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'Don't knows' may swing the 2014 Scottish independence vote

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Published 06 September 2013

A year before Scotland's referendum on independence, there are enough voters who are "don't knows" to swing the vote and only one in four are certain to vote for separating from Britain, according to an opinion poll.

The survey follows a flurry of warnings from British government figures this year on the potential negative economic impact of independence. Finance minister George Osborne said this week it would make Scotland 4% poorer over the next 30 years and over-dependent on volatile tax receipts from the oil and gas industry.

Scottish nationalists dispute that claim and argue that a fully independent Scottish parliament could attract investment through lower taxes and could utilise oil revenues more efficiently.

The survey, published on Wednesday (5 September), showed that 28% of respondents were uncertain about quitting the 300-year-old union, up 13 points from six months ago. The "yes" camp fell to 25 from 33%, the lowest level of support since polling on independence started in 2007.

Support for an outright "no" was also down, at 47 from 52%, the TNS BMRB poll showed.

"The high number of don't knows could turn out to be the most significant factor in how the referendum campaign develops," Tom Costley from TNS Scotland said.

"Both the Yes and No camps have lost ground in 2013, which suggests that neither campaign has yet succeeded in making a strong connection with the voters in Scotland."

Lobby group Yes Scotland also said the most significant figure in the latest survey of 1,017 Scots, conducted between August 21 and August 27, was the rising number of uncertain voters.

Among 16 to 34 year olds, 29% said they would vote for independence but only 45% were certain to vote, while 70% of the over-55s said they would vote but only 20% would support a split.

Younger voters were more inclined to support independence but also the least likely to vote, the poll found.

A YouGov survey this week showed 59% would vote against independence, an increase of four points on a similar poll 10 months ago, while one in 10 people were undecided.

The latest surveys were released as it was reported that Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond's main adviser, Kevin Pringle, was moving to Yes Scotland.

The move was widely seen as an attempt by Salmond to shore up the SNP's (Scottish National Party) influence in the Yes campaign and bolster backing for independence in opinion polls.

The SNP holds 65 of 129 seats in the Scottish Parliament.

EurActiv.com with Reuters

COMMENTS

  • "Finance minister George Osborne said this week it would make Scotland 4% poorer over the next 30 years and over-dependent on volatile tax receipts from the oil and gas industry"

    Given his life experience was a Bullingdon @ Oxford and towel folding at Debenhams what would he know about economics? The biggest ally the Yes camp have are the Tory-vermin - every time they open their traps and talk about Scotland and independence it nudges a few more into the Yes camp.

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    06/09/2013
  • Bullingdon Club and Oxford or not should not not affect the quality of information given. If the UK government is not allowed to advise and refute false claims who will we rely on to put the Unions case.

    Scots in Scotland and anyone registered to vote in Scotland have to make up their mind on a very very big decision. If the Scottish people decide Independent is for them, then there will be no going back, it will be irreversible. We have already had statements and promises from the SNP which are highly questionable. Therefore they need as many facts as possible. There will be some who are influenced by their heart and the romance of the possibilities, the majority however need facts both good and bad.

    Many who listen to the claims of both sides despair as it has degenerated into a slanging match and the SNP have got to take a huge amount of responsibility for that.

    Quote every time they open their traps and talk about Scotland and independence it nudges a few more into the Yes camp. Unquote

    Comments on forums from people not resident in Scotland like the above would not have
    been made if the article had been properly read and are indeed unhelpful.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    06/09/2013
  • Tell me George - how are my comments "unhelpful"?

    By the way it's a pity you did not include the group to whom I was referring to: "tory-vermin" & to be honest Geeorge (I can call you George cann't I?) you could accuse me of being somewhat charitable - you see the late great Nye Bevan believed that Tories were "lower than vermin". Thus in some respects my equating tories with vermin is doing them a favour. Unlike Nye I don't feel hatred for Tories - why waste strong emotions on such a vacuous bunch - quoting Exeter in Henry V with respect to Henry's views on the Dauphin:

    Scorn and defiance; slight regard, contempt,
    And any thing that may not misbecome
    The mighty sender, doth he prize you at

    Which pretty well sums up my view of the ruling tory-vermin, their supporters & their pathetic voters. You would not happen to be one of them - would you George?

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    06/09/2013
  • Comments which are inaccurate on any subject are unhelpful and some would say unnecessarily stupid.

    This article was about Scottish Independence and a claim made by the Chancellor of the Exchequer that by going down that path it would mean Scotland would be 4% poorer over the next 30 years and over-dependent on volatile tax receipts from the oil and gas industry.
    Scottish nationalists dispute that claim and argue that a fully independent Scottish parliament could attract investment through lower taxes and could utilise oil revenues more efficiently.
    That is what the story is about and how a recent poll suggests that support for both sides has gone down (-8% for the Yes campaign and -5% for the Better together campaign).

    Did you comment on or give an opinion on any of this or engage in any way intelligently – nope!
    Did you talk in derogatory terms about Oxford, Bullingdon Club and working in Debenhams – Yip! Poor old Debenhams, I think it was Selfridge if you check.

    Okay so you are a Socialist and love Nye Bevan. What has that got to do with this story? I doubt if Bevan would recognise the present day Conservative party or indeed Labour party and would probably find himself in the same corner as Churchill, Macmillan and Wilson wondering what had happened. I do apologise in advance but I find it a bit sad when people are incapable of expressing themselves without having to use juvenile eccentricities to make their point like Tory vermin and the sh (city) and Cammoron's party.
    My politics? What has that got to do with the story? For your information I certainly not a Socialist but am not keen on labels as I can often find common ground with the politics of right and left but I am very comfortable in the centre ground (on most things).

    In all seriousness Mike the Independence debate could be life changing for Scotland and the UK so if you are interested you have got a year to get to know both sides of the argument.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    06/09/2013
  • Mike can never resist throwing in a "tory vermin" statement whether or not it has any relevance. Virulent socialists in Scotland are not going to be the deciding factor.

    By :
    Charles_M
    - Posted on :
    07/09/2013
  • The time is ripe to break away from Westminster unless you like being governed by old Etonians still hobbling about in the outdated values of the class system, the British Empire and more recently the corrupt financial sector.
    Scotland is ready to move on. Lets start exploring alternative financial and social models which reflect peoples real needs and help us prepare for the growing issues around climate change, economics and social inequality. Trying to move forward while attached to Westminster is like dragging around an old urine soaked mattress. Lets cut the rope and move on. People in England will benefit too by seeing what is possible by embracing positive change.

    By :
    Tamski
    - Posted on :
    08/09/2013
  • Quote Trying to move forward while attached to Westminster is like dragging around an old urine soaked mattress. Unquote

    Classy!
    Makes an old Etonian positively cuddly!

    You explore away and come back when you have something tangible to offer us in Scotland. I'm not holding my breath.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    08/09/2013
  • The thing to remember is that here the DEFINITIVE figures are given by the GERS reports. George O. clearly has not read these as they refute his claim above. Where is his evidence? Lets see the figures george! I would also refer to McCrone - its been out there for a while but no less informative for that. If anyone has read it they would see that it is generally correct in most areas.

    From what I can see Scotland would not be worse off ; and by the way whatever George, alastair and most of the previous Chancellors are saying or have said (for goodness sake its all party political positioning - Westminster would be stuffed without the Oil money! refer Georges Tax raid on it last year) should be mainly disregarded in my view as they all missed the credit crunch and despite the rhetoric they still have not fixed it - sho what do they know? not alot! - I would rather listen to the academics (refer GERS and McCrone again).....while not absolutely correct they do seem to steer a more accurate course...

    Oh and for the record im returning to Scotland in October so no longer exiled :-)

    By :
    Exiledscot
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • I have been involved in this argument now for about 3 years and will admit to a bit of battle fatigue. The thought of another year of it fills me with dread. I watched the STV debate between Anas Sarwar and Nicola Sturgeon last week where the standard of debate was awful and more akin to an Old Firm' match. The thought of either of them representing Scotland abroad makes me cringe.

    I am not going to debate the McCrone report (nearly forty years ago) as things have moved on and you can hire your own academic (the SNP have). I agree with you that politicians will twist the facts to suit their case and would point out that there is no one more adept or capable in that department than Alex Salmond. If it is all about the oil you need to remember that Shetland will exact a heavy price or you will be left with nothing.

    For me it is simply about those who want Independence at any cost against those of us who would prefer to stay part of the UK. 5 years ago the Nationalists were shouting about Independence within Europe (we can substitute Westminster tyranny with the Brussels version), the Euro and the Arc of prosperity (Eire, Iceland and Norway). Now its lets keep the £Pound and all the good points of the Union (you'll still be British, it's just a wee administrative change, etc etc).

    Like many I don't look at the oil and say that's mine and nobody gets any unless I say so. Some of us prefer a more mature attitude like this is a small Island and if somewhere on it or offshore something valuable is found, then let us share for the common good for heaven's sake!

    Hopefully by the time you return to Scotland the SNP will have clarified their position on small petty things like, Tax, Defence, Pensions, Corporation Tax, Currency and Immigration. As they are hell bent on EU membership, how they are going to avoid the Euro and all the rules that the UK has to play by.

    It may seem petty but I noticed a recent poll which said as many as 600,000 would wish to leave Scotland if Independence came about. Which raises another question if the SNP win the war how will they then win the peace?

    I wish you well on your return, but bring a tin hat!

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • You are right of course...the sources for information (ie those from politicians and therefore not to be trusted) are few and far between. I guess you either trust your favourite politician or you trust none.

    At the end of the day I guess no one really knows if we would be better off or not if we were out of the union.

    Does that mean then that it becomes solely a head/heart decision? Im not sure to be honest...but it makes it hard to decide.

    For me, as I feel part of Europe, having worked and lived here for some time, given the choice of Union or Europe, i'd choose the latter for any number of reasons (not for the politics because they are just as obfuscating as the Westminster ones), Europe does need reformed, but its a bigger market than the standalone UK, with possibly more clout economically on the world stage. Is that better for me? who knows. Would Scotland do better in Europe and out of the Union? again who knows?...it probably wouldnt be any worse off thats for sure....perhaps.....

    Given that the impression I get from here that most of England wants out of Europe and I want in, i'd vote on that basis...assuming we can trust the Nats to honour the commitment of staying in Europe.

    Like you TBH I am tired of the rhetoric, and yes it will get nastier as it goes on. And I think to be fair the unionist side will play just as dirty as the Nats. As an aside Id be interested to know how many people said they would leave if Scotland stays in the Union but the UK leaves Europe.

    At the end of the day, my heart says out but my head says that the vote will go with the unionists for good or ill.

    By :
    exiledscot
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • @ exiledscot

    I would applaud your reasoned approach, it is much needed.
    I tend to treat ALL politicians with a large and healthy portions of distrust (they tend to lie and waffle).
    You are of course right, their is absolutely no way of proving whether Independence would be good for Scotland, either in the short or long term. You would not think that though when you listen to the politicians.

    I am not so sure about your head or heart decision as a survey last year (the Herald I think) showed a lot of Scots would go for Independence if they were going to be £500 per annum better of. Make what you may of that.

    I am fairly unusual among Scots in that I feel British first then Scots. Possibly something to do with being in the Services and having worked and lived for a long time in England. I will part company with you regarding your views on Europe as I believe that we have surrendered too much to Brussels who are determined to get their way with a US of E.

    I personally believe once again there are too many scare stories about what would happen to the UK if we were to leave the EU. There would be a lot of huffing and puffing but in the end I believe that we would still have a trading agreement which in turn would allow us to negotiate new agreements with other countries. We buy a lot more from the EU than they sell to us.
    The argument on that one is not won yet as I believe that there will be a referendum (the boil needs to be lanced one way or other) after the government has done some ‘staged renegotiation’ and applied heavy spin the electorate may just fall for it. A bit like the Scottish referendum which may fall because of the fear of the unknown.

    Quote As an aside Id be interested to know how many people said they would leave if Scotland stays in the Union but the UK leaves Europe. Unquote.

    An interesting question. I think we will have to give a ‘don’t know’ answer with a recognition that Scots, like the Irish, have always left the country for pastures new and I don’t think that will ever change.

    My curved ball to you (working in the EU) is this: How many EU electorates do you think would vote to stay in the EU/Euro if asked in a referendum tomorrow?

    Regards

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • Your last point is a salient one.....but if I may digress for a moment....is not the 'in/out for the UK in europe not the same (or pretty close) as the in/out argument for the union? Is not the Union (by definition) a united states of britain in all but name?worth pondering I think....of course the European Union is much much younger that the UK Union and of course we have no way of knowing how people felt about the UK union when it was first kicked off....although if historical writings are to be believed the general population were not very much in favour (in scotland at least)....

    anyway back to your question....a straw poll in my office (where we have Dutch, french, german, italian, portuguese, Brits all working together....is that most would rather be in than out...notwithstanding everyone agrees it needs reformed badly.

    Make of that what you will not scientific but its real feedback..

    By :
    Exiledscot
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • @ exiledscott

    Quote Is not the Union (by definition) a united states of Britain in all but name? worth pondering I think. Unquote

    No need to ponder, you are correct. I also agree some 300 years ago that those who could read and write were probably against it. Was it not in fact because we were skint after our attempt at establishing ‘Caledonia’ in Panama, better known as the Darien Disaster.
    Indeed it could be compared to our reason for joining the Common Market because we (UK) were a basket case and skint after the Trade Union barons nearly took us down in the 60’s and 70’s.

    There however the comparison stops as in the UK we are a democratic nation (or collection of) who all speak one language who have a shared heritage. Some would also say it is democratic because the people have the ability to communicate with each other and the population is a size that we are comfortable with.

    All of the above are the reasons why the EU is not a loved institution. Too many languages, to many cultures and too many people (500 million plus is unmanageable) and totally undemocratic. It is my view that we are trying to construct something that is artificial. Barossa talks about ‘Europeans’. Can someone please define for me what a European is? Is it a bit like being Asian or African? We need to learn from history and the example of the USSR and Yugoslavia should be ringing alarm bells.

    I take your point on your ‘straw poll’ which may be a little biased purely by the fact that you all want to work in Europe and I take it the EU.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • "Indeed it could be compared to our reason for joining the Common Market because we (UK) were a basket case and skint after the Trade Union barons nearly took us down in the 60’s and 70’s"

    Tell me Goerge ever thought of taking up as a purveyor of hoary old chesnuts?

    Sure the unions were PART of the problem - but so was UK managment & let's not forget finance (which the UK/England is "oh so good at"). If I take one example, Triumph Motorcycles, little wrong with the workforce, the company has no money to invest in new production equipment and new designs. Of course somebody finally did re-start Triumph with good designs and modern equipment. Question: that could have happened in the 1960s or 1970s - why did it not?

    Moving onwards & downwards - how about GEC (as run by Lord Weinstock) - no problems with unions there - remind me, would you, where GEC is now? (& why).

    Suggestion: ditch the simplistic crap/cheap shots - it insults our intelligence & does you no favours.

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • I used to work for GEC - Marconi Radar in Leicester - and can tell you that if a job could be done by 3 people instead of one then that's what happened. The unions and the management were equally culpable in GEC's demise.

    By :
    Charles_M
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • It's entertaining to read discussions about the exit of Scotland ("Scexit"?).
    Especially interesting, how people which strongly support Brexit, strongly oppose Scexit, despite of identity of the situations.

    By :
    Otto
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • It was not just Triumph, what happened to BSA before they merged, Norton, BLMC, Hillman (Routes Group), the list goes on and on and. I am not here to defend all management in Britain but I have absolutely no doubt that your little trade union friends and the Labour party were culpable.

    I know that you must pine for the days of Aneurin Bevan and wish that your old pal Viscount Stansgate had better luck in finding decent management when the tax payer put the Unions in charge of the Workers Cooperative at Triumph (Meriden).

    Incidentally the new successful company has a lot of its assembly done in Thailand, I wonder why.
    Whether we like it or not the Unions and their members priced the country out of work.

    Although you hate to admit it the country was then dug out of the Sh*te by Maggie and was very much on the up. The rest as they say is history.

    Quote Suggestion: ditch the simplistic crap/cheap shots - it insults our intelligence & does you no favours. Unquote.

    I'll leave it for others to read your posts and evaluate your intelligence.
    I will happily do likewise and expect no favours from you or anyone else.

    By the way it is not my fault that the Labour Party has morphed into New Labour and become Tories mark II.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    09/09/2013
  • "Incidentally the new successful company has a lot of its assembly done in Thailand, I wonder why.Whether we like it or not the Unions and their members priced the country outof work"

    & thus by extension George - we should pay Uk workers the same as the Thai's? as I say - simplistic crap-trap from Tory-apologists "its always the fault of the workers" Christ on a bike - grow up. Oh sure you make passing reference to the failings of management - what about finance? cann't run a factory without that - complete failure of the UK finance sector to take a long term view - the Uk invented LCDs, FPGAs (field programmable gate arrays) - I believe Ferranti invented them - what of them now? =- oh yes it was ALL the workers fault - they refused to work - for nothing. In fact a total failure to invest - a total failure to look outside UK. Pilkingtons? the great Uk finance industry did for them, Boots, owned by some bunch of tax dodgers. As I said George - grow up.

    By :
    Mike Parr
    - Posted on :
    10/09/2013
  • You are getting into a stew 'old boy'. Suggest you ask your Doctor to up the medication and get your carer to sing you a lullaby.

    I have read some negative posters on various forums but you take the biscuit. If Martians landed here and read your posts they would never understand why we are a G8 country.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    10/09/2013
  • Bottom line, Westminster isn't working. It isn't working for any of the English Regions bar London & the South East, it isn't working for Wales, it isn't working for NI and definitely isn't working for Scotland. Independence for Scotland is a natural progression from Devolution. It's just a matter of when. I have made every effort to find out from the No campaigners why I should vote no. Please, anybody, signpost me to one reason they espouse that we are better together.

    Shutting down the debate through negativity is a time worn tactic, but it has run its course now and in Scotland, the real grass roots debate is just beginning as people become less afraid to mention the "I" word as they go about their daily business.

    By :
    Daye Tucker
    - Posted on :
    10/09/2013
  • I had not realised that you are the font of all knowledge, not just on Scotland but all points south and west. It of course must all be true as you are a Nationalist and you have said so.

    I do apologise if my understanding of the referendum is mistaken. I had understood that if voters said NO then we would carry on as we have been with the possibility of further powers being devolved (Devo Max idea).

    If this happened we would remain part of a country which still has a lot of influence in the world as one of the UN five permanent members with one of the most extensive diplomatic services in the world. For our young men and women who are interested we would also have a military which could offer excellent training and careers.

    Holyrood would still be able to make many decisions that affect our lives. Indeed if we had a No vote perhaps the Scottish politicians could stop grand standing about Independence and get down to managing the substantial powers that they do have.

    We would have the strength and security that comes from being a G8 country of 63 million with all the benefits that go with that, both worldwide and in dealing with the EU.

    There would be no problem continuing to trade with our biggest partner England, assuming of course that you are allowed to be part of the Sterling area and not forced into the Euro. I would have thought this would be good for employment and no jobs would be lost because of the loss of military bases and the closure of BAE at Clydebank and Govan plus of course Faslane, Coulport and Rosyth.

    On the other hand it was also my understanding that the SNP would put out their manifesto to the Scottish people telling them what they would like to do if there were to be a YES vote for Independence.

    Now maybe I am wrong but life experience has given me a healthy distrust of politicians and their promises. I do however in the main trust and respect the decision of my fellow citizens to dispose of governments who break their promises. I am sure you can see my concerns here if the Nationalists keep their powder dry to nearer the referendum and then use slight of hand and promises that can’t be kept to get their way. If lies are told will we be able to reverse the situation? I had thought not. I think I may also be under another mistaken belief that all these promises can be given without any proof statements which are checkable.

    I would be grateful If you could share some of this knowledge and certainty with me in order that I can get the reassurance that I, and my friends and family need before embarking on this journey to the ‘promised land’.

    Will you be able to guarantee that my pension and any increases will be the same as the RUK?

    Will you be able to guarantee that my Council tax or Local Income Tax will not be more (allowing for inflation) than I am paying now.

    Will you be able to guarantee that my Income tax will not be higher than the RUK?

    Will you be able to guarantee that if our smaller health service does not have the specialist that I or my family require that it will be offered and paid for in the RUK (or the EU if we are in it)?

    Will you be able to reassure my wife and I that we will have dual nationality or remain British citizens with the accompanying passport.

    Will you be able to guarantee that my children will not have to leave the Country to look for work because Scotland does not have control over its own interest rates being in hock to the Bank of England or European Central bank?

    If I am wrong and you are right can you tell me how these guarantees will be valid as it is possible that after Independence is gained the Labour party or a coalition could be elected in the elections that follow and bin all these promises (well after all they will say they were totally unrealistic).

    Can you somehow guarantee to me and my fellow citizens that Independence is not just one huge leap of faith into the dark?

    I hope that in asking question which I know you will be able to provide answers to that you will not feel it necessary to accuse me of ‘Shutting down the debate through negativity’.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • No one, neither Holyrood nor Westminster can predict the future, and any promises to do so should be met with healthy scepticism. A future is what we make it and yes, the future involves risks just as remaining with the status quo involves risks, Scotland alone of the four Nations will have a choice next September, and an opportunity to do things differently from Westminster. Yes or No, democratic change will be sparked across the UK.

    Until Westminster comes to the table to discuss the detail of most of the issues you raise, answers simply can not be given.
    However, past experience is more certain and tangible and the ability to learn from it can help define decisions about the desired journey and direction towards a better future. The reasons you espouse that we are "Better together" are the very reasons that many Scots find are reasons not to be "Better Together".

    Many wish to disassociate themselves from the warmongering, negative, global influences of Westminster. Devo Max, the preferred option of the majority of Scots was quashed by Westminster who insisted on a straight Yes No referendum. You say you don't trust politicians, then why should anyone else trust politicians at Westminster to give us further powers if Scotland votes No?

    Scotland does not enjoy fiscal autonomy so can not be said to have "substantial powers" at present. A visit to the, Your Questions Answered section of the YES SCOTLAND website might provide some, but not all answers to some of your questions.

    By :
    Daye Tucker
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • This link provides an opportunity to ask questions about Independence and where possible answers are provided. http://www.yesscotland.net/undecided_responses

    By :
    Daye Tucker
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • quote The reasons you espouse that we are
    "Better together" are the very reasons that many Scots find are reasons notto be "Better Together". Unquote

    That will be currently 26% of the voters.

    So the bottom line, as I and my friends have always believed, voting for Independence is a leap of faith into the dark. It is the equivalent of going into the bookies and putting £20 on a horse while having absolutely no knowledge of the ponies!

    While accepting that nothing is guaranteed in life I will be voting for the status quo which I know and quite like. Somehow the history and track record of the UK good and bad is more appealing than Mr Salmonds vision.

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • The analogy you have chosen to use rather makes the case that the many Scots who have a bigger vision and greater faith in their own ability to make a positive change for the future, also have the strength, determination and courage to do so in spite of the efforts of project fear. Each to his own. End of discussion.

    By :
    Daye Tucker
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • "The analogy you have chosen to use rather makes the case that the many Scots who have a bigger vision and greater faith in their own ability to make a
    positive change for the future, also have the strength, determination and courage to do so in spite of the efforts of project fear.

    That will currently be 26% then

    Each to his own.

    Of course!

    End of discussion.

    How very mature of you!

    I have some more questions but will pose them to the yes Website. Its time we got better answers than "It's just going to be great"

    Oh and by the way we don't agree with you so it is project fear. very very mature

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    12/09/2013
  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49WTQ-04GqY&feature=youtu.be

    By :
    Daye Tucker
    - Posted on :
    13/09/2013
  • How very SNP, how very juvenile. Your argument is so week you have to take things out of context.

    See part of my post below: George Mc- Posted on : 03/05/2013

    http://www.euractiv.com/uk-europe/scottish-accuse-uk-cameron-scare-news-519313

    “No one has said a word about too poor, too wee, too dependent or frankly too stupid. Any reasonable person knows that if Scotland wishes then they can be independent like many other countries in the world. However most reasonable people recognise that it is a big risk, which can't be cancelled out if we don't like the idea afterwards. As things stand we are part of a G8 country which in world terms gives us a good standard of living. As you say no one can forecast where we would be in that world league table after independence. I think that you will find that most of the Scots don't want to take a chance on that one.”

    By :
    George Mc
    - Posted on :
    13/09/2013
The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
In the TNS poll yes votes fell to 25 from 33%, the lowest level of support since polling on independence started in 2007
Background: 

 Under normal EU accession procedure, an EU candidate would have to get the unanimous backing of all EU governments before becoming a member.

The procedure that would be followed in the event that Alex Salmond secures a 'yes' vote in Scotland's independence referendum – which will take place in 2014 – remains unresolved.

There have been suggestions that the Council could agree by qualified majority vote to re-house Scotland and the remainder of the UK inside the EU.

What is certain is that Scottish secession would trigger complex three-way negotiations between London, Edinburgh and Brussels.

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