The Brief – Why Poland puts its chips on America

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Poles like to be reminded of the one time they came to America’s rescue.

On the occasion of state visits, leaders of both countries like to wax lyrical about General Tadeusz Kosciuszko, the Polish military commander who joined George Washington’s army in 1776 and drew up the military defence strategy for the two Battles of Saratoga, the turning point of the American Revolution.

His slogan “For your freedom and ours” became one of Poland’s unofficial mottos in the years to follow, long after he returned to lead an insurrection against Russia.

It is partly due to the historic memories like this that Warsaw’s foreign policy is built around its close relationship with Washington.

Bearing in mind Poland’s big eastern neighbour, perhaps the government in Warsaw hopes Washington will return the favour one day…

On Wednesday (12 June), Polish President Andrzej Duda and Donald Trump signed a joint declaration on defence cooperation, which should increase the permanent US military presence on Polish territory in the near future by about 1,000 additional soldiers.

While the Polish got less than expected – unlike a classic army base like Ramstein in Germany, the presence of US troops in Poland will have a hybrid character – Trump said after the meeting:

“The alliance between Poland and the United States has never been as strong as it is now”.

The security policy of Polish-American relations contains military cooperation to large arms acquisition contracts. And Poland has been an ally just to Trump’s taste, preparing to buy a contingent of 30 F-35 fighter aircraft.

It would, however, be a mistake, to believe Poland’s strive for US presence is only because of Trump’s presidency, or Warsaw’s own nationalist tendencies.

Its foreign policy is dictated by relations and interest, but first and foremost historical trauma. Its general direction would always be transatlantic, regardless of who sits in the White House.

There are many who suggest Poland should let go of the mirage of “Fort Trump” and pursue a more realistic security policy in collaboration with European and NATO allies. But after Georgia and Ukraine, Poland has little faith that Europe can protect it from Russia, in the event of a confrontation or escalation of tensions.

The fact is that the silent death of the Weimar Triangle only deepened the Polish view that they have to look across the Atlantic if they want to have tangible security assurances.

Germany, as Poland’s neighbour, should be much more involved in Poland’s defence. But Berlin has not been taking Warsaw’s Russian concerns seriously and with Nord Stream 2, it sent a signal that basically said ‘we hear you but have decided to ignore your concerns’.

Paris, on the other hand, preferred not to be bothered with what happens in the East as it is traditionally focused more on Africa and is not leading any of NATO’s forward presence in Eastern Europe.

And in truth, Poland’s Eastern European neighbours do not necessarily disagree with Warsaw’s solo run, when it comes to its principle.

“Increasing the number of American soldiers in Poland means strengthening the security of Lithuania and other Baltic states,” Lithuania’s Defence Minister Raimundas Karoblis said in comments on the Polish-American declaration.

“This is an advantage not only for Poland, but also for the three Baltic states,” Karoblis said.

The Roundup

By Sam Morgan

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Your weekly dose of digital news is out. Could copyright rules already be reviewed? What does next week’s summit have in store for tech? Find out here.

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Look out for….

The ECOFIN council in Luxembourg. Ministers will talk climate change, among other concerns.

Views are the author’s

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