Geopolitical Futures

Global Europe 06-06-2017

Qatar: a testament of Saudi weakness

The recent diplomatic row proves that Riyadh is struggling to maintain Arab unity, writes Kamran Bokhari.
Global Europe 01-06-2017

NATO’s diminishing military function

The lack of consensus at the recent NATO summit is also apparent when it comes to the alliance’s counterterrorism efforts, writes Antonia Colibasanu.
Global Europe 24-05-2017

No bluffing: US preparing to attack North Korea

The United States is advertising its preparations for war. North Korea assumes the attack is inevitable, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 11-04-2017

What a US president wants and what he must do are two different things

Donald Trump may want the United States to be less involved in the world but the reality is that the US is deeply involved, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 01-02-2017

Kazakhstan changing to secure continuity

Kazakhstan and the wider region of Central Asia are on the cusp of significant change, albeit largely unrecognised by the rest of the world, writes Kamran Bokari.
Global Europe 11-01-2017

Thinking about propaganda

Propaganda speaks the language of reason, even when its goal is to mislead, writes Jacob L. Shapiro.
Trade & Society 25-10-2016

Wallonia strikes out at Canada

There are historic reasons behind the Walloon rejection of CETA, and a price to pay for post-Napoleonic Britain having engineered Belgium as a nation in gridlock, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 19-10-2016

Compromising in the Caucasus

A change in the status quo of the frozen Nagorno-Karabakh conflict would affect all regional players, writes Antonia Colibasanu.
Euro & Finance 13-10-2016

Joy and despair in European statistics

Europe needs more than temporary growth to boost its economy, write George Friedman and Antonia Colibasanu.
Global Europe 17-08-2016

Nationalism, technology, and the Olympics

The Olympic Games have turned into a competition between nations, rather than individuals, writes George Friedman.
Global Europe 19-07-2016

The Turkey coup looks like the most incompetent undertaking imaginable

Whatever happened on Friday 15 July, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has emerged stronger than ever and can now arrest anyone he wants on charges of treason, writes George Friedman.
Euro & Finance 14-07-2016

Decision-making and disarray in the EU

The EU’s complex bureaucracy has prevented it from dealing with crises effectively, writes Antonia Colibasanu.