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Expert: 'Nothing wrong' with EU population shifts

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Published 01 September 2011, updated 02 September 2011

Mobility is a great European value, and despite the significant shifts in population that have taken place since the EU was enlarged, countries should not be afraid of depopulation, Piotr Maciej Kaczyński, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), told EurActiv.

"There is nothing bad in mobility. Mobility is a great European value. If you're Polish, Romanian, Bulgarian or Lithuanian and you leave your country to work in Spain, Italy, Germany or the UK, you're still Polish, Romanian, Bulgarian or Lithuanian, because you're an EU citizen," Kaczyński insisted.

Panic reaction

Commenting on a recent Eurostat study which disclosed significant shifts among the EU population, Kaczyński said that there were two schools of thought regarding depopulation. One was to panic: "Oh my God, we're depopulating." But population shifts could also be seen as an investment, because many of the people concerned were expected to come back "with resources, with know-how, with contacts, with ideas".

The study shows that over two million Romanians and over 1.5 million Poles live abroad. But due to their smaller size, the most depopulated countries are Bulgaria and Lithuania. A recent census in Bulgaria showed that the country, which has now 7,351,633 inhabitants, has lost 1.5 million inhabitants since 1985: a depopulation record not just for the EU, but by global standards too.

Romania, Bulgaria and Lithuania might be depopulated, but Bulgarians, Romanians and Lithuanians still live in the EU, and they are benefiting from the European Union while staying in direct contact with their state of origin, Kaczyński added.

Romania: the new Spain?

Kaczyński saw similarities between recent massive immigration of Romanians and Poles and the population shifts of the seventies and eighties, which saw Spanish and Portuguese workers move to other 'old' member states in their droves.

According to the study, Romania and Poland are joined by Turkey and Morocco as the major countries of immigration to EU countries. One quarter of displaced foreigners in the EU are citizens of Turkey, Romania, Morocco or Poland, the study shows.

Ironically, Spain recently introduced restrictions for Romanian workers, despite the fact that the Iberian country had a long tradition of opening its labour market to foreign workers.

Brain drain?

Asked if Eastern European EU newcomers were suffering from a brain drain, Kaczyński insisted that a distinction should be made between different categories of nationals who choose to live in another EU country.

"[The term 'brain drain' applies when there is brains. We cannot speak of a 'brain drain' of unqualified labour," he said.

But the analyst added that if countries saw that they were losing their doctors, scientists or IT specialists, then this was indeed a brain drain, and the governments concerned should see this "as an opportunity" to reform their countries in a way which could attract those people back.

Review of number of MEPs?

Asked if there was a chance of the EU reviewing each country's number of MEPs or quotas for qualified majority votes in EU decision-making, which are linked to population size, Kaczyński insisted that there was no real need to do that.

According to him, what matters is not the fact that a given citizen lives in another EU country, but his citizenship.

"If you are Bulgarian and you live in the UK, for the European elections you can vote for the British list, but you can still vote for the Bulgarian list. So there is no reason to redraw the number of MEPs," Kaczyński said.

COMMENTS

  • Indeed, nothing wrong with EU internal population shifts. On the contrary, more social mobility is needed, in order to boost growth. Linguistic and cultural barriers will always be a problem and this is one of the reasons why EU struggles to keep up with more cohesive economic powers like US.

    By :
    Andrei
    - Posted on :
    01/09/2011
  • I understand Mr Kaczynski from his Polish background. Poland has indeed experienced during the last years the come back from the massive emigration of the end 80s and 90s. But other examples in many regions of Europe (in the South, the East, Eastern Germany, even the so called Polska B, rural areas, etc.)are showing that emigration contributes to a reinforced empoverishment process that will be very difficult to counterbalance. The brain drain exists, because if a Bulgarian teacher earns more cleaning houses in the Netherlands than in her country, than her country is losing someone important; and this hasn't been the case of the Spanish emigration of the sixties. Depopulation and poverty come regretfully by the hand. Politicians should act to counterbalance.
    Jorge Nuño Mayer
    Secretary General
    Caritas Europa

    By :
    Jorge Nuño Mayer
    - Posted on :
    02/09/2011
  • That might not be brain drain in the narrow sense of the word, but it is a fact the potential migrants are young people most of them leaving their countries to study abroad or those who have just finished their academic education.As well, migrants are people readay to take risks-understand potential enterpreneurs, leaders,managers,innovators

    By :
    Raimond
    - Posted on :
    05/09/2011
  • I mostly disagree with the opinion of Mr. Kaczyński and strongly support the opinion of Mr. J. Mayer in the comments above.
    Mr. Kaczyński may be right if the country fucntions in the situation of population surplus (positive growth rate).
    In the other scenario, the socio economic fabric in the "donor country" deteriorates too fast. Even beyond restoration by potential backcomers; hence, the territory looses its liveability and becomes a kind of social desert of puniest Quality of life, where only the most able and skillful can survive (because they cannot rely on somebody else, as there is no somebody else).
    In such areas Cohesion Policy cannot be implemented - the reamaining human, social, monetary capacity is too insufficient for an effectively functioninig socio-economic-environmental network.
    Bulgaria presently suffers from exaclty this kind of collapse, and, please, note: very little if any of BG emmigrants is even thinking of coming back.

    Iordan Velikov,
    freelance RDP evaluator,
    Bulgaria

    By :
    Iordan Velikov
    - Posted on :
    05/09/2011

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