The “horror” summit finally happened. But contrary to what European Commission top official Martin Selmayr expected two years ago, Donald Trump was enough to throw decades of Western Alliance down the drain.
In less than 48 hours of a “sobering” G7 meeting in Charlevoix (Canada), as Chancellor Angela Merkel said later, “stable genius” lashed out at the host Justin Trudeau (“dishonest and weak” because the Canadian leader defended his country); broke with US longstanding allies, backtracked on the “painstakingly negotiated” conclusions and left early, “excited” to meet the most brutal dictator on the planet.
Once again, the casus belli was trade imbalances and his unfounded perception that the US is being cheated by everybody. Trump rejected to stamp his signature on a communique that simply stated the obvious: “the crucial role of a rules-based international trading system”.
The sentence, as other references to rules-based international order, were also included in the G20 conclusions in Hamburg, signed by himself.
But in Hamburg, leaders already had an appetitive of what was coming as Trump rejected supporting the joint statement on the Paris commitments against climate change.
Trump’s ultimate goal seems to be trashing every alliance and international agreement he finds on his desk. And by doing it, he is cracking the Western community like no other leader did in peace times.
In his view, he has embarked on a fairness crusade. But his attacks against women, Muslims, Mexicans, media, his own administration and judges, his predecessors in the White House, fellow leaders, trading partners, allies, and a long list of victims prove how absent this value and other principles are in his moral compass.
As Twitter and TV programmes aired the “most dysfunctional G7 summit by a long margin” since the countries started meeting in 1975, as Eurasia’s Ian Bremmer put it, the scary question is how bad it could go before it gets any better.
The situation will improve only when he leaves, because we can hardly expect he would fall off his horse on his way to Damascus. If Democrats fail to impeach him, depending on the results of Robert Mueller’s investigation into the Russian affair, worse things could come in the next two years and a half.
Trump warned us that “change is coming”, which means he is ready to shoot again. Following his tariffs on steel and aluminium, the next target could be the car exports to the US market, as he hinted at plans to balance the trade deficit.
But his ‘America First’ would not stop with trade relations. The Paris accord or the Iran deal are warning signals of his shoot-on-sight policy.
We could feel relief that there has not been a major international crisis where his skills and temper were tested. Does anybody doubt that we would be living on a radioactive planet if he had been in the Oval Office during the Cuban missile crisis?
The expected strategy of isolating Trump may be the only option, although a risky one. The US’s weight is too big to be ignored and Trump could react by redoubling his attacks on the grown-ups like a grounded kid.
After trying all options, including bromancing (Macron), leaders have no options left apart from containing the damage after they realised that the US President is no longer an ally to the principles and values they represent.
“In the G7Charlevoix, President Trump saw that he had a united front in front of him,” said Macron. An “isolated” US is contrary to its history, he added. Only American voters or their congressmen could amend this regrettable chapter of the American saga.
By Zoran Radosavljevic
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Look out for…
European Parliament in Strasbourg discusses the priorities for the 28-29 June EU Summit, as well as the future of Iran nuclear deal with Federica Mogherini.
Views are the author’s