Merkel presidential debacle signals policy changes

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel's government called for unity yesterday (1 July) after rebels forced a humiliating vote over the presidency that could lead to a watering down of her austerity package. EURACTIV Germany contributed to this article.

The struggle to get Christian Wulff elected to the largely ceremonial post of head of state on Wednesday, even when Merkel had a clear majority on paper, showed growing disenchantment with the leadership of her nine-month-old centre-right alliance.

Analysts said party cadres sent a clear message to Merkel that she needed to make major changes and possibly tone down her recent 80 billion euro austerity drive, criticised at home as unfair and abroad as likely to hinder the world recovery.

Coming in the wake of a series of resignations that deprived Merkel's Christian Democratic Union of its most experienced figures – as well as Horst Koehler's sudden departure from the presidency after comments he made while visiting German troops in Afghanistan – the vote cast doubts on her future.

Dozens of members of parliament from Merkel's coalition twice voted against Wulff in the special assembly, with most of the rebels only obeying in the third round when Merkel and her two top coalition partners made a personal plea for unity.

"The coalition has to improve its teamwork. Now we've got a chance to show that. We've got the message: we've got to start working better as a coalition," said the second in charge of Merkel's CDU, Hermann Groehe, on German television.

Some newspapers called it a "disaster" for the government and especially Merkel and her main ally, Guido Westerwelle of the liberal Free Democrats, who is her foreign minister.

The conservative Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung said it "darkened the already dim prospects of the ruling alliance" and the centre-left Sueddeutsche Zeitung said: "Merkel's name was not on the ballot but she was the big loser."

"Merkel and Westerwelle are fighting for their political survival," said the business daily Handelsblatt.

Squandered opportunity

"The coalition is at the moment not capable of managing the issues and strategies of the day – and it's not able to convince the public," said Wolfgang Gerhardt, a former chairman of the Free Democrats.

In the same way that the austerity package was supposed to give Merkel a chance to assert her leadership but instead turned out to undermine her, the presidential vote also failed to work as another opportunity to jump-start the government.

"The coalition needs to be a little more self-critical. It's got to think deeply about where it wants to go. It squandered the chance to get off to a fresh start," said the conservative state premier of Saxony, Stanislaw Tillich, on local radio.

The disarray in the 55-year-old chancellor's government is all the more surprising given the historic setback suffered by the main opposition Social Democrats in last year's national election and the current strong recovery in the German economy.

The government is confident the economy will grow much more than its official 1.4% forecast this year and Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle used good retail sales data to liken Germany's economy to its national team's strong World Cup soccer performance.

"Germany is back – not just in sports, but also in terms of the economy," Bruederle told parliament.

(EURACTIV with Reuters.)

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Below are some reactions in the German press following the election:

"In the end, it has to be assessed: Elected is elected. Christian Wulff is the least to blame for the calamity of his election, at least not primarily. Merkel and her political surroundings are solely to blame. They were not willing to listen to the signals coming with Joachim Gauck's nomination by the opposition, which was by all means tactically motivated." 
Thomas Schmid, Die Welt

"Angela Merkel could have ignored a narrow defeat in the first round of voting with a dry smile. With this result, this won't be possible. This was no warning shot. This was targeted curtain fire. And the message is: It can't go on like this!"
Gerd Appenzeller, Tagesspiegel

"Merkel's to date remarkably successful strategy has been turned into its opposite. Merkel is very alone at home. It's quite possible that she will now be lacking the troops to fend off attacks from her own camp."
Ines Pohl, taz

"It's a fatal signal: the election for the highest public office has degenerated into a soap opera. Everyone - administration, opposition and Wulff deviators - is making a grave mistake."
Christina Otten, FOCUS-Online

"The presidential election has once again shown that the centre-right coalition is no dream couple but a marriage of conveniance. The intended purpose of governing has to be credibly conveyed to the voters as soon as possible."
Günther Nonnenmacher, FAZ

German President Horst Koehler unexpectedly resigned on 31 May due to a storm over comments he made about military action abroad, in a move that augured to give conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel a headache (EURACTIV 01/06/10).

The shock resignation came at a time when Merkel is already battling a eurozone debt crisis, sinking popularity and an increasingly awkward coalition partner.

The German president is responsible for signing bills into law, but the role is largely ceremonial.

A special Federal Assembly, made up of all the members of parliament and an equal number of delegates sent by the 16 state assemblies, elects German presidents.

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