Renzi suggests he may not stay on if referendum fails

Matteo Renzi. Brussels, February 2016. [European Council]

Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi suggested today (14 November) that he may not stay on if a referendum on constitutional reform that he is championing fails.

Asked in a radio interview what he would do if the ‘No’ vote won in the 4 December referendum, he said: “If I have to stay on in parliament and do what everyone else has done before me, that is, to scrape by and just float there, that does not suit me.”

Italian constitutional reform referendum to be held on 4 December

A referendum on Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s flagship constitutional reform will be held on 4 December, the government said yesterday (26 September), with the fate of his administration likely to hinge on the outcome.

Renzi wants to do away with a parliamentary system in which the upper and lower houses have equal powers, effectively abolishing the Senate as an elected chamber and sharply reducing its ability to veto legislation.

The Senate has the ability to bring down governments by withdrawing its confidence and advocates of the reform say the proposed changes will stabilise government and speed up lawmaking.

Opponents fear the removal of democratic checks and balances and over-centralisation of power.

Renzi’s main opponents are the Five Star Movement, which makes its policies, and selects its candidates, through online polls.

Italy's 5 Star Movement overtakes Renzi's Democrats in opinion polls

Fresh from its successes in last month’s local ballots, the anti-establishment 5 Star Movement (M5S) is now Italy’s most popular party and would easily win if a national election were held today, three opinion polls showed this week.

Polls have suggested the 41-year-old prime minister may lose the referendum, which, if the ‘yes’ vote wins, would reduce the role of the upper house Senate and cut the powers of regional governments.

Earlier this year the premier repeatedly said he would resign in the case of a defeat. More recently, he has declined to confirm that outright, saying discussion of his own future deflected attention from the merits of the reform.

Renzi concedes he made a 'mistake' to personalise Italy's constitutional referendum

Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi said on Tuesday (9 August) it had been a mistake to personalise a referendum, due to be held later this year, in which he originally promised to resign if he failed to convince voters to support the need for constitutional change.

Political commentators have speculated that if he does step down after a ‘no’ vote, he would then push for early elections in 2017, a year ahead of schedule.

The referendum has also widened divisions in Renzi’s Democratic Party (PD).

Boschi: Italian constitutional reform and EU reform are equally needed

On a visit to Brussels, Italy’s Maria Elena Boschi received a show of support from the major political groups in the European Parliament and from the Commission, ahead of the do-or-die referendum in October on constitutional reform.

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