Half Karabakh population displaced as mediators set for Geneva talks

A local resident stands in a street damaged by allgedly Azerbeijani shelling attack in Stepanakert, Nagorno-Karabakh, 06 October 2020. [David Ghahramanyan/EPA/EFE]

Clashes between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces have displaced half of the population of the breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh region, an official said on Wednesday (7 October) as international mediators were set to hold their first meeting in Geneva.

Russian President Vladimir Putin urged an end to a “huge tragedy” in an interview with state-run television, as new strikes hit Karabakh’s main city Stepanakert and Armenia said the fighting was raging along the entire frontline.

Even if the longstanding conflict over the ethnic Armenian separatist region could not be resolved, a ceasefire must be agreed “as quickly as possible”, Putin said.

A few hours later Azerbaijan said Foreign Minister Jeyhun Bayramov would visit Geneva Thursday and meet leaders of the OSCE’s Minsk group, which is jointly chaired by diplomats from France, Russia, and the United States.

The Minsk group has sought a solution to the conflict since the 1990s.

Armenia ruled out its foreign minister Zohrab Mnatsakanyan meeting his Azerbaijani counterpart in Geneva, however, saying “it is impossible to hold negotiations with one hand and continue military operations with the other.”

Armenia’s top diplomat was due to meet Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow on Monday.

Russia announced its defence minister Sergei Shoigu had held talks with both his Armenian and Azerbaijani counterparts on Wednesday evening, without giving details.

The conflict has drawn in regional powers, with French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian warning that Turkey’s backing of Azerbaijan risks fuelling the “internationalisation” of the conflict.

The fighting in one of the most combustible frozen conflicts resulting from the fall of the Soviet Union erupted on 27 September, with Azerbaijan insisting the region must return to its control.

Thousands displaced

Clashes had lasted “all day, along the whole front line and are continuing at the moment,” with the fiercest fighting in the south of Karabakh, Armenian defence ministry spokesman Artsrun Hovhannisyan told journalists, quoted by Russia’s TASS news agency.

Intermittent shelling by Azerbaijan’s forces has turned Stepanakert into a ghost town dotted with unexploded munitions and shell craters.

Much of Stepanakert’s 50,000-strong population has left, with those remaining hunkering down in cellars.

“According to our preliminary estimates, some 50% of Karabakh’s population and 90 % of women and children — or some 70,000-75,000 people — have been displaced,” Karabakh’s rights ombudsman Artak Beglaryan told AFP Wednesday.

Azerbaijan has accused Armenian forces of shelling civilian targets in urban areas, including its second-largest city of Ganja.

Dozens of civilians have been confirmed killed in the fighting and the Armenian side has acknowledged more than 300 military deaths. Azerbaijan has not admitted to any fatalities among its troops.

Azerbaijani prosecutors said 427 dwellings populated by roughly 1,200 people had been destroyed.

But Le Drian, speaking to the French parliament, accused Azerbaijan of initiating the current conflict and lamented “the large number of civilian victims for the sake of meagre progress” on the ground.

Nagorno-Karabakh broke away from Azerbaijan in a 1990s war that claimed the lives of some 30,000 people. The Armenian separatists declared independence.

The region’s 140,000 inhabitants are now almost exclusively Armenians after the remaining Azerbaijanis left during the war.

However, the international community regards it as part of Azerbaijan and no state, including Armenia itself, recognises its independence.

Sporadic fighting has erupted frequently since a May 1994 ceasefire, most notably in 2016.

But analysts say Turkey’s involvement this time has changed the landscape.

Turkey has reportedly sent pro-Ankara Syrian fighters to boost Azerbaijan forces and also home-produced drones that have already been deployed with success in Libya and Syria.

The UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights says 1,200 fighters have been sent and at least 64 have died.

“The new aspect is that there is military involvement by Turkey which risks fuelling the internationalisation of the conflict,” Le Drian said.

‘Great danger’

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said on Tuesday the world should back Azerbaijan as “the side of those who are right”, describing Armenia as the “occupier”.

Russia has cordial relations and sells arms to both sides. But it has a military base in Armenia and Yerevan is a member of a Russia-led regional security group while Baku is not.

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan told AFP he was confident Russia would come to its aid because of the two countries’ membership in the Collective Security Treaty Organisation military alliance (CSTO).

Putin in his interview emphasised that Moscow would fulfil its obligations within the CSTO, which analysts sometimes describe as a Russian NATO.

But he noted: “The hostilities, which to our great regret, continue to this day, are not taking place on the territory of Armenia.”

Meanwhile, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warned that the presence of Syrian fighters posed a “great danger and is a reason for the deep concern of Russia”.

Russia warns that Nagorno-Karabakh could become Islamist militant stronghold

The Kremlin issued a new appeal for an end to hostilities in and around Nagorno-Karabakh on Tuesday (6 October) after Moscow’s foreign intelligence chief said the mountain enclave could become a launch pad for Islamist militants to enter Russia.

Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani also said on Wednesday he would not tolerate “terrorists from Syria and other places” near its border with Azerbaijan.

Tehran maintains cordial relations with its Christian neighbour Armenia and distrusts Azerbaijan’s military cooperation with Israel.

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