George Friedman

Global Europe 24-05-2017

No bluffing: US preparing to attack North Korea

The United States is advertising its preparations for war. North Korea assumes the attack is inevitable, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 11-04-2017

What a US president wants and what he must do are two different things

Donald Trump may want the United States to be less involved in the world but the reality is that the US is deeply involved, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 23-02-2017

NATO, the Middle East and Eastern Europe

Interests within NATO diverge, particularly between the United States and many European countries. George Friedman takes a closer look.
Trade & Society 25-10-2016

Wallonia strikes out at Canada

There are historic reasons behind the Walloon rejection of CETA, and a price to pay for post-Napoleonic Britain having engineered Belgium as a nation in gridlock, writes George Friedman.
Euro & Finance 13-10-2016

Joy and despair in European statistics

Europe needs more than temporary growth to boost its economy, write George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu.
Global Europe 17-08-2016

Nationalism, technology, and the Olympics

The Olympic Games have turned into a competition between nations, rather than individuals, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 19-07-2016

The Turkey coup looks like the most incompetent undertaking imaginable

Whatever happened on Friday 15 July, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has emerged stronger than ever and can now arrest anyone he wants on charges of treason, writes George Friedman.
Brexit 23-06-2016

A thin win of the Remain camp means Britain will remain in uncertainty for EU

If the Remain camp wins by a tiny majority – the polls show a deadlock – then the Leave camp will not let the matter stand. It will manoeuvre for another referendum down the road, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 02-06-2016

In EU and US, nationalism is rising, not fascism

The claims of an increase in fascism in Europe and the US derive from a misunderstanding of the term, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 02-06-2016

Germany looks to ease Russian sanctions

From Germany’s point of view, in the absence of normalisation with Russia, the worst case scenario would be a Cold War to its east, which would bring the end of the EU, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 09-05-2016

Ballistic missile defence and reality

The US ballistic missile defence system in Poland and Romania protects Eastern Europe from a very improbable threat, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 28-04-2016

Obama and the European Union

European integration was an American idea. If the European Union falls apart, it is hard to see how NATO survives, even in its current state, writes George Friedman.