement will not be wasted,” he said, adding, however, that if Ukraine were slapped, it would not “turn the other cheek”.

The ceasefire, negotiated in all-night four-power talks on Thursday, foresees creation of a buffer zone and withdrawal of heavy weapons. More than 5,000 people have been killed in a conflict that has caused the worst crisis in Russia-West relations since the Cold War.

Putin denies Moscow is involved in fighting for territory that he calls “New Russia”, but Washington and its allies have imposed economic sanctions over Russia’s role in the conflict.

The United Nations was still negotiating a Russian-drafted resolution that would welcome the ceasefire agreement and call on all parties to implement it.

“We’re not in a position to vote a text today,” Britain’s U.N. Ambassador Mark Lyall Grant told reporters on Sunday.

Malaysian UN Ambassador Hussein Haniff said he wanted the draft to reflect a resolution adopted in July, which demanded access to the eastern Ukraine site where a Malaysian passenger plane crashed with 298 people on board.

>> Read: Hastily signed Minsk agreement forgot the perpetrators of MH17

Maxim, a rebel fighter at a checkpoint on a road from Donetsk to government-held Dnipropetrovsk, said he did not expect the ceasefire to hold.

“Truce? I doubt it. Maybe two to three days, and then they will start shooting again. This is all for show. The OSCE is driving around here, so of course they are being quiet.” 

Background

The leaders of Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine gave their support to a deal to end fighting in eastern Ukraine following 17-hour negotiations in the Belarussian capital Minsk on 12 February.

The four leaders had committed to respect Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, according to a joint declaration.

In a press conference in Minsk the transcript of which was published on the Kremlin website, Putin said that one of the outstanding issues is that the “representatives of the Donetsk and Lugansk peoples’ republics” say their forces have encircled 6.000 to 8.000 Ukrainian troops in the area of Debaltseve, and that they expect them to surrender without violence.

Further Reading