Germany will likely ‘miss its 2022 and 2023 climate targets’, Vice-Chancellor says

German Vice-Chancellor and climate minister Robert Habeck presents Germany's lagging climate action and the state of play in Berlin. EPA-EFE/FILIP SINGER

Germany missed its climate target for 2021 and is likely to miss them again this year and next, according to Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck who said the country “must triple the pace of emission cuts” to reach its 2030 goals.

2021 was a bad year for Germany’s climate ambitions. Renewable electricity generation hit a two-year low due to exceptionally low winds and carbon emissions picked up again after a brief drop caused by COVID-19 restrictions.

As a consequence, the country missed its 2021 climate goals.

“We start with a drastic backlog,” admitted Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck as he presented Germany’s 2021 climate account in Berlin on Tuesday (11 January).

Under business-as-usual projections, Germany would achieve a mere 50% reduction in emissions by 2030, Habeck explained. “That would mean emitting 200 million tonnes of CO2 more” than the country’s target, he added.

“The climate protection measures taken to date are inadequate in all sectors,” he said, adding that Germany would likely “miss its 2022 and 2023 climate targets.”

In December, the “traffic light” coalition made up of the socialist SPD, the Greens and the liberal FDP party assumed office in Berlin following 16 years of conservative rule by Angela Merkel.

Germany has cut emissions by 40% relative to 1990, according to official figures published in December. Now, the country would have to cut another 25% to achieve its 2030 targets, Habeck observed.

“To do this, we need to triple the pace of our emissions reductions and do significantly more in less time,” he pointed out.

With the Greens at the helm of a super-ministry responsible for the economy, energy and climate, expectations are high that the new government will be able to turn things around.

To that end, Habeck said he will present his first climate protection package in April, followed by a second raft of proposals sometime in the Summer.

Next German government aims for coal exit in 2030

The new German government has agreed to pull forward the country’s coal exit, “ideally” to 2030 from 2038, and rapidly speed up the rollout of renewables, reported CLEW.

Upcoming “easter package”

In order to achieve what Habeck calls a “mammoth” task, the government is preparing a package of legislation for publication around Easter. The Vice-Chancellor outlined seven priority measures that he hopes will be adopted by the summer:

  • A solar acceleration package, which will include increased capacity tenders and making additional open space available to solar installations, making solar mandatory for new business buildings and commonplace for private homes, as per the coalition treaty.
  • Extra space for onshore wind energy. Habeck aims to speed up the expansion with a “wind on land” law and to reduce minimum distances to military infrastructure to obtain additional space as fast as possible. Around 7 to 9 GW could be obtained by getting closer to navigation and military installations, his ministry confirmed.
  • Getting soaring electricity prices under control. Starting in 2023, Habeck aims to have the renewable energy surcharge removed from consumer prices and transferred to the state budget.
  • Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD), to speed up industrial decarbonisation. CCfDs are a financial tool aimed at bridging the gap between carbon prices on the EU market and low carbon technologies, which require a higher cost of CO2.
  • Producing 50% of climate neutral heat by 2030. The decarbonisation of residential heating should function in tandem with energy efficiency, the climate ministry said. To that end, Germany will up the funding for energy efficient heating networks as soon as the Commission greenlights the state-aid.
  • A review of the buildings energy law. The aim is to give investors security, bolstered by the new rule that newly installed heating units would have to run on 65% renewable energy starting in 2025 in order to avoid stranded investments. To boost renovations, energy efficient buildings would be “swiftly adjusted in parallel” and given the high prices for building material, Habeck said that state support would be “in line with prices.”
  • Doubling green hydrogen production. Domestic production of hydrogen made from renewable electricity will be sharply increased, while imports of green hydrogen would continue to play an important role, said Patrick Graichen, state secretary for climate.

Reactions

Germany’s powerful industry association BDI welcomed the frank analysis made by Habeck.

“The realistic and unsparing stocktaking by the Federal Minister of Economics Habeck matches the calculations of the industry,” said BDI president Siegfried Russwurm.

“The industry stands ready as a constructive partner in this enormous challenge,” he added, noting however that a massive expansion of gas power plants would be necessary to reach the country’s 2030 coal exit date.

“The question of how to finance new gas power plants has yet to be resolved,” he said, in a nod to ongoing Brussels debates on whether to award fossil gas a “transitional” green investment label.

Industry groups said they were now waiting to see how Habeck’s intentions will be translated in concrete terms. “Successful climate protection needs a feasible strategy and concrete measures,” explained Ingbert Liebing, head of the utility association VKU.

€860 billion needed to finance German climate goals

The new German government should enable the investment of about 860 billion euros until 2030 to initiate emission reduction activities across all sectors of the economy, the German industry association BDI has said, reported CLEW.

[Edited by Frédéric Simon]

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